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Author Topic: Accumulation Phase  (Read 2554 times)
g-unit (OP)
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August 20, 2015, 11:52:23 AM
 #1

Once the XT drama is over and we're approaching the halving, no one has ANY excuse to whine about not getting a chance to buy enough coins. We've been in the 200's for almost a year. You can only blame yourself if you aren't and/or haven't been accumulating all year.

Also, to the panickers and people spreading fud, look at bitcoinrichlist.com. Do you see any of these big dawgs selling? No. I rest my case. There's a winner and a loser in every game. Once you sell you've lost.
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August 20, 2015, 11:58:02 AM
 #2

So far in 2015 there have been excellent buying opportunities indeed.

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August 20, 2015, 12:10:22 PM
 #3

Once the XT drama is over and we're approaching the halving, no one has ANY excuse to whine about not getting a chance to buy enough coins. We've been in the 200's for almost a year. You can only blame yourself if you aren't and/or haven't been accumulating all year.

Also, to the panickers and people spreading fud, look at bitcoinrichlist.com. Do you see any of these big dawgs selling? No. I rest my case. There's a winner and a loser in every game. Once you sell you've lost.

I would give up trying to wary people on the fact we are on the unique opportunity to buy cheap as hell Bitcoin once again for a very long time. If you haven't been hustling BTC during all of this year an continue to do so as long as buying 1 BTC monthly is a possibility, I really really dont know what you are doing with your life.
g-unit (OP)
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August 20, 2015, 12:22:46 PM
 #4

Once the XT drama is over and we're approaching the halving, no one has ANY excuse to whine about not getting a chance to buy enough coins. We've been in the 200's for almost a year. You can only blame yourself if you aren't and/or haven't been accumulating all year.

Also, to the panickers and people spreading fud, look at bitcoinrichlist.com. Do you see any of these big dawgs selling? No. I rest my case. There's a winner and a loser in every game. Once you sell you've lost.

I would give up trying to wary people on the fact we are on the unique opportunity to buy cheap as hell Bitcoin once again for a very long time. If you haven't been hustling BTC during all of this year an continue to do so as long as buying 1 BTC monthly is a possibility, I really really dont know what you are doing with your life.

Honestly, I'm not sure what the hell you said or were trying to say. Might want to pick up an English grammar book Wink.
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August 20, 2015, 12:23:45 PM
 #5

Just accumulate while people panic sell and talk about single digits or something


they only make things cheaper for you
g-unit (OP)
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August 20, 2015, 12:26:23 PM
 #6

Just accumulate while people panic sell and talk about single digits or something


they only make things cheaper for you

Exactly. Nothing like getting rich at the expense of others  Grin.
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August 20, 2015, 12:26:29 PM
 #7

http://bitcoinrichlist.com/top100 doesn't show fully valid data.
g-unit (OP)
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August 20, 2015, 12:31:58 PM
 #8

http://bitcoinrichlist.com/top100 doesn't show fully valid data.

Still a good indicator though. Doesn't hurt to keep an eye on it.
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August 20, 2015, 12:46:15 PM
 #9

Actually I've been involved since 2013, starting visiting these forums in early 2014, but never joined until 2015. Actually, it's worked out pretty well so far I must say.
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August 20, 2015, 12:48:09 PM
 #10

Just accumulate while people panic sell and talk about single digits or something


they only make things cheaper for you

Exactly. Nothing like getting rich at the expense of others  Grin.

One should be very careful while buying because "accumulate when others are panic selling" is correct only you should be a discipline buyer. You shouldn't just jump and buy all at one time because we do not know the bottom yet. If it goes to 100 level then you will loose lot of money so buy progressively to gain more profits. As of now, do not know how long it will be down just wait and see  
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August 20, 2015, 12:48:40 PM
 #11

Once the XT drama is over and we're approaching the halving, no one has ANY excuse to whine about not getting a chance to buy enough coins. We've been in the 200's for almost a year. You can only blame yourself if you aren't and/or haven't been accumulating all year.

Also, to the panickers and people spreading fud, look at bitcoinrichlist.com. Do you see any of these big dawgs selling? No. I rest my case. There's a winner and a loser in every game. Once you sell you've lost.

Are people still complaining about not being able to buy any? I think if you haven't bought in yet a fall in price will just scare most people off. I think bitcoin price could go even lower given all the panic and confusion over the forking so if you were going to buy in maybe wait a bit.
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August 20, 2015, 12:52:19 PM
 #12

Just accumulate while people panic sell and talk about single digits or something


they only make things cheaper for you

Exactly. Nothing like getting rich at the expense of others  Grin.

One should be very careful while buying because "accumulate when others are panic selling" is correct only you should be a discipline buyer. You shouldn't just jump and buy all at one time because we do not know the bottom yet. If it goes to 100 level then you will loose lot of money so buy progressively to gain more profits. As of now, do not know how long it will be down just wait and see   

I totally agree mate. I buy on a consistent regular basis but I also buy small handfuls when the price crashes a bit (like it just did). And I always leave plenty of fiat left over incase the price should crash to say $100 Smiley. I seriously doubt that will happen, but anything is possible.

Once the XT drama is over and we're approaching the halving, no one has ANY excuse to whine about not getting a chance to buy enough coins. We've been in the 200's for almost a year. You can only blame yourself if you aren't and/or haven't been accumulating all year.

Also, to the panickers and people spreading fud, look at bitcoinrichlist.com. Do you see any of these big dawgs selling? No. I rest my case. There's a winner and a loser in every game. Once you sell you've lost.

Are people still complaining about not being able to buy any? I think if you haven't bought in yet a fall in price will just scare most people off. I think bitcoin price could go even lower given all the panic and confusion over the forking so if you were going to buy in maybe wait a bit.

Oh they will because they're selling so they'll become that much more bitter when the price rises. Look at kwukduck. Sold all his coins at 10 bucks back in the day.
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August 20, 2015, 04:25:52 PM
 #13

Well to be fair, the rich dont give a crap about price lol.

If they are wealthy from the start they bought in coins or btc related services to hedge their loss I`m pretty sure.

Those who are selling is because we cant afford the risk, while they can.

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August 20, 2015, 05:05:34 PM
 #14

Just keep quiet and acquire bitcoin.  Cool
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August 20, 2015, 05:07:52 PM
 #15

Just accumulate while people panic sell and talk about single digits or something


they only make things cheaper for you

Exactly. Nothing like getting rich at the expense of others  Grin.

One should be very careful while buying because "accumulate when others are panic selling" is correct only you should be a discipline buyer. You shouldn't just jump and buy all at one time because we do not know the bottom yet. If it goes to 100 level then you will loose lot of money so buy progressively to gain more profits. As of now, do not know how long it will be down just wait and see  

So where in the cycle do you buy? For the prudent investor it is not during a bull market. Instead he watches for the market to bottom out and give evidence of accumulation. There are technical ways to predict bottoms but they are not well known, (and TA gets dismissed as voodoo around here anyway Wink )

That leaves the average investor in a conundrum. Buy now or wait for lower prices that are not guaranteed? Obviously during the past down cycle waiting would have been prudent, but what if the price had gone into a new bubble May/June 2014? It totally could have but it didn't. What if Gox hadn't failed? Everyone who waited would be stuck buying back at higher prices.

The longer we stay in this range with $200-$220 as a bottom the less chance we will go below. This is because of the effect supply absorption has on the market--it prevents it from making new lows and quality absorption causes higher lows and declining trade volume--the market eventually becomes dull as selling and trading grind to a halt. Because of this activity I see on the charts, I'm a buyer at $225 every time.

If you were waiting for sub $200, that was your chance. With these buying opportunities comes low sentiment (which is why everyone wants to wait for lower prices that won't come) and they tend to last for days rather than weeks with the opportunity for really cheap coins (at the apex of the crash) lasting for minutes or hours. That is where the biggest traders build positions, during the big sell climaxes, but it is hidden to the public who are distracted with scary red bars.

"But we could slide lower due to the XT drama!" you say. That is not necessarily true. The Finex cascade ran so many stops and caused so much panic selling that if those traders and holders come to their senses and want back in, they must buy back, and do so in a market that has been stripped of sellers. The longer the market sits steady at this price, the more price will edge higher as this happens.
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August 20, 2015, 05:40:44 PM
 #16

Once the XT drama is over and we're approaching the halving, no one has ANY excuse to whine about not getting a chance to buy enough coins. We've been in the 200's for almost a year. You can only blame yourself if you aren't and/or haven't been accumulating all year.

Also, to the panickers and people spreading fud, look at bitcoinrichlist.com. Do you see any of these big dawgs selling? No. I rest my case. There's a winner and a loser in every game. Once you sell you've lost.

No problem sitting out when the price is above 150+. May start buying it if drop below 150 and will definitely buy at below 100.
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August 20, 2015, 05:51:57 PM
 #17

I have brought some Bitcoins in these few days of crash so far my investment is looking good and I think that I will make a decent profit off it if the prices rise again. So till then I am hodling my Bitcoins and advice all members also to do so.

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August 20, 2015, 06:28:01 PM
 #18

There is no doubt that this is golden time for buying Bitcoins.Price can go even little bit more down but all this is temporary and there will be seen a sudden price rise too in coming days.This is opportunity to make an entry point into Bitcoin's universe.
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August 20, 2015, 06:34:27 PM
 #19

Once the XT drama is over and we're approaching the halving, no one has ANY excuse to whine about not getting a chance to buy enough coins. We've been in the 200's for almost a year. You can only blame yourself if you aren't and/or haven't been accumulating all year.

Also, to the panickers and people spreading fud, look at bitcoinrichlist.com. Do you see any of these big dawgs selling? No. I rest my case. There's a winner and a loser in every game. Once you sell you've lost.

No problem sitting out when the price is above 150+. May start buying it if drop below 150 and will definitely buy at below 100.

In all honesty, if Bitcoin drops below 100 I think it would be time to jump ship. No way the price could organically drop that low unless some event took place that spelt out doomsday for Bitcoin. Buying cheap is good, but if the price gets low enough it's also a good sign that the moon is not to be achieved.
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August 20, 2015, 06:47:21 PM
 #20

Just accumulate while people panic sell and talk about single digits or something


they only make things cheaper for you

Exactly. Nothing like getting rich at the expense of others  Grin.

One should be very careful while buying because "accumulate when others are panic selling" is correct only you should be a discipline buyer. You shouldn't just jump and buy all at one time because we do not know the bottom yet. If it goes to 100 level then you will loose lot of money so buy progressively to gain more profits. As of now, do not know how long it will be down just wait and see   

So where in the cycle do you buy? For the prudent investor it is not during a bull market. Instead he watches for the market to bottom out and give evidence of accumulation. There are technical ways to predict bottoms but they are not well known, (and TA gets dismissed as voodoo around here anyway Wink )

That leaves the average investor in a conundrum. Buy now or wait for lower prices that are not guaranteed? Obviously during the past down cycle waiting would have been prudent, but what if the price had gone into a new bubble May/June 2014? It totally could have but it didn't. What if Gox hadn't failed? Everyone who waited would be stuck buying back at higher prices.

The longer we stay in this range with $200-$220 as a bottom the less chance we will go below. This is because of the effect supply absorption has on the market--it prevents it from making new lows and quality absorption causes higher lows and declining trade volume--the market eventually becomes dull as selling and trading grind to a halt. Because of this activity I see on the charts, I'm a buyer at $225 every time.

If you were waiting for sub $200, that was your chance. With these buying opportunities comes low sentiment (which is why everyone wants to wait for lower prices that won't come) and they tend to last for days rather than weeks with the opportunity for really cheap coins (at the apex of the crash) lasting for minutes or hours. That is where the biggest traders build positions, during the big sell climaxes, but it is hidden to the public who are distracted with scary red bars.

"But we could slide lower due to the XT drama!" you say. That is not necessarily true. The Finex cascade ran so many stops and caused so much panic selling that if those traders and holders come to their senses and want back in, they must buy back, and do so in a market that has been stripped of sellers. The longer the market sits steady at this price, the more price will edge higher as this happens.

You seem pretty experienced and I enjoyed reading your post and like your rationale. I hope you're right too man. So you don't think we'll dip below 200 because of the XT controversy? I bought at 222 recently...tried for 205 but the price was rebounding so quickly that it shot up to 222 by the time I could confirm my buy.
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August 20, 2015, 07:13:54 PM
Last edit: August 20, 2015, 07:38:58 PM by bassclef
 #21

You seem pretty experienced and I enjoyed reading your post and like your rationale. I hope you're right too man. So you don't think we'll dip below 200 because of the XT controversy? I bought at 222 recently...tried for 205 but the price was rebounding so quickly that it shot up to 222 by the time I could confirm my buy.

Thanks man--There is definite method to a market's madness if you know what you are looking for.

I think $210-225 has been an attractive price for some time, so this creates a demand floor. Of course I don't know where the bottom is--a good trader will play the probabilities but change position on a dime if need be. Some bears are convinced that this entire bubble from $20 will eventually unravel but I think people like Bitcoin too much for that to happen Smiley

Since last night I noticed some whale traders on Finex are slowly buying back in to not put the price up too much. Long futures contracts are also being accumulated and making higher lows since yesterday. And there's a lot of buy activity on Bitstamp where you generally see more public buying/selling (due to their large European customer base and lack of advanced trading features--it's a pretty basic exchange in that regard).
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August 20, 2015, 07:33:17 PM
 #22


So far in 2015 there have been excellent buying opportunities indeed.

By my estimation, there is a higher chance that 2015 accumulation will result in a payday than the late 2011 opportunity when I did my accumulation.  I judge the likelihood of losing all ones money to be pretty high in 2015 just as I did in 2011 though so it's always good advice to never sink money into anything so speculative if one cannot walk away from it with a laugh.

If sidechains come to the fore, the sum total of all sidechains will be reflected in Bitcoin.  Certainly some sidechains will fail and some will be scams and so on, but sitting on the actual value store in the form of Bitcoin will be effectively having a simultaneous bet on all of them and could potentially be a 'dynastic wealth' event.

What could also happen, however, is that a hostile takeover event (such as XT was) could succeed and could ruin Bitcoin as a viable value basis and settlement layer for a system of subordinate chains such as sidechains.  In that case it would be a simple matter for the subordinate chains system to choose something else and something better.  We (hodlers) would have to hope that whatever that something else was, it derived at least some of it's initial its value from the Bitcoin blockchain.  That is actually quite possible.

I'm personally 'out of the game' as someone who took my position in an earlier generation.  I'm mostly just trying to give an honest appraisal of how I would be reading the card deck now.  I could be wrong...I often am.


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August 20, 2015, 08:34:05 PM
 #23


So far in 2015 there have been excellent buying opportunities indeed.

I'm personally 'out of the game' as someone who took my position in an earlier generation.  I'm mostly just trying to give an honest appraisal of how I would be reading the card deck now.  I could be wrong...I often am.

I sure hope you're right.

I am persistent in "fighting the good fight" as you've previously mentioned and my confidence in BTC is somewhat unshakeable but I didn't get the chance to hop in so early and the bag is getting pretty heavy  Cheesy

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August 20, 2015, 09:09:10 PM
 #24

One can argue that these are some great prices to get in and they should be. There is a huge resistance in this $200-$220 area. Every time that we even dipped into this area, we have bounced back very strongly.

So about 90% I am sure that this is a good and fair price to get into Bitcoin game. I leave those 10% just in case since with Bitcoin you never really know, especially because of this XT turmoil. So 10% that we might see much cheaper coins in the near future, up to $150.
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August 21, 2015, 06:42:03 AM
 #25

Once the XT drama is over and we're approaching the halving, no one has ANY excuse to whine about not getting a chance to buy enough coins. We've been in the 200's for almost a year. You can only blame yourself if you aren't and/or haven't been accumulating all year.

Also, to the panickers and people spreading fud, look at bitcoinrichlist.com. Do you see any of these big dawgs selling? No. I rest my case. There's a winner and a loser in every game. Once you sell you've lost.

The only thing that can eventually eclipse the Bitcoin is Ethereum. Right now it's the only possible case, but with low chances, we won't see another Bitcoin bubble.

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August 21, 2015, 12:13:15 PM
 #26

You seem pretty experienced and I enjoyed reading your post and like your rationale. I hope you're right too man. So you don't think we'll dip below 200 because of the XT controversy? I bought at 222 recently...tried for 205 but the price was rebounding so quickly that it shot up to 222 by the time I could confirm my buy.

Thanks man--There is definite method to a market's madness if you know what you are looking for.

I think $210-225 has been an attractive price for some time, so this creates a demand floor. Of course I don't know where the bottom is--a good trader will play the probabilities but change position on a dime if need be. Some bears are convinced that this entire bubble from $20 will eventually unravel but I think people like Bitcoin too much for that to happen Smiley

Since last night I noticed some whale traders on Finex are slowly buying back in to not put the price up too much. Long futures contracts are also being accumulated and making higher lows since yesterday. And there's a lot of buy activity on Bitstamp where you generally see more public buying/selling (due to their large European customer base and lack of advanced trading features--it's a pretty basic exchange in that regard).

I agree man...when the price dips below 220 and gets close to 200 I can't help but buy a chunk. I think a lot of people are the same way and that's why when we dip below 200 or even approach it the price boomerangs back up by about 30 bucks. What are the signals of a market bottom aside from a flash crash, super high volume, and then a boomerang in price? Just curious Smiley.
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August 21, 2015, 12:15:39 PM
 #27

Once the XT drama is over and we're approaching the halving, no one has ANY excuse to whine about not getting a chance to buy enough coins. We've been in the 200's for almost a year. You can only blame yourself if you aren't and/or haven't been accumulating all year.

Also, to the panickers and people spreading fud, look at bitcoinrichlist.com. Do you see any of these big dawgs selling? No. I rest my case. There's a winner and a loser in every game. Once you sell you've lost.

The only thing that can eventually eclipse the Bitcoin is Ethereum. Right now it's the only possible case, but with low chances, we won't see another Bitcoin bubble.

That's a very speculative assumption and will have to be proven in the future. Ethereum also can be one of the greatest failures in Altcoin history.
And what do you mean that we won't see another bubble?
I say the exact opposite will happen. We will see several bubbles in the future.It's just a question how huge this bubbles will be.
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August 21, 2015, 12:22:44 PM
 #28

Buying bitcoin is something I do regularly. Not a lot each time. 0.2 btc to 0.5 btc each time. Still loosing money now, will be laughing when price is over $500 next year.

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August 21, 2015, 12:35:12 PM
 #29

People should be buying whole bitcoins at this point...only a matter of time until very few will be able to afford to buy an entire bitcoin at once.
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August 21, 2015, 12:36:01 PM
 #30

Buying bitcoin is something I do regularly. Not a lot each time. 0.2 btc to 0.5 btc each time. Still loosing money now, will be laughing when price is over $500 next year.

Same thing I do. But I might buy a big amount sometime soon and leave it until next year.

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August 21, 2015, 03:08:29 PM
 #31

People should be buying whole bitcoins at this point...only a matter of time until very few will be able to afford to buy an entire bitcoin at once.

I was told the same thing when the price was > $1000, went all-in Cry

Rule #1 of trading, take everything with a grain (or two) of salt. Sorry to hear that though.
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August 21, 2015, 03:35:11 PM
 #32

People should be buying whole bitcoins at this point...only a matter of time until very few will be able to afford to buy an entire bitcoin at once.

I was told the same thing when the price was > $1000, went all-in Cry

Rule #1 of trading, take everything with a grain (or two) of salt. Sorry to hear that though.

And the other #1 rule, dont listen to any "advice" given on this forum, especially in this subforum...well dont listen to 99% of it, some do give thoughtful and thorough market commentary.
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August 21, 2015, 04:14:20 PM
 #33

Buying bitcoin is something I do regularly. Not a lot each time. 0.2 btc to 0.5 btc each time. Still loosing money now, will be laughing when price is over $500 next year.

long term is all that matters. as long as you don't sell, you don't lose. people then will regret not having used this price decline in their advantage.
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August 21, 2015, 04:22:32 PM
 #34

People should be buying whole bitcoins at this point...only a matter of time until very few will be able to afford to buy an entire bitcoin at once.

I was told the same thing when the price was > $1000, went all-in Cry

Rule #1 of trading, take everything with a grain (or two) of salt. Sorry to hear that though.

You shouldn't have listened to those people...you bought at the top of a bull run. This is different. I'm sorry to hear that though. However, if you're still HODLING those coins you haven't lost and will recoup the money eventually my friend.
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