BTC Halving Price Effect Timing

[ridery99]

Let's speculate how soon the coming halving will start take effect on price. I believe BTC halving will be priced before actual halving just like LTC price did before LTC halving.
So how soon btc price will spike? Technical analyses?

[fuddudle]

Theres no real way to valuate the true demand of btc. Most of the orderbooks on every exchange are inorganic.

Therefore, with a decrease in supply schedule, whether the price equilibrium would shift in response is unknown.

[randy8777]

i think a few months before the actual block halving. or we may see the price go up slowly from now on to juli 2016 and we won't notice the "pump"

[cobblelyf]

it will start having an effect like a month before halving

[1Referee]

That's the thing, we don't know that. Perhaps that people think something will happen and start buying right now to make sure they don't miss out. I think that will happen at the very beginning of Januari. Or it can also take a dive 

[Denker]

In first quarter of next year we might start to see halving influence. I also believe it will be priced in earlier.
But I don't expect to see any big declines after halving.Whatever the price will be,spikes don't count, I believe we will be able to hold it.

[talks_cheep]

The first and the last time btc halved in Nov'2013, price movement began in May'2013, a full 6 months prior to the halving. That is an accepted fact around the forum.

For LTC's last halving in Sep'2015, price movement began in July'2015, about 2 months prior to the halving.

For the next btc halving in July'2016, I don't expect a huge price movement until a month before it happens. Primarily because everyone's expecting a moon rocket ride, which it won't be, and because IT"S THE BITCOIN tm.

[Zawamiya]

Let's speculate how soon the coming halving will start take effect on price. I believe BTC halving will be priced before actual halving just like LTC price did before LTC halving.
So how soon btc price will spike? Technical analyses?

halving impact on price of bitcoin will seen between April to May month , before actual reward halving happens

[pooya87]

this is an impossible prediction to make, if you are looking for a book to the moon. the price will go up as it is rising very slowly right now.

but i think two things are possible.
either a big rise will happen in the beginning of the next year (early 2016) and come down a little before the halving time.
or everything stays calm during halving and the rise would start after the halving with 1-2 months delay.

[Wonka]

Let's speculate how soon the coming halving will start take effect on price. I believe BTC halving will be priced before actual halving just like LTC price did before LTC halving.
So how soon btc price will spike? Technical analyses?

There wont be any proper technical analysis but I predict bitcoin will stat climbing a month or two before the actual halving. I hope bitcoin will be worth more than what it is now by then though as well but we can only wait for to see.

[Gutemberg]

i think the effects will be visible one month or two before the halving....

[Amph]

i'm fairly sure it will start around march-april, 3-4 months before, which if i'm not wrong was the the deadline for increase the block limit

[Hugroll]

it will start having an effect like a month before halving

this is what i think . people will start affecting the demand about a month or two before the actual halving occurs.

[sana9821]

it will have an effect on bitcoin price about three months before the whole halving process as people will try to buy bitcoins for small price

[Mickeyb]

This is very hard to say, just like it's hard to say for sure that halving will have an effect on the price.

In my opinion, if it's gonna happen as it supposed to happen and how I think in my head, I would say that there will be a price rise, a considerable price rise caused by the halving and that will take place about 3 months before the actual halving date.

[Oscilson]

The first and the last time btc halved in Nov'2013, price movement began in May'2013, a full 6 months prior to the halving. That is an accepted fact around the forum.

For LTC's last halving in Sep'2015, price movement began in July'2015, about 2 months prior to the halving.

For the next btc halving in July'2016, I don't expect a huge price movement until a month before it happens. Primarily because everyone's expecting a moon rocket ride, which it won't be, and because IT"S THE BITCOIN tm.

Did bitcoin price peak around Nov 2013 and drop since then?

[newcripto]

I will say the significant movement in price, which is obvious,will start to be seen after halving of blocks not before this time.There will be a continuous steady rise in price just like now a days it is happening but I don't relate this to halving.

[LMGTFY]

The first and the last time btc halved in Nov'2013, price movement began in May'2013, a full 6 months prior to the halving. That is an accepted fact around the forum.

For LTC's last halving in Sep'2015, price movement began in July'2015, about 2 months prior to the halving.

For the next btc halving in July'2016, I don't expect a huge price movement until a month before it happens. Primarily because everyone's expecting a moon rocket ride, which it won't be, and because IT"S THE BITCOIN tm.

Did bitcoin price peak around Nov 2013 and drop since then?

The block reward reduction was a year earlier, in November 2012.

There wasn't a November 2012 peak. There was a price increase (back to USD10+) in the 6 months prior to the halfing, as talks_cheep mentioned, but it had tailed off - price was flat - by November. There was another increase (USD100+) from January 2013, though the degree that this was due to the reduced supply kicking in, increased demand prompted by willybot, or other factors - is probably still open to debate (personally I think willybot is overrated, but I suspect I'm in a minority).

[EternalWingsofGod]

I would argue that the halving would result in a price increase within a few months
Possibly within a few weeks of it occuring with a foundation being developed a month before the event was to occur.
However movements could certainly begin much sooner that that.

[Oscilson]

I would argue that the halving would result in a price increase within a few months
Possibly within a few weeks of it occuring with a foundation being developed a month before the event was to occur.
However movements could certainly begin much sooner that that.

The halving effect should happen a few months before the actual halving.