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Author Topic: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread  (Read 792640 times)
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December 01, 2025, 10:45:22 AM
 #73141


Bayern Leverkusen will be travelling to Dortmund tomorrow to face them for the DFB pokai round of 16 game just after loosing to them at home. This game is going to be but competitive and a revenge mission. I hope they win to keep their courage high. The Erik Ten hag spell is gradually easing off and I hope to see Leverkusen back to the team they were under Xabi Alonso.
A lot is at stake on this particular fixture and so we ge to expect a really serious contending game between both sides, if it were in the days if xabi, I would be confident to say Leverkusen has an edge here but undr their current coach, I will not be able  to express such because evening the game against Dortmund in the Bundesliga, Dortmund did dominated most, they had a better play but Leverkusen was just within average in that particular game.
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December 01, 2025, 10:49:17 AM
 #73142

I think this is a pay back for the season before where Leverkusen was dominating the whole team in the Bundesliga without any beating them, now they are feeling that same defeat. I'm not happy with how weak Bayer Leverkusen has become ever since they went unbeaten, it has been struggling from one game to the other, imagine how they wanted to hold Dortmund to a draw and it would have been a comfortable result for them but it seems like Dortmund are gradually getting up to be at their best and I hope this form continues because they (Dortmund) have a lot of game to handle, important ones and they should know the problem they had I'm the previous seasons to work on it and as for Adeyemi I think has improved too.
Bayern Leverkusen can't continue the winning performance after winning four matches in a row all competition exactly over confidence after beating Manchester City in Champion League. Two winning in a row at Bundesliga of Leverkusen record stopping by Dortmund have two draw in a row at Bundesliga, Dortmund now back to 3rd position place and make Leverkusen standings drop to 4th position. Leverkusen on transition performance after sacking Erik ten Hag and new manager actually have played well by winning many matches in domestic league and still existing at Champion League by winning 2 matches.

Interested for next match, Dortmund will face Leverkusen but both teams will face at DFP Pokal Cup round of 16 and moment for Leverkusen to revenge loss in Bundesliga match.

That's the thing with this guy's Leverkusen, they are now playing like Dortmund as in terms of performance, they win against a very strong side in the champions league but they could not use that same energy to play against Dortmund, 2nil against Manchester City should have boost their morale making them be the favorite, highest they should have gotten a draw to settle it all. As it stands every match is as important as a final and nobody should say there's still time because the time they say they have will be a late time to do anything. Keeping close to Bayern Munich should be the target for now should incase the league leaders drop point they'll move up but now losing to Dortmund will make it difficult to keep track of Bayern Munich.
For Erik ten Hag I don't feel he was ready to work with the players he had as of then but he was hoping to recruit more players to help strengthen the team but the management had other plans for the club.
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December 01, 2025, 11:12:05 AM
 #73143

In today's matches we saw Hamburg and Freiburg games went over 2.5 goals, but the Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Wolfsburg match I bet on ended 1-1. There were chances in that match too, but the third goal didn't come. It was an unlucky day for me. I could've picked other matches, but this one seemed more certain to me. If the first goal had come early, it might have gone over again, but the goals came very late.
Eintracht Frankfurt should've won this match. They salvaged a single point with a last-minute penalty. They fell behind in the standings with this score.
Frankfurt is one of the teams in Bundesliga I love to have them always for over in betting because their attack is one of the best, and mostly they played open games just because of this they have good number of over 2.5 but in last 8 games they have only 3 games going over 2.5 this is strange.

They are currently at 7th position in league table their next game is against RB Leipzig this is going to be exciting game Frankfurt looking for having their chances into top spots while Leipzig is also facing pressure due to good results from Borussia Dortmund this season is having good fight for Champions League spots. For this game I am expecting most chances both teams will play aggressive soccer and match result going over is looking good for betting Leipzig is looking better at home turf.
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December 01, 2025, 11:27:54 AM
 #73144

Reviewing my previous predictions, this actually feels pretty ridiculous to me. Both Stuttgart and Frankfurt performed poorly. Stuttgart had a huge chance to win after Hamburger went down to 10 men in the 80th minute, but hilariously they ended up conceding in the 90+ minute. Isn’t that just absurd?

Then Frankfurt, playing at home, should’ve had a bigger advantage to beat Wolfsburg, who are in terrible form right now. But Frankfurt struggled at their own stadium and only managed to score from a penalty. Out of 15 shots, only 3 were on target. Really frustrating.

Odds @7+ completely destroyed by these goofy matches.  Undecided



The most frustrating aspect of these two matches for me was the Frankfurt team. It was odd that I predicted they would score at least two goals, considering their clinical attack beforehand. It turns out I was completely wrong. How could I not be annoyed, with only three of their 15 shots on target? They truly ruined my mood last night. It was a huge mistake not to take the BTTS (yes) bet here.
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December 01, 2025, 11:45:53 AM
 #73145

I think this is a pay back for the season before where Leverkusen was dominating the whole team in the Bundesliga without any beating them, now they are feeling that same defeat. I'm not happy with how weak Bayer Leverkusen has become ever since they went unbeaten, it has been struggling from one game to the other, imagine how they wanted to hold Dortmund to a draw and it would have been a comfortable result for them but it seems like Dortmund are gradually getting up to be at their best and I hope this form continues because they (Dortmund) have a lot of game to handle, important ones and they should know the problem they had I'm the previous seasons to work on it and as for Adeyemi I think has improved too.
Bayer Leverkusen have their best and worst days in last few years under Xabi Alonso they won their first ever Bundesliga title and also stay undefeated for long time but after change of coach they have the worst time specially under Eric Ten Hag they were terrible but management done good and quick decision now they are much stable.

They are currently at 4th spot with lost against Borussia Dortmund hurt them badly but still they have good chance of keeping themselves into good position and also keeping their performance on good level Hjulmand doing good job and his strategy is also working hopefully they could be able to stay in good spot.

It was as if Alonso's departure was the cause of the club declining in performance, honestly it looks that way because as soon as he left some players also left the club and it made the team to be exposed and weak, like nothing would work no matter how hard they try, I wonder how the next manager would manage a team that have sold all their players I mean good players, that's why I don't blame ETH even if he likes making mouth I don't think it was his fault that they couldn't perform well.
The current position they're in can't be a garranty that they'll do better or maintain that position or better still upgrade to the next position, they can drop point after losing to Dortmund. I was expecting a string fightbto the end and honestly speaking I can trust this Dortmund side because they are similar to Leverkusen, always off color. It will be best to see a much more better display by Leverkusen in their next meeting against Dortmund.
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December 01, 2025, 11:54:35 AM
 #73146


Bayern Leverkusen will be travelling to Dortmund tomorrow to face them for the DFB pokai round of 16 game just after loosing to them at home. This game is going to be but competitive and a revenge mission. I hope they win to keep their courage high. The Erik Ten hag spell is gradually easing off and I hope to see Leverkusen back to the team they were under Xabi Alonso.
A lot is at stake on this particular fixture and so we ge to expect a really serious contending game between both sides, if it were in the days if xabi, I would be confident to say Leverkusen has an edge here but undr their current coach, I will not be able  to express such because evening the game against Dortmund in the Bundesliga, Dortmund did dominated most, they had a better play but Leverkusen was just within average in that particular game.

In yesterday's match Leverkusen played very well even dominating the match, but they couldn't capitalize on their scoring opportunities. Ultimately Dortmund took home three crucial points. Dortmund played very solidly in that match especially their defense which was a key factor in their ability to thwart Leverkusen's pressure.

Dortmund played disciplined from the start successfully quelling Leverkusen's pressure. Therefore Dortmund deserved their victory, as they not only played solidly but also maintained their composure under constant pressure. The two will face each other again in the round of 16 of the DFB-Pokal next week. It will be interesting to see whether the two coaches will employ the same strategy or employ different strategies. I personally want to bet on the Over goal in this match, as DFB-Pokal matches typically produce a high number of goals.

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December 01, 2025, 12:35:06 PM
 #73147

I think this is a pay back for the season before where Leverkusen was dominating the whole team in the Bundesliga without any beating them, now they are feeling that same defeat. I'm not happy with how weak Bayer Leverkusen has become ever since they went unbeaten, it has been struggling from one game to the other, imagine how they wanted to hold Dortmund to a draw and it would have been a comfortable result for them but it seems like Dortmund are gradually getting up to be at their best and I hope this form continues because they (Dortmund) have a lot of game to handle, important ones and they should know the problem they had I'm the previous seasons to work on it and as for Adeyemi I think has improved too.
Bayern Leverkusen can't continue the winning performance after winning four matches in a row all competition exactly over confidence after beating Manchester City in Champion League. Two winning in a row at Bundesliga of Leverkusen record stopping by Dortmund have two draw in a row at Bundesliga, Dortmund now back to 3rd position place and make Leverkusen standings drop to 4th position. Leverkusen on transition performance after sacking Erik ten Hag and new manager actually have played well by winning many matches in domestic league and still existing at Champion League by winning 2 matches.

Interested for next match, Dortmund will face Leverkusen but both teams will face at DFP Pokal Cup round of 16 and moment for Leverkusen to revenge loss in Bundesliga match.
I kind of have the opposite view of this tie than you do. For me, Dortmund are the scary grown-ups in the room at the moment. Leverkusen under Hjulmand are fun - loads of possession, still playing brave even after losing half their core and half their midfield due to injuries. You can understand why neutrals love them. But they live right on the edge, high line, lines made up, Grimaldo being called to be superhero every week. That's how you have nights like City away . . . and then have your head sliced open by Adeyemi four days later.

Dortmund under Kovac are boring in the best possible way. They don't have to get 65% of the ball in control. They just wait on you to overcommit, and then send Adeyemi into the space you vacate. Add that defensive record and the bigness they bring on set-pieces and you had, in a knockout, the kind of team that you hate facing.

Leverkusen can absolutely "revenge" for this on an emotion and one big performance. But if I had to bet on one of these versions in this stadium, under pressure of the cup for 90 minutes, that's Dortmund every single time.
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December 01, 2025, 01:02:43 PM
 #73148

Bayern Leverkusen can't continue the winning performance after winning four matches in a row all competition exactly over confidence after beating Manchester City in Champion League. Two winning in a row at Bundesliga of Leverkusen record stopping by Dortmund have two draw in a row at Bundesliga, Dortmund now back to 3rd position place and make Leverkusen standings drop to 4th position. Leverkusen on transition performance after sacking Erik ten Hag and new manager actually have played well by winning many matches in domestic league and still existing at Champion League by winning 2 matches.

Interested for next match, Dortmund will face Leverkusen but both teams will face at DFP Pokal Cup round of 16 and moment for Leverkusen to revenge loss in Bundesliga match.

Leverkusen was in good form. After the defeat against Bayern Munich, Leverkusen won four  matches in a row. They defeated a renowned team like Manchester City 2-0. But they stumbled against Dortmund.

I expected Leverkusen to win. But dortmund was lucky in this match, there is no way to deny it. Dortmund's players only had 6 shots in this match. They were able to find the  weakness of leverkusen's defense. As a result, the team got a 2- 0 lead in  65 minutes. After leading 2-0, Dortmund had no chance of losing points in the match. Also dortmund played defensively in this match.

If Leverkusen could win this match , the team would have been in second place in the table. Dortmund's position improved. They are now in third place in the table. But it will not be possible for any team to fight with Munich for the title. Munich is 8 points ahead of Leipzig.

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December 01, 2025, 01:38:32 PM
Merited by mv1986 (1)
 #73149

Reviewing my previous predictions, this actually feels pretty ridiculous to me. Both Stuttgart and Frankfurt performed poorly. Stuttgart had a huge chance to win after Hamburger went down to 10 men in the 80th minute, but hilariously they ended up conceding in the 90+ minute. Isn’t that just absurd?
Odds @7+ completely destroyed by these goofy matches.  Undecided

You took 1.7 odds on inconsistent teams, it's not like those are goofy matches, that's how they play. Frankfurt is a mess of inconsistency, just look at their past matches, past results, past goals scored, and total goals, and you will see that they are just impossible to predict.
Have you been able to get what they were doing in the last 6 matches with 1x2 results you would have had an 800x winning parlay.
Dortmund is 160x
Bayer, even with the surprise win over Manchester, is 300x
Leipzig is 100x
Bayern is 70x.
Why bother?




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December 01, 2025, 01:46:19 PM
 #73150

Reviewing my previous predictions, this actually feels pretty ridiculous to me. Both Stuttgart and Frankfurt performed poorly. Stuttgart had a huge chance to win after Hamburger went down to 10 men in the 80th minute, but hilariously they ended up conceding in the 90+ minute. Isn’t that just absurd?
Odds @7+ completely destroyed by these goofy matches.  Undecided

You took 1.7 odds on inconsistent teams, it's not like those are goofy matches, that's how they play. Frankfurt is a mess of inconsistency, just look at their past matches, past results, past goals scored, and total goals, and you will see that they are just impossible to predict.
Have you been able to get what they were doing in the last 6 matches with 1x2 results you would have had an 800x winning parlay.
Dortmund is 160x
Bayer, even with the surprise win over Manchester, is 300x
Leipzig is 100x
Bayern is 70x.
Why bother?


I rarely give merits to posts in the gambling discussion section, but I have to admit this is a good way to look at things and make clear tp people that long-term betting is a losing game. Just take the last 6 games of a single team and see what the odds would have been if you got that right. That's crazy, even Bayern is @70x? I hope a lot of those who think they can make gambling their main source of income will see your post here. I didn't look at this from the perspective you presented here. You made a good point!

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December 01, 2025, 01:59:50 PM
 #73151


Bayern Leverkusen will be travelling to Dortmund tomorrow to face them for the DFB pokai round of 16 game just after loosing to them at home. This game is going to be but competitive and a revenge mission. I hope they win to keep their courage high. The Erik Ten hag spell is gradually easing off and I hope to see Leverkusen back to the team they were under Xabi Alonso.
A lot is at stake on this particular fixture and so we ge to expect a really serious contending game between both sides, if it were in the days if xabi, I would be confident to say Leverkusen has an edge here but undr their current coach, I will not be able  to express such because evening the game against Dortmund in the Bundesliga, Dortmund did dominated most, they had a better play but Leverkusen was just within average in that particular game.
Bayer Leverkusen losing to Borussia Dortmund at home over the weekend and then travelling to the Signal Iduna Park three days later to go seek for a revenge I think is one of the most difficult tasks they'll ever face this season. They had the opportunity of winning their German Bundesliga game against Dortmund in front of their home fans but couldn't, do you think they'll do that now that Dortmund will be playing at home in front of their fans that are known their loud chants? It's a loser gets eliminated game so I expect Bayer Leverkusen to go all out but for who'll win the game, I think Borussia Dortmund stands in a better position to win.
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December 01, 2025, 02:00:26 PM
 #73152

Reviewing my previous predictions, this actually feels pretty ridiculous to me. Both Stuttgart and Frankfurt performed poorly. Stuttgart had a huge chance to win after Hamburger went down to 10 men in the 80th minute, but hilariously they ended up conceding in the 90+ minute. Isn’t that just absurd?
Odds @7+ completely destroyed by these goofy matches.  Undecided

You took 1.7 odds on inconsistent teams, it's not like those are goofy matches, that's how they play. Frankfurt is a mess of inconsistency, just look at their past matches, past results, past goals scored, and total goals, and you will see that they are just impossible to predict.
Have you been able to get what they were doing in the last 6 matches with 1x2 results you would have had an 800x winning parlay.
Dortmund is 160x
Bayer, even with the surprise win over Manchester, is 300x
Leipzig is 100x
Bayern is 70x.
Why bother?


I rarely give merits to posts in the gambling discussion section, but I have to admit this is a good way to look at things and make clear tp people that long-term betting is a losing game. Just take the last 6 games of a single team and see what the odds would have been if you got that right. That's crazy, even Bayern is @70x? I hope a lot of those who think they can make gambling their main source of income will see your post here. I didn't look at this from the perspective you presented here. You made a good point!

The match with Union and the nearly 7x odds before the match for the draw are the culprit there.
Had Bayern won that match, their odds would be around 11x for the last 6 games, even with Arsenal and PSG in the picture.

But still, betting on Frankfurt is playing roulette, and when you beat Galata 5-1, Galata beats Liverpool 1-0, and Liverpool beats Frankfurt 5-1, there you have 3 in 1 cocktail of teams that should be avoided unless you really enjoy surprises down to masochistic levels. Oh and another 5-1 in the mix with Atletico, how could I forget!

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December 01, 2025, 02:07:09 PM
 #73153

You took 1.7 odds on inconsistent teams, it's not like those are goofy matches, that's how they play. Frankfurt is a mess of inconsistency, just look at their past matches, past results, past goals scored, and total goals, and you will see that they are just impossible to predict.
Have you been able to get what they were doing in the last 6 matches with 1x2 results you would have had an 800x winning parlay.
Dortmund is 160x
Bayer, even with the surprise win over Manchester, is 300x
Leipzig is 100x
Bayern is 70x.
Why bother?

I don't quite understand which X's you're talking about. 70x with Bayern in their last six games? That's probably considering we should have predicted a draw against Union? But even so, this figure seems inflated. It's unlikely that Bayern's average odds were higher than 1.5, and a draw in that game was priced at, say, 5.0. Then it comes out to 1.55 x 5 = 38. In principle, the figure is close, and perhaps, taking into account “difficult” opponents like Bayer and Dortmund, the average coefficient was higher than 1.5.

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December 01, 2025, 02:28:16 PM
 #73154

You took 1.7 odds on inconsistent teams, it's not like those are goofy matches, that's how they play. Frankfurt is a mess of inconsistency, just look at their past matches, past results, past goals scored, and total goals, and you will see that they are just impossible to predict.
Have you been able to get what they were doing in the last 6 matches with 1x2 results you would have had an 800x winning parlay.
Dortmund is 160x
Bayer, even with the surprise win over Manchester, is 300x
Leipzig is 100x
Bayern is 70x.
Why bother?

I don't quite understand which X's you're talking about. 70x with Bayern in their last six games? That's probably considering we should have predicted a draw against Union? But even so, this figure seems inflated. It's unlikely that Bayern's average odds were higher than 1.5, and a draw in that game was priced at, say, 5.0. Then it comes out to 1.55 x 5 = 38. In principle, the figure is close, and perhaps, taking into account “difficult” opponents like Bayer and Dortmund, the average coefficient was higher than 1.5.

1.12 vs St Pauli
2.0 vs Arsenal
1.18 vs Freiburg
2.78 vs PSG
1.28 vs Bayer
7.0 vs Union
https://www.oddsportal.com/football/team/bayern-munich/nVp0wiqd/#results

Odds might be there and here with ~10% as oddportal shows the best odds based on country





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December 01, 2025, 02:49:59 PM
 #73155

I don't quite understand which X's you're talking about. 70x with Bayern in their last six games? That's probably considering we should have predicted a draw against Union? But even so, this figure seems inflated. It's unlikely that Bayern's average odds were higher than 1.5, and a draw in that game was priced at, say, 5.0. Then it comes out to 1.55 x 5 = 38. In principle, the figure is close, and perhaps, taking into account “difficult” opponents like Bayer and Dortmund, the average coefficient was higher than 1.5.

1.12 vs St Pauli
2.0 vs Arsenal
1.18 vs Freiburg
2.78 vs PSG
1.28 vs Bayer
7.0 vs Union
https://www.oddsportal.com/football/team/bayern-munich/nVp0wiqd/#results

Odds might be there and here with ~10% as oddportal shows the best odds based on country

Got it. I didn't think you'd take into account games against Arsenal and PSG, which are obviously different from Bundesliga games.
If we take the Bundesliga only, the last 6 games will give: 1.11*1.17*6.89*1.27*1.21*1.24 = 17
Which seems incredibly modest considering that predicting a draw with Union was difficult, and it was this result that made the main contribution to the final odds.

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December 01, 2025, 02:56:56 PM
 #73156


In yesterday's match Leverkusen played very well even dominating the match, but they couldn't capitalize on their scoring opportunities. Ultimately Dortmund took home three crucial points. Dortmund played very solidly in that match especially their defense which was a key factor in their ability to thwart Leverkusen's pressure.

Dortmund played disciplined from the start successfully quelling Leverkusen's pressure. Therefore Dortmund deserved their victory, as they not only played solidly but also maintained their composure under constant pressure. The two will face each other again in the round of 16 of the DFB-Pokal next week. It will be interesting to see whether the two coaches will employ the same strategy or employ different strategies. I personally want to bet on the Over goal in this match, as DFB-Pokal matches typically produce a high number of goals.
I see that Dortmund actually has a better efficiency at conversion than Leverkusen does, this is because neither of both teams did played poorly in the yesterday's game but the ability to utilise opportunities when they come was the absolute edge one had over the other and it did worked perfectly for the other as against the other, so in this their meeting again, I am hoping Leverkusen should have learnt already.
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December 01, 2025, 03:02:13 PM
 #73157

Dortmund were clearly better than Leverkusen in that match. Having close number of shots isn't enough to prove 2 teams playing similarly. Efficiency is a more important factor and Dortmund were definitely better at that!

The thing I'm not contented with on their side is their number of goals this season. They are great about it in the Champions League with 3.4 goals average per game. But it is only 1.75 in the Bundesliga...  Sad
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December 01, 2025, 03:10:14 PM
 #73158


When news of their separation from Xabi Alonso broke, I was already starting to lose hope for Leverkusen. And when the day of their separation announcement arrived, I was clearly expecting it, and that made me even less hopeful.

I don't mean to doubt the new coach or anything. But Leverkusen's success was built by Xabi, and that was in a very short time. Furthermore, the key players were leaving Leverkusen one by one, causing them to lose their previously visible strength. And even with the appointment of a new coach after Xabi, it made me even more convinced that they couldn't maintain their previous form.
It is difficult for Leverkusen to develop or at least maintain the performance like when Xabi Alonso was still managed, his departure greatly affected Leverkusen performance on the field, especially after several key players who succeeded in winning the Bundesliga title also moved to other teams. The results are as you can see at the moment, Leverkusen may not be in too bad a slump, but it is very difficult to provide competition to Bayern Munich with the quality of the squad they currently have.

Leverkusen couldn't resist Real Madrid temptation, especially since Xabi Alonso also had a strong desire to manage the club he once played for. Now with a new coach, their target may be limited to a top four finish, while their chances in the Champions League are really slim.
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December 01, 2025, 03:29:24 PM
 #73159

Frankfurt is one of the teams in Bundesliga I love to have them always for over in betting because their attack is one of the best, and mostly they played open games just because of this they have good number of over 2.5 but in last 8 games they have only 3 games going over 2.5 this is strange.

They are currently at 7th position in league table their next game is against RB Leipzig this is going to be exciting game Frankfurt looking for having their chances into top spots while Leipzig is also facing pressure due to good results from Borussia Dortmund this season is having good fight for Champions League spots. For this game I am expecting most chances both teams will play aggressive soccer and match result going over is looking good for betting Leipzig is looking better at home turf.
Frankfurt is so good on offense that they end up shining new players to stage and then they sell those players for a lot of money and that is why they make that much money. I think it's clear that we are going to see them be this way for a while, they are doing what Dortmund is doing basically, trying to make money so that they can reach a financial situation that they can compete with Bayern Munich eventually.

Not going to have that consistently but they can keep on growing financially by repeating this and then eventually one day be that big. Or if nothing else, they can sustain being top four team all the time ,if they can do that then it would help them financially as well and a good way to win one day if Bayern fails.
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December 01, 2025, 03:37:20 PM
 #73160

Have you noticed the incredible change by Hoffenheim this season? For now they are in even top 4 race. I mean this is a really big improvement compared to what they did last season...  Smiley

When Christian Ilzer first arrived, he had a tough work to do. To keep the team away from relegation. He did it but it wasn't easy. And right after that season he has made a huge progress! They didn't even spend much money last summer.
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