Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)

[Bitinity]

It will be very big shock if Inter Milan won't win Scudetto in this season with very big gaps they have against two biggest competitors.

Something which is so close to impossible obviously. The gap between Inter and AC Milan is now 14 points and there are 9 matches remaining only. Mathematically it is still possible for Inter to lose the scudetto if they lose 5 matches out of 9 remaining matches while on the other side AC Milan win all the 9 remaining matches. This scenario will make Inter have 88 final points while AC milan will have 89 final points. Looking at all the remaining matches of Inter, maybe AC Milan is the only one that may make lose 3 points while the other 8 matches should not be a big deal for Inter to win.

[Sebas.tian]

The AC Milan team has been in pretty good form in their last few matches so of course the match against Fiorentina will make them even more motivated to achieve victory, despite playing at Fiorentina's home ground, but I don't think it will have a big impact on AC MIlan who are in confidence. very high self now.
I am aware that this is a difficult match for both teams but after watching the last few matches of both teams, I am confident enough to bet on AC Milan winning this match.

There should be no reason for Milan not to win the match against Fiorentina because they have to collect more points to avoid being chased by Juventus. Their current position is only temporary because if Milan loses and Juventus wins against Lazio then both will have the same points. This will put pressure on Milan again and it will be difficult to maintain its consistency. Not to mention that Bologna will also be getting closer to them. Rather than betting on Milan, I think the result will be a draw considering that Fiorentina is also not an easy opponent.

I think, Milan will take that match serous so that they will find way to achieve victory from Fiorentina because it will be difficult for the match to end up draw base on the preparation that brought Milan to where they are today in the Italian league competition table. Lazio will make this match difficult for Juventus to win, because they are use to the tactics Juventus are using to play in this season which they will like to block all their tactics to stop them not to achieve victory from the match than to make the match draw 1-1 to share points with Juventus. Milan will going to use this match to eliminate that pressure to be ahead of Juventus in the table, because they have what it takes to win their match with many goals to embrace three points.

[Oluwa-btc]

When the management of AS Roma sacked Jose Mourinho, I was of the opinion that it was too early for the club management to sack a manager who helped the club reach the final of the UEFA Europa League competition last season but little did I know that the club management actually have a different idea from what I think and from every indication, their own idea have actually paid off because since the club signed their new manager Daniele De Rossi, the club's performance have actually improved significantly.
Daniele De Rossi who happens to be the new manager of Roma is managing the senior team of a club for the first in his managerial career but considering his achievement so far with the club, one will think that he's been in the business for longer than less than six months.
Roma is currently doing well and if they can continue with their current form and performances, they might likely end the season season in the top four of the Italian Serie A table

The management of As Roma did right by calling the BS of Jose Mourinho by showing the Portuguese the exit at the right time timing, though they failed to back him with the players he wanted and he has every right to blame them for that, but anyways, these are the same set of players used by Jose Mourinho and they're currently being managed by  Daniel De Rossi.

Jose Mourinho actually won As Roma the UEFA European Conference League Competition and also led them to the European Europa League Competition finals just in two years.
The truth was that they've settled too long without the Champions League Competition, I see that's gone be the main aim for next season.
De Rossi the legend has won a good number of games and is progressing positively in the Europa League Competition. Do they have a chance of defeating Ac Milan?

[Mame89]

It will be very big shock if Inter Milan won't win Scudetto in this season with very big gaps they have against two biggest competitors.

Something which is so close to impossible obviously. The gap between Inter and AC Milan is now 14 points and there are 9 matches remaining only. Mathematically it is still possible for Inter to lose the scudetto if they lose 5 matches out of 9 remaining matches while on the other side AC Milan win all the 9 remaining matches. This scenario will make Inter have 88 final points while AC milan will have 89 final points. Looking at all the remaining matches of Inter, maybe AC Milan is the only one that may make lose 3 points while the other 8 matches should not be a big deal for Inter to win.

Correct. Looking at it any way, it seems very impossible if Inter Milan fail to win the Scudetto this season, they are very impressive and strong in the league this season, even though they failed in the UCL league, their goal is to win the Scudetto especially since this trophy is now one more step in sight. So it is unlikely that Inter Milan will waste this opportunity, especially with 9 matches remaining, they only need a few more matches to lock up the title.

Inter Milan's success cannot be separated from the cool hands of the genius coach Inzaghi, in fact he is quite creative. If you look closely at every match, not only has he mastered the revolutionary consequences of five substitutions in every match, but many managers in Italy have also begun to imitate his habit of always making substitutions after the player gets a yellow card because he doesn't want the player to get a red card. Initially, many people made fun of him for being too careful with yellow card players until a meme appeared in Italy that said (Inzaghi is racist because he is afraid of yellows). But everyone immediately changed their minds when they saw that Inter had never received a red card because of this.

[bering]

In this multi bet, I am confused by the game Torino - Monza. Torino has only 10 wins, and Monza has only 9 losses, it seems to me that the likelihood that this game will end in a draw is very high. In the Inter - Empoli game, it seems to me that it is worth maximizing profits and taking Inter's victory with a handicap, Inter does not need to save strength, so it is likely that there will be a big victory here.

Torino and Monza will compete to win the top ten positions in the standings. At least Monza will continue to try hard to maintain its best position because, in the last five matches, they have only lost one match. For the Inter and Empoli match, I think it will be a boring match because it will definitely be easy for Inter to beat Empoli. If Empoli manages to win this match, then luck will be on their side.

Talking about Torino vs Monza i think this is interesting because since got promote last season i have to says Monza performance is quite stable because at the end of last season Monza can finish at 11th place even so with Torino that previously they can able to finish at 10th place 2 season in a row so although the status of both teams only as small teams in Serie A but the performance of them is quite stable during this season and for next weekend both teams will fight each other and if Torino win then they possibly can able to taking over Monza position at 10th but Monza won't let it happend because they also want to improved their position on league table so it is interesting to see who is the winner of this match

Monza performance a bit better compared to Torino because they can able to gets 4 wins in the last 5 matches in Serie A and Monza only lost from Roma but Torino also cannot be underestimate because recently they can able to beat Udinese and draw from Napoli and actually the outcomes of this match is hard to predicted because both teams is equally strong although Torino playing as a host but there is no guarantee Torino will be able to beat Monza because Monza away matches records also quite good because they can able to beat their opponents several times from away matches and according to the meeting statistics previously both teams can playing draw twice and for this match too most likely will ended to draw too

[len01]

In this multi bet, I am confused by the game Torino - Monza. Torino has only 10 wins, and Monza has only 9 losses, it seems to me that the likelihood that this game will end in a draw is very high. In the Inter - Empoli game, it seems to me that it is worth maximizing profits and taking Inter's victory with a handicap, Inter does not need to save strength, so it is likely that there will be a big victory here.

Torino and Monza will compete to win the top ten positions in the standings. At least Monza will continue to try hard to maintain its best position because, in the last five matches, they have only lost one match. For the Inter and Empoli match, I think it will be a boring match because it will definitely be easy for Inter to beat Empoli. If Empoli manages to win this match, then luck will be on their side.

Talking about Torino vs Monza i think this is interesting because since got promote last season i have to says Monza performance is quite stable because at the end of last season Monza can finish at 11th place even so with Torino that previously they can able to finish at 10th place 2 season in a row so although the status of both teams only as small teams in Serie A but the performance of them is quite stable during this season and for next weekend both teams will fight each other and if Torino win then they possibly can able to taking over Monza position at 10th but Monza won't let it happend because they also want to improved their position on league table so it is interesting to see who is the winner of this match

Torino vs Monza match still provides a bit of difficulty in analyzing who can win the match and according to history it says that Torino is superior to Monza but since this season started Monza has had a good change, being able to withstand strong attacks from Torina and this draw could be an experience looking for Torino weaknesses and will respond with victory in the upcoming matches.
looking at Monza recent performance makes me believe that the result of this match only has 2 possibilities: Monza winning or drawing and seeing that Torino currently doesn't want to lose points so for me a draw is a slightly bigger chance.
maybe the reason I say it could be a draw is because if we compare the results conceded by both teams Manza conceded 36 scores and Torino only conceded 26 scores and from here we can see that Monza defense is much worse even though they have more points than Torino but still have a chance to split the score evenly.
but even though Monza has a bad defense, at least they can get 4 wins, even 1 of those wins came from beating Milan.

[Google+]

Something which is so close to impossible obviously. The gap between Inter and AC Milan is now 14 points and there are 9 matches remaining only. Mathematically it is still possible for Inter to lose the scudetto if they lose 5 matches out of 9 remaining matches while on the other side AC Milan win all the 9 remaining matches. This scenario will make Inter have 88 final points while AC milan will have 89 final points. Looking at all the remaining matches of Inter, maybe AC Milan is the only one that may make lose 3 points while the other 8 matches should not be a big deal for Inter to win.

Intermilan has run far enough even though their position can still be chased by other teams such as ac milan, indeed the difference of 14 goals is not something impossible to chase when all teams still have the opportunity to get 9x3=27 points, including ac milan which is inter milan's closest rival at this time, but the question now is it possible that intermilan will lose as many as 5 games and Milan is able to sekosisten it to win all the remaining games?

If I personally would firmly say it could not be man, because after all so far Intermilan have tried very hard to Achieve everything they have Achieved at the moment, and certainly they will not let go of It so easily, expecting 5 defeats to Intermilan this season I think it is very impossible without also losing to AC Milan in the remaining games, I think Intermilan are the only ones who will be able to get the Scudetto even though the two teams will probably Compete until the end of the season, because I don't think AC Milan will be able to get close to Intermilan even until the end of the season no less than 10 points.

[hyudien]

It will be very big shock if Inter Milan won't win Scudetto in this season with very big gaps they have against two biggest competitors.

Something which is so close to impossible obviously. The gap between Inter and AC Milan is now 14 points and there are 9 matches remaining only. Mathematically it is still possible for Inter to lose the scudetto if they lose 5 matches out of 9 remaining matches while on the other side AC Milan win all the 9 remaining matches. This scenario will make Inter have 88 final points while AC milan will have 89 final points. Looking at all the remaining matches of Inter, maybe AC Milan is the only one that may make lose 3 points while the other 8 matches should not be a big deal for Inter to win.

That scenario would be very difficult to happen, especially now that Inter Milan is also in very good condition, and will now even focus on Serie A after they had to be eliminated from the Champions League in the round of 16, when they had to be knocked out by a team from Spain, Atletico Madrid. In this way, Inter Milan will not want to lose the title again, especially since they only need to win a few more matches to be able to lock up the title this season. It would be very disappointing if they failed after they had led by such a large margin like this.
For me there is no reason for Inter Milan to fail this season, because they are already close to winning and are a long way from the team that is in 2nd place. Unless they have to be very unlucky to receive consecutive defeats, but I still think that is something that is impossible to happen, although nothing is impossible in football. But I'm just being realistic in assessing this. Because it is not easy to beat Inter Milan in Serie A this season.

[Velvet78]

We are starting the week with a quite competitive game which is Napoli - Atalanta. None of these teams have a big goal to achieve in the Serie A from now on though. However they can at least qualify for a European tournament as both of their chances still exist. Atalanta are technically in a more advantageous condition at the moment because of having a missing game to play too.

On the other hand their previous head-to-head ended up with Napoli's win. I think we will watch another close game but Napoli will manage to win at the end by a small margin like 2-1 or so. This would be a big hit to Atalanta's Champions League hopes too. 

[Marvell1]

    “You could easily lose a game like this, despite the three or four late chances we had. We need to reorganise our ideas, set our sights on an objective and stop conceding goals so easily.

    “Even though against Udinese we had five or six chances, we did not convert. It can happen, but what we absolutely must not get wrong is the attitude that allowed us to bring home wins in the first four months, that we are not showing now.

    “Football is a sport where it takes a long time to build and it can all be knocked down in an instant. So we need to get our ideas back in order.”

Source: Speaking after the game, coach Massimiliano Allegri cut a forlorn figure


The performance from Juventus is not good at the moment. In the last 5 matches, they have only been able to win one. If they could perform a little better, they would have been in the second position right now. But they have given a free pass to Milan to be in the second position.

I don't think they have any serious threat from Bologna at this moment because Juventus is 5 points ahead of them.

But if Juventus is unable to improve their performance, I can see Bologna decreasing the point gap very soon. If Juventus is actually able to improve it is still possible for them to get to the second position. But with the recent inconsistencies that they have shown, it is hard to trust Juventus for me at this moment.

[Bobrox]

Jose Mourinho actually won As Roma the UEFA European Conference League Competition and also led them to the European Europa League Competition finals just in two years.
The truth was that they've settled too long without the Champions League Competition, I see that's gone be the main aim for next season.
De Rossi the legend has won a good number of games and is progressing positively in the Europa League Competition. Do they have a chance of defeating Ac Milan?

So far, what did by AS Roma's management quit right after sacking Jose Mourinho from head coach position and replacing by Daniele De Rossi success change the tactical games play of Roma and has chance for qualifying to Champion League next season with three points left from Bologna as the 4th standings team. But not blame AS Roma's achieved under Jose Mourinho success get the first trophy after waiting more longer time by winning UEFA Conference League and Roma lead to final Europe League last season.

AS Roma progressing quit well under Daniele De Rossi and left few matches in domestic league for him to proof him self right choose become AS Roma manager permanently for the next season if can qualify to Champion League, actually has two way for Roma playing in UCL next season by finishing on top fourth standings in domestic league or must winning Europe League.

[bangjoe]

I myself am actually quite confused with Juventus because indeed they are sometimes very strong and sometimes also weak in performance, they do not have consistency in their best performance so that is what prevents them from getting the first position, but of all Juventus are very strong and can even beat Inter Milan if they are in their best performance.

Juventus just lacks the best players so they cannot compete with Inter Milan. This is the cause of Juventus' inconsistency in the title race this season, because Inter Milan is quite better than Juventus this season and it is certain that Inter Milan will win the title this season and Juventus must accept that, but even so, Juventus' task now is to ensure they can finish in the top four of the current standings in order to get a UCL ticket next season.

Recently, it is true that Juventus has not been very good, often experiencing bad results in their last few matches. If they continue to let it happen, Juventus will be eliminated, because Bologna and Roma could move Juventus out of the top four of the standings. Allegri has an important task at this time. This is to convince the Juventus players and increase their self-confidence so that they can play even better and optimally to be able to get full points and be on track to win until the end of the season. Since their failure to maintain their position at the top of the standings and the defeat against Inter Milan at that time, Juventus has not been doing well since until now.

Yes you are right, indeed Juventus lost their best players and now only a few are left and are still developing towards their best performance. Simone Inzhagi needs to recruit players who are experienced and can bring a new atmosphere for Juventus to be better.

Yes, the thing that I am quite worried about is that indeed Roma and Bologna now have the power to bring down Juventus and that will make Juventus even worse in the standings, while the season will end, and it could be that this season will not be nominated to the champions league again as before, it is very unfortunate if it happens again to Juventus.

[wakier]

The battle to stay away from the relegation zone has become quite intense this season. Lecce, who are 13th in the table, are only 4 points clear of Forsinone, who are in the relegation zone. So these teams have a high chance of going to the relegation zone. Teams must maintain consistency of performance if they want to stay away from the relegation zone.

Teams that are threatened with going into the relegation zone will definitely try hard to stay away, even though they have to struggle to get the full 3 points, Frosinone and Lecce even though they have quite a big difference in ranking, the difference between the two teams is only 3 points, which means Frosinone still has a chance to stay away. from the relegation zone if he is able to win the match over Genoa and hopes that Lecce does not increase his total points because he will face AS Roma and this is a tough match for Lecce and Frosinone should take advantage of this momentum to win.

[poodle63]

In this multi bet, I am confused by the game Torino - Monza. Torino has only 10 wins, and Monza has only 9 losses, it seems to me that the likelihood that this game will end in a draw is very high. In the Inter - Empoli game, it seems to me that it is worth maximizing profits and taking Inter's victory with a handicap, Inter does not need to save strength, so it is likely that there will be a big victory here.

Torino and Monza will compete to win the top ten positions in the standings. At least Monza will continue to try hard to maintain its best position because, in the last five matches, they have only lost one match. For the Inter and Empoli match, I think it will be a boring match because it will definitely be easy for Inter to beat Empoli. If Empoli manages to win this match, then luck will be on their side.

Torino vs. Monza is hard to guess. It's because the performances from these clubs are almost equal, but I think that there will be few goals in this game. I have only some best choices for this match.

Total over 1.5 / Total over 1.75 offered very good odds for this match but 1x2 still offers greater odds than it. I think that torino can win the game soon. The only problem if the chance for draw to happen is quite big.

I believe these clubs will be scoring in the upcoming game which means that BTTS is likely to happen but yeah total over is very safe to pick since it offers pretty nice odds even when it was below 2.

It's very risky to predict 1x2. I would rather pick double chance to have a better chance of winning my bet. Torino will be able to win against Monza soon.

[topbitcoin]

The match between Milan and Fiorentina actually I am quite positive and optimistic to support Milan at this time because looking at the probability between the two clubs, it is indeed possible for Milan to get 3 points in this match even though it is possible that this match will be a little troublesome because Fiorentina will play home and statistics. Fiorentina, who still often get draws, it is possible that draws can still happen but I still feel Milan can get 3 points in the match later but it's a different story for Juventus against Lazio because after all, with the current conditions, to be honest, I still doubt Juventus' performance because the consistency is not too good.
Against several clubs hanging below them alone Juventus are still in trouble even though Lazio are also not very good in terms of performance but betting on Juventus in my opinion is a very big risk.

Yes, in terms of the situation, Juventus are currently a little complicated because even in other appearances Lazio are currently also still struggling to make them consistent as before but indeed the negative results they have received in the last 4 matches because they can only win 1 victory, so it is possible that it can be used as an amplifier that Juventus are still quite able to get 3 points in this match, it's just that indeed seeing from other conditions Juventus are also still very troubled to improve their performance that they also now have to be overtaken by Milan because of their poor performance.
For Milan I don't really doubt now because their performance is still quite stable but being too sure is certainly not good and indeed for a bet of course we have to look from all angles so that the confidence we have is not easily shaken and confident in the bets made.

The previous 3 consecutive defeats for Lazio make the conditions a little more complicated but indeed playing at home can also be a strength where Lazio can make an advantage in the matches they do.
Now for the match between Lazio and Juventus it depends on the quality of their attack because after all it will have an effect only I don't want to expect too high in this especially with the inconsistent productivity of Lazio and Juventus this season makes me not want to expect too much although expecting this match to be interesting.

For Milan I think their chance is quite big but the conditions are still not possible to cancel 3 points for them.
Fiorentina always put quite good pressure and their game patterns are still very possible to make Milan confused so Milan certainly have to be careful if they don't want to lose momentum and not get points in the match week 30 later.

[Chilwell]

In this multi bet, I am confused by the game Torino - Monza. Torino has only 10 wins, and Monza has only 9 losses, it seems to me that the likelihood that this game will end in a draw is very high. In the Inter - Empoli game, it seems to me that it is worth maximizing profits and taking Inter's victory with a handicap, Inter does not need to save strength, so it is likely that there will be a big victory here.

Torino and Monza will compete to win the top ten positions in the standings. At least Monza will continue to try hard to maintain its best position because, in the last five matches, they have only lost one match. For the Inter and Empoli match, I think it will be a boring match because it will definitely be easy for Inter to beat Empoli. If Empoli manages to win this match, then luck will be on their side.

At this stage now Monza have the chances of maintaining that position because they have better record and consistent performance than Torino, i will say Torino will end up in that position, even Lecce that are behind are not performing well too if not I will say Torino are in trouble but now they are a little bit balance because the points gaps is wide. With regard to Inter and Empoli, before the match day Empoli already know hiw the match will be, Inter are different this season which surprised everyone because we don't expect this rapid development of the team, I was hoping that Napoli  will also try it this season but unfortunately they broke down the road. Inter will be adding 3 points to the existing one after Empoli game.

[xzone]

It will be very big shock if Inter Milan won't win Scudetto in this season with very big gaps they have against two biggest competitors.

Something which is so close to impossible obviously. The gap between Inter and AC Milan is now 14 points and there are 9 matches remaining only. Mathematically it is still possible for Inter to lose the scudetto if they lose 5 matches out of 9 remaining matches while on the other side AC Milan win all the 9 remaining matches. This scenario will make Inter have 88 final points while AC milan will have 89 final points. Looking at all the remaining matches of Inter, maybe AC Milan is the only one that may make lose 3 points while the other 8 matches should not be a big deal for Inter to win.

Statistically, the season is still not over, but both teams and players are now starting to think that Inter Milan won the league. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, Inter's performance may suddenly drop or something may happen, but I have accepted that they will be champions now.
Talking about which team can finish second in the league gives me more excitement now

[Odohu]

Something which is so close to impossible obviously. The gap between Inter and AC Milan is now 14 points and there are 9 matches remaining only. Mathematically it is still possible for Inter to lose the scudetto if they lose 5 matches out of 9 remaining matches while on the other side AC Milan win all the 9 remaining matches. This scenario will make Inter have 88 final points while AC milan will have 89 final points. Looking at all the remaining matches of Inter, maybe AC Milan is the only one that may make lose 3 points while the other 8 matches should not be a big deal for Inter to win.

Statistically, the season is still not over, but both teams and players are now starting to think that Inter Milan won the league. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, Inter's performance may suddenly drop or something may happen, but I have accepted that they will be champions now.
Talking about which team can finish second in the league gives me more excitement now

There are 9 matches remaining to play before the season ends and Inter Milan is leading AC Milan, their closest rival, with 14 points gap. Assuming AC Milan wins their 9 matches that will be a total of 27 points. Under such situation, Inter Milan needs to win only 5 of their remaining 9 matches and they will win the league. As can be seen from their performance this season and for the fact that they are out of champions league, I don't see anything that will stop them from winning the five matches needed to win the league on the ground that AC Milan will win their 9 remaining matches. In my humble opinion, we should look beyond this season because it is already a done deal that Inter Milan will win the league.

[rendravolt]

Torino vs. Monza is hard to guess. It's because the performances from these clubs are almost equal, but I think that there will be few goals in this game. I have only some best choices for this match.

Total over 1.5 / Total over 1.75 offered very good odds for this match but 1x2 still offers greater odds than it. I think that torino can win the game soon. The only problem if the chance for draw to happen is quite big.

I believe these clubs will be scoring in the upcoming game which means that BTTS is likely to happen but yeah total over is very safe to pick since it offers pretty nice odds even when it was below 2.

It's very risky to predict 1x2. I would rather pick double chance to have a better chance of winning my bet. Torino will be able to win against Monza soon.

There are too many possibilities in betting and actually matches like this are not very easy to predict. Maybe I would say that Torino has no problems winning against Monza, but on the other hand, if Monza manages to make it difficult for them in the away game, the results will certainly turn around. Apart from that, the large odds number 1x2 is also not too confusing because the home win is guaranteed. However, there are times when this can also become a boomerang where the host may fall.

I would prefer to bet on over goals because it is a little safer than other options. I also don't think both teams will be able to score goals against each other and it's quite dangerous if we choose that option. So it's better that over 1.5 is still much calmer than expecting the two teams to match each other's scores. The odds obtained are also almost the same as Torino's 1x2 win so it is indeed an option that is worth betting on among other options.

[KTChampions]

In this multi bet, I am confused by the game Torino - Monza. Torino has only 10 wins, and Monza has only 9 losses, it seems to me that the likelihood that this game will end in a draw is very high. In the Inter - Empoli game, it seems to me that it is worth maximizing profits and taking Inter's victory with a handicap, Inter does not need to save strength, so it is likely that there will be a big victory here.

Apart from the match between Torino and Monza, I personally am also very confused about the match between Genoa and Frosinone. Because if you look at the Serie A standings, Genoa is definitely superior to Frosinone. Then if you look at the Head to Head of the last five meetings, the result is a draw, namely 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw. However, if we refer to the last meeting between Genoa and Frosinone, the result was that Frosinone managed to beat Genoa with a score of 2-1. So here I am confused about which club to choose, between Genoa which is in a better ranking than Frosinone or choosing Frosinone which can win the match in the last meeting. Maybe right now I can't determine it, because it really confuses me.

Then regarding Torino's match against Monza, I personally will decide to choose Torino. The reason is, so far Torino has sometimes been able to create surprises by beating big teams, for example Napoli. So I've made my decision, I'll choose Torino. And regarding the Inter Milan VS Empoli match, I also agree with you, that this match will definitely be won easily by Inter Milan. But even so, we still have to be careful. because it could be that luck or a miracle happens to Empoli and Inter Milan ends up losing. So the point is, don't get too emotional by betting a lot on the Inter Milan VS Empoli match, just because the possibility of Inter Milan winning is very big.
And for other club matches, I also have the same choice as you @bastisisca. Except for the match between Genoa VS Frosinone which still confuses me.

There is a risk in every bet and in a bet on Genoa too, the only question is whether this risk is justified (by potential profit) or not. In my opinion, in the case of Genoa the risk is justified, but in the case of Torino it is not, and the most likely outcome there is a draw. As for the victory over Napoli, it means nothing since Napoli is not a big team this season and although Napoli are formally the defending champions, they play like ordinary teams from the middle of the standings.
As for the bet on Inter with a handicap, I proceed from the assumption that if a surprise occurs, then we can lose even a simple bet (if there is a draw), but if everything goes as it should, then Inter will win 2-0, 3-0, 3-1 something like this, so we must focus on such a result to maximize profit.