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Author Topic: Premier League Prediction Thread (EPL)  (Read 923875 times)
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February 01, 2019, 12:25:29 PM
 #26581

Liverpool failed to maximize their chances to distance points from Manchester City because they were only able to draw against Leicester City, while Chelsea have had poor results because they lost with a big score against AFC Bournemouth. The results of the match are of course uncomfortable for bettors.

I don't agree that these results are uncomfortable. I usually bet against big clubs and try to double my bet. There are times (such the ones this weekend) that big clubs don't win, thus the odds against them gives more profits. This strategy is a good one if you can a lot of money to continue doubling your bet till they lose.
I am curious to know how often you win? If you lose two bets then you are basically losing your capital. Predicting the big team to lose may not work all the time so you do lose a lot?

When you lose a bet you double it to the next and you keep going until the best against the strong team comes true. You can also try the same strategy when betting for the team go even in the game but the odds are usually less.
It is a difficult strategy because you have to have a big amount of capital, otherwise you are going to nowhere with it.
It's a killer but eventually it make you lose. I have tried this doubling the stake strategy in roulette but failed several times.

You have three options:
Red
Black
0

ignore 0 so you have two
Red
Black

Pick one, whichever you feel lucky. Assume red. Also assume initial stake is $1


Spin
  if result = red
     You "win" and go with the initial stake
  or
   "Lost" double the stake and spin again

Every time you lose double the stake when you win then go with initial stake.

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February 01, 2019, 03:20:04 PM
 #26582

Liverpool did not play well yesterday, the fact that Manchester City lost one day before probably made them to play very calmly and not fighting hard for the victory. I don't blame them, now that I see after 2 weeks there is the elimination phase of Champions League , they are focusing more there.

I saw Man City’s next 3 PL games is Arsenal (H), Everton (A), Chelsea (H). I think they could drop more points somewhere.

Yup.  I'm just waiting til the news starts talking about how it's 'statistically still possible' for City to get past Liverpool...  When it gets to that point, you know it's over for City.  Lol.

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February 01, 2019, 03:37:35 PM
 #26583

Liverpool did not play well yesterday, the fact that Manchester City lost one day before probably made them to play very calmly and not fighting hard for the victory. I don't blame them, now that I see after 2 weeks there is the elimination phase of Champions League , they are focusing more there.

I saw Man City’s next 3 PL games is Arsenal (H), Everton (A), Chelsea (H). I think they could drop more points somewhere.

Yup.  I'm just waiting til the news starts talking about how it's 'statistically still possible' for City to get past Liverpool...  When it gets to that point, you know it's over for City.  Lol.

Mathematically it is possible but only in theory, in reality Liverpool has already won the title for me. They let the guard down against Leicester because Manchester City lost. If Manchester City did not lose I am sure Liverpool would have won against Leicester.

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February 02, 2019, 09:52:37 AM
 #26584

Chelsea will be playing against Huddersfield today at the stadium of Stamford Bridge, and if Chelsea are unable to beat Huddersfield today in front of their home fans, I think they deserve to miss out on the qualification for the Uefa Champions League next season, so I guess this would be a good time for Chelsea to start gaining points again and climb up the table.
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February 02, 2019, 10:14:41 AM
 #26585

Chelsea will be playing against Huddersfield today at the stadium of Stamford Bridge, and if Chelsea are unable to beat Huddersfield today in front of their home fans, I think they deserve to miss out on the qualification for the Uefa Champions League next season, so I guess this would be a good time for Chelsea to start gaining points again and climb up the table.

Apparently Sarri was fuming after their loss to B’mouth. Rumours were he travelled home seperately from the rest of the squad.

I think H’field are going to get a big beating today.

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February 02, 2019, 10:20:46 AM
 #26586

Liverpool did not play well yesterday, the fact that Manchester City lost one day before probably made them to play very calmly and not fighting hard for the victory. I don't blame them, now that I see after 2 weeks there is the elimination phase of Champions League , they are focusing more there.

I saw Man City’s next 3 PL games is Arsenal (H), Everton (A), Chelsea (H). I think they could drop more points somewhere.

Yup.  I'm just waiting til the news starts talking about how it's 'statistically still possible' for City to get past Liverpool...  When it gets to that point, you know it's over for City.  Lol.

I do not know about City yet but today, there is a chance Chelsea can again draw or even lose at home to Huddersfield, and the same can be said for Spurs,,, yes they have Son back from Asia but Newcastle just broke some record of their own in transfer. If they play like they did and they get 1 goal, Spurs will find it very hard to attack them without conceding another. What do you think?

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February 02, 2019, 11:01:00 AM
 #26587


I do not know about City yet but today, there is a chance Chelsea can again draw or even lose at home to Huddersfield, and the same can be said for Spurs,,, yes they have Son back from Asia but Newcastle just broke some record of their own in transfer. If they play like they did and they get 1 goal, Spurs will find it very hard to attack them without conceding another. What do you think?
If Tottenham wins today against Newcastle which should not be too hard for them and somehow Man City lose against Arsenal tomorrow then we will see a change in the point table.

Tottenham will take the 2nd pace and Man City will move down to third place. The table is becoming interesting.

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February 02, 2019, 11:41:50 AM
 #26588

--

I do not know about City yet but today, there is a chance Chelsea can again draw or even lose at home to Huddersfield, and the same can be said for Spurs,,, yes they have Son back from Asia but Newcastle just broke some record of their own in transfer. If they play like they did and they get 1 goal, Spurs will find it very hard to attack them without conceding another. What do you think?

I am not sure how much it can affect broking transfer record after just one day, they did not buy Messi. I certainly think they can make a big problem for Spurs.

--
If Tottenham wins today against Newcastle which should not be too hard for them and somehow Man City lose against Arsenal tomorrow then we will see a change in the point table.

Tottenham will take the 2nd pace and Man City will move down to third place. The table is becoming interesting.

I would love to see Liverpool lose points and Spurs and City to come close on 2-4 points. Then will be more interesting.  Cheesy

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February 02, 2019, 11:49:31 AM
 #26589

Chelsea will be playing against Huddersfield today at the stadium of Stamford Bridge, and if Chelsea are unable to beat Huddersfield today in front of their home fans, I think they deserve to miss out on the qualification for the Uefa Champions League next season, so I guess this would be a good time for Chelsea to start gaining points again and climb up the table.
Sure Chelsea will get 3 pts today at home, enthusiastic for Higuain to score here and I have bet on Chelsea -1.5. Hopefully I'm not mistaken this time, it's time for Chelsea to rise to place 4th place again in the standings. After all, what they faced was the bottom team which should have been an easy winning for Chelsea.

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February 02, 2019, 12:16:06 PM
 #26590

Liverpool failed to maximize their chances to distance points from Manchester City because they were only able to draw against Leicester City, while Chelsea have had poor results because they lost with a big score against AFC Bournemouth. The results of the match are of course uncomfortable for bettors.

I don't agree that these results are uncomfortable. I usually bet against big clubs and try to double my bet. There are times (such the ones this weekend) that big clubs don't win, thus the odds against them gives more profits. This strategy is a good one if you can a lot of money to continue doubling your bet till they lose.
I am curious to know how often you win? If you lose two bets then you are basically losing your capital. Predicting the big team to lose may not work all the time so you do lose a lot?

When you lose a bet you double it to the next and you keep going until the best against the strong team comes true. You can also try the same strategy when betting for the team go even in the game but the odds are usually less.
It is a difficult strategy because you have to have a big amount of capital, otherwise you are going to nowhere with it.
It's a killer but eventually it make you lose. I have tried this doubling the stake strategy in roulette but failed several times.

I don't believe posters like Naida. Post a betslip of your bets, before the game starts, or it's impossible to believe you;)

Imagine you bet on City to lose anyway, from start of season, you would have lost 10 times before they eventually lost to Chelsea (and that was only Chelsea 3x odds too!). Even if you bet $1, doubling it means you lose more than $2000 already.

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February 02, 2019, 12:23:00 PM
 #26591

Liverpool failed to maximize their chances to distance points from Manchester City because they were only able to draw against Leicester City, while Chelsea have had poor results because they lost with a big score against AFC Bournemouth. The results of the match are of course uncomfortable for bettors.

I don't agree that these results are uncomfortable. I usually bet against big clubs and try to double my bet. There are times (such the ones this weekend) that big clubs don't win, thus the odds against them gives more profits. This strategy is a good one if you can a lot of money to continue doubling your bet till they lose.
I am curious to know how often you win? If you lose two bets then you are basically losing your capital. Predicting the big team to lose may not work all the time so you do lose a lot?

When you lose a bet you double it to the next and you keep going until the best against the strong team comes true. You can also try the same strategy when betting for the team go even in the game but the odds are usually less.
It is a difficult strategy because you have to have a big amount of capital, otherwise you are going to nowhere with it.
It's a killer but eventually it make you lose. I have tried this doubling the stake strategy in roulette but failed several times.

I don't believe posters like Naida. Post a betslip of your bets, before the game starts, or it's impossible to believe you;)

Imagine you bet on City to lose anyway, from start of season, you would have lost 10 times before they eventually lost to Chelsea (and that was only Chelsea 3x odds too!). Even if you bet $1, doubling it means you lose more than $2000 already.
This is an experience I had long ago in roulette game. It was in bet365 live casino. Few years ago so I do not have the bet logs too. So I can not give you any prove.

I remember I was betting for one color.

I would love to see Liverpool lose points and Spurs and City to come close on 2-4 points. Then will be more interesting.  Cheesy
I wouldn't mind to see it. After-all we like excitements

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February 02, 2019, 12:27:45 PM
Last edit: February 02, 2019, 01:35:46 PM by Harkorede
 #26592

Liverpool did not play well yesterday, the fact that Manchester City lost one day before probably made them to play very calmly and not fighting hard for the victory. I don't blame them, now that I see after 2 weeks there is the elimination phase of Champions League , they are focusing more there.

I saw Man City’s next 3 PL games is Arsenal (H), Everton (A), Chelsea (H). I think they could drop more points somewhere.

It is very understandable if they drop points in either of those matches, But we should also know that after those matches it means they'll have less tough teams to play. And if they're going to lose points in any of those mentioned fixtures, it would be against Chelsea, I don't see either Arsenal or Everton has much of a threat.

Today's Matches, I'm expecting Chelsea to bounce back from their midweek's heavy defeat and win easily against relegation-bound Huddersfield, While Tottenham should have an had time against Newcastle.

Predictions:

Chelsea - 1.5 ( Chelsea 3 - 0 Huddersfield )
Tottenham - Under 2.5 goals ( Tottenham 1 - 0 Newcastle )

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February 02, 2019, 01:02:28 PM
 #26593

Liverpool did not play well yesterday, the fact that Manchester City lost one day before probably made them to play very calmly and not fighting hard for the victory. I don't blame them, now that I see after 2 weeks there is the elimination phase of Champions League , they are focusing more there.

I saw Man City’s next 3 PL games is Arsenal (H), Everton (A), Chelsea (H). I think they could drop more points somewhere.

Yup.  I'm just waiting til the news starts talking about how it's 'statistically still possible' for City to get past Liverpool...  When it gets to that point, you know it's over for City.  Lol.

Mathematically it is possible but only in theory, in reality Liverpool has already won the title for me.

Oh it's still possible.  Still just what...  5 points behind?  It's still totally possible to get past Liverpool.  But all that's gonna change on April and when every pundit starts talking about how it's still 'statistically possible'.  That's when you know that City is f*cked.  Lol.

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February 02, 2019, 01:10:45 PM
 #26594

Tottenham - Under 2.5 goals ( Tottenham 1 - 0 Newcastle )
40 minutes gone and Tottenham is still looking for their first goal. My prediction is 2 - 0 for Tettenham.

What do you think about Man City Vs Arsenal tomorrow?

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February 02, 2019, 01:16:02 PM
 #26595

^  Def at least 2 - 0 for a City win.

Btw, decent match this...  Tottenham vs Newcastle.  It's going back and forth now.

Edit:  Foul on Vertonghen just outside the box.  This is it...

Edit:  Nope.  HT now.

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February 02, 2019, 01:19:58 PM
 #26596

^  Def at least 2 - 0 for a City win.

Btw, decent match this...  Tottenham vs Newcastle.  It's going back and forth now.

Edit:  Foul an Vertonghen just outside the box.  This is it...

Edit:  Nope.  HT now.
Half time without any score. No much excitements yet. Yes just back and forth so far.

In Man City Vs Arsenal my guess is 2 - 1 for City.

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February 02, 2019, 01:26:57 PM
 #26597

Manchester United vs Leicester it will be a good game today. I don't think Leicester will be capable of holding Manchester United, especially after Manchester lost at home to Burnley. I don't think they will have another surpriise result today.

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February 02, 2019, 01:34:21 PM
 #26598

Manchester United vs Leicester it will be a good game today. I don't think Leicester will be capable of holding Manchester United, especially after Manchester lost at home to Burnley. I don't think they will have another surpriise result today.
There will be if you bet some money for Manchester United. It's always proven for me so I am off to bet for Manchester Utd LOL

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February 02, 2019, 01:43:44 PM
 #26599

^  Def at least 2 - 0 for a City win.

Btw, decent match this...  Tottenham vs Newcastle.  It's going back and forth now.

Edit:  Foul an Vertonghen just outside the box.  This is it...

Edit:  Nope.  HT now.
Half time without any score. No much excitements yet. Yes just back and forth so far.

In Man City Vs Arsenal my guess is 2 - 1 for City.

Rondon, so unlucky.  Lol.

Anyway, there's some excitement.  And at least the match is quick and pacey.  If Newcastle had like a couple or three really good players, they'd be top 6 at least imo.

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February 02, 2019, 01:48:19 PM
 #26600

Tottenham - Under 2.5 goals ( Tottenham 1 - 0 Newcastle )
40 minutes gone and Tottenham is still looking for their first goal. My prediction is 2 - 0 for Tettenham.

What do you think about Man City Vs Arsenal tomorrow?

The Tottenham vs Newcastle Match is 58 minutes up already, with no goal from either team yet, Seem like an under 2.5 goals for sure.


Man City vs Arsenal match should definitely be a very interesting one, and I expect an extreme attacking football with at least 3 goals, I'll go for 3 - 1 scoreline in favour of City.

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