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Author Topic: how many bitcoiners are in the world  (Read 2198 times)
rouhaud
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June 02, 2011, 02:56:51 AM
 #1

just a question to know probability to be rich a future day???
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Jaime Frontero
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June 02, 2011, 03:07:13 AM
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slush's pool has about 18% of the current network - and (although he's recently removed the 'connected miner' number) probably about 4-5,000 mining accounts.  many are multiple accounts - so call it 2,500 individuals.

extrapolating, that would be about 12,000 miners for the entire network.

now... how many use the system, but don't mine?  a tougher number to estimate.

my suspicion is not as many, but growing much faster than the mining segment.

so... my pure, wild-ass guess - without anything particularly factual behind it - is something on the order of 25,000.

by the end of summer, i'd expect that to triple.  or more.  i think that right now is the make or break moment for Bitcoin.

20 USD/BTC by the end of july is a lock.
Stephen Gornick
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June 02, 2011, 08:12:07 AM
 #3

daily counts of nodes seen (within 24 hour period)
  

Jaime Frontero
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June 02, 2011, 08:17:08 AM
 #4

daily counts of nodes seen (within 24 hour period)
  


hmmm.

so my wild-ass guess wasn't so bad, if you stop to consider that not every node will be active every day...
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June 02, 2011, 08:48:49 AM
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Well, you should not underestimate the offline-thing.

The potential within the technology-interested audience alone is several millions.

Growth is starting to get exponential now.

cloud9
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June 02, 2011, 08:59:45 AM
 #6

And the graph excludes users that just use mtgox.com or mybitcoin.com or others without bothering with a client.  Checking the traffic to bitcoin.org on alexa.com as a percentage of internet usage gives a more fairer estimation.  Now multiply that with the estimated amount of internet users and get another estimate.

Disclaimer:  Postings of Cloud9 are only individual views of opinion and/or musings and/or hypothesisses.  On a non-authoritative, peer-to-peer public forum, you do not need permission from Cloud9 to derive your own conclusions or opinions, so please do.  Calculations and assumptions to be verified.
MacRohard
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June 02, 2011, 11:29:44 AM
 #7

slush's pool has about 18% of the current network - and (although he's recently removed the 'connected miner' number) probably about 4-5,000 mining accounts.  many are multiple accounts - so call it 2,500 individuals.

extrapolating, that would be about 12,000 miners for the entire network.

now... how many use the system, but don't mine?  a tougher number to estimate.

my suspicion is not as many, but growing much faster than the mining segment.

so... my pure, wild-ass guess - without anything particularly factual behind it - is something on the order of 25,000.

by the end of summer, i'd expect that to triple.  or more.  i think that right now is the make or break moment for Bitcoin.

20 USD/BTC by the end of july is a lock.

I checked my addr.dat file a few days ago and found over 130,000 unique IPs, so I think 25,000 is probably nowhere close.
Bit_Happy
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June 02, 2011, 12:24:58 PM
 #8

Q) How many bitcoiners are in the world?
A) More than there was yesterday.   Cheesy

15DYJpWJe9H1YofsNQbP9JEWWNn7XPZgbS
Jaime Frontero
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June 02, 2011, 04:26:50 PM
 #9

slush's pool has about 18% of the current network - and (although he's recently removed the 'connected miner' number) probably about 4-5,000 mining accounts.  many are multiple accounts - so call it 2,500 individuals.

extrapolating, that would be about 12,000 miners for the entire network.

now... how many use the system, but don't mine?  a tougher number to estimate.

my suspicion is not as many, but growing much faster than the mining segment.

so... my pure, wild-ass guess - without anything particularly factual behind it - is something on the order of 25,000.

by the end of summer, i'd expect that to triple.  or more.  i think that right now is the make or break moment for Bitcoin.

20 USD/BTC by the end of july is a lock.

I checked my addr.dat file a few days ago and found over 130,000 unique IPs, so I think 25,000 is probably nowhere close.

awesome!

i would be so pleased to be wrong by that margin.
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June 02, 2011, 04:34:53 PM
 #10

Soon it will be millions....

cypherdoc
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June 02, 2011, 04:37:29 PM
 #11

daily counts of nodes seen (within 24 hour period)
  


Stephen, where'd u get that graph?
Serge
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June 02, 2011, 04:38:43 PM
 #12

Sourceforge stats report on client downloads

Total downloads
309,975

May 2011
174,184

http://sourceforge.net/projects/bitcoin/files/Bitcoin/stats/timeline?dates=2008-05-26+to+2011-06-02


Buckle up! Cool
Dansker
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Hello world!


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June 02, 2011, 04:43:38 PM
 #13

Sourceforge stats report on client downloads

Total downloads
309,975

May 2011
174,184

http://sourceforge.net/projects/bitcoin/files/Bitcoin/stats/timeline?dates=2008-05-26+to+2011-06-02


Buckle up! Cool

It's gonna blow!? Cheesy

cindylove
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June 04, 2011, 09:27:05 PM
 #14

Sourceforge stats report on client downloads

Total downloads
309,975

May 2011
174,184

http://sourceforge.net/projects/bitcoin/files/Bitcoin/stats/timeline?dates=2008-05-26+to+2011-06-02


Buckle up! Cool

I see there is only 1 download from Libya. I wonder if it's Qaddafi.
IIOII
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June 05, 2011, 12:16:46 AM
 #15

I see there is only 1 download from Libya. I wonder if it's Qaddafi.

I'm sure we'll notice when he connects his gaming machines mining equipment...  Shocked

oberonmtl
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June 05, 2011, 12:29:16 AM
 #16

Has there been any discussion of forex infecting bitcoin?

I think that if bitcoin reflects reality, then the wealth contained in bitcoin is most dependent on the stability of "reality" (or the reality that maintains bitcoin)?

Any critical discussion on this? with the ballooning number of bitcoiners....
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