Spekulatius (OP)
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November 03, 2012, 04:07:50 PM |
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Definition of 'Bear Market'A market condition in which the prices of securities are falling, and widespread pessimism causes the negative sentiment to be self-sustaining. As investors anticipate losses in a bear market and selling continues, pessimism only grows. Although figures can vary, for many, a downturn of 20\% or more in multiple broad market indexes, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500), over at least a two-month period, is considered an entry into a bear market. Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bearmarket.asp#ixzz2BAzTE2Zw
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Every time a block is mined, a certain amount of BTC (called the
subsidy) is created out of thin air and given to the miner. The
subsidy halves every four years and will reach 0 in about 130 years.
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ArticMine
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Monero Core Team
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November 03, 2012, 05:21:36 PM |
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The question in my mind is which option.
1) We have been in a bear market since the June 2011 high and the recent rise from 2 to 15.4 was just a correction.
2) The bear market ended in November 2011 and we are now in a bull market. Any bearish market activity we see now is just a correction.
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molecular
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November 03, 2012, 05:45:59 PM |
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The question in my mind is which option.
1) We have been in a bear market since the June 2011 high and the recent rise from 2 to 15.4 was just a correction.
2) The bear market ended in November 2011 and we are now in a bull market. Any bearish market activity we see now is just a correction.
Without backing up my claim: 2) is more correct than 1) I don't think we're in a bear market, havent been since last year. Widespread pessimism?? No way, that was fall 2011. |
PGP key molecular F9B70769 fingerprint 9CDD C0D3 20F8 279F 6BE0 3F39 FC49 2362 F9B7 0769
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Yuhfhrh
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November 03, 2012, 05:50:18 PM
Last edit: November 04, 2012, 12:24:13 AM by Yuhfhrh |
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Maybe we are, maybe we aren't  |
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Technomage
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Affordable Physical Bitcoins - Denarium.com
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November 03, 2012, 06:32:00 PM |
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Option 2. Bear trap is where we are now.
However, I don't currently see any clear trends for the market. It could be that we'll be around $10 and $11 for a while now. I would welcome a period of stability. But we'll see.
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Denarium closing sale discounts now up to 43%! Check out our products from here! |
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molecular
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November 03, 2012, 07:02:55 PM |
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Option 2. Bear trap is where we are now.
However, I don't currently see any clear trends for the market. It could be that we'll be around $10 and $11 for a while now. I would welcome a period of stability. But we'll see.
I'd be amazed if we'd see "stability" throughout December. Too many external factors coming into play that the market may or may not have factored in correctly. Too much uncertainty and emotions as things play out. |
PGP key molecular F9B70769 fingerprint 9CDD C0D3 20F8 279F 6BE0 3F39 FC49 2362 F9B7 0769
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labestiol
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November 03, 2012, 11:53:10 PM |
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You should give a timescale for this type of questions. Looking at the last 3 years, I would say a bull market |
1BestioLC7YBVh8Q5LfH6RYURD6MrpP8y6
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Spekulatius (OP)
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November 03, 2012, 11:57:35 PM |
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You should give a timescale for this type of questions. Looking at the last 3 years, I would say a bull market In bitcoin time, this would be something like 2-3 month of overall market sentiment |
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labestiol
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November 04, 2012, 12:10:49 AM
Last edit: November 04, 2012, 12:58:36 AM by labestiol |
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You should give a timescale for this type of questions. Looking at the last 3 years, I would say a bull market In bitcoin time, this would be something like 2-3 month of overall market sentiment You mean the exact time since the top at 15$, right ?  Actually, looking at that time, sure we're down, but only ~30% (to be compared with the previous 3 months who saw a 200% increase). In bitcoin valuation, not even sure i would qualify it as a bear market. A Bear cub market then ? |
1BestioLC7YBVh8Q5LfH6RYURD6MrpP8y6
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molecular
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November 04, 2012, 09:37:03 AM |
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You should give a timescale for this type of questions. Looking at the last 3 years, I would say a bull market What timescale would you have to use in order to see a bear market? |
PGP key molecular F9B70769 fingerprint 9CDD C0D3 20F8 279F 6BE0 3F39 FC49 2362 F9B7 0769
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labestiol
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November 04, 2012, 03:21:04 PM |
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You should give a timescale for this type of questions. Looking at the last 3 years, I would say a bull market What timescale would you have to use in order to see a bear market? Last month. We lost around 20-25% in a month, that's something more significant. |
1BestioLC7YBVh8Q5LfH6RYURD6MrpP8y6
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Yuhfhrh
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November 04, 2012, 05:35:10 PM |
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Growwwll GRRLL!! 12 (28.6%)
MooooohOOO! 30 (71.4%)
Total Voters: 42
(There are many factors, but this is just a guess.) If we go by these results, we are most likely in a bear market. (71.4% are probably holding bitcoins, 28.6% are probably holding cash. This makes it easier to go down than up.)
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ElectricMucus
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Marketing manager - GO MP
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November 04, 2012, 06:48:47 PM |
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Once and if we go into the single digits I'd call it a bear market. Everything else is just stable on my watch.
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mufa23
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I'd fight Gandhi.
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November 04, 2012, 06:58:28 PM |
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If my calculations are correct; If this baby hits 88mph, you're gonna see some serious shit... No really, just wait until reward halves and the ASIC tech comes pouring in. The market will act in ways never witnessed in the previous years. Everyone is going to be running around like chickens with their heads cut off. We aren't a Bear Market right now. This is just the calm before the storm. So you better prepare for the storm, maggot. The storm that wipes out the pathetic little thing you call your life.  |
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Jutarul
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November 04, 2012, 07:11:49 PM |
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If my calculations are correct; If this baby hits 88mph, you're gonna see some serious shit...
+1 |
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SlaveInDebt
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November 04, 2012, 11:42:34 PM |
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If my calculations are correct; If this baby hits 88mph, you're gonna see some serious shit... No really, just wait until reward halves and the ASIC tech comes pouring in. The market will act in ways never witnessed in the previous years. Everyone is going to be running around like chickens with their heads cut off. We aren't a Bear Market right now. This is just the calm before the storm. So you better prepare for the storm, maggot. The storm that wipes out the pathetic little thing you call your life. +1 On all of it. Big miners with big investments as well as the lower fledglings will be having their mining pools reward address go straight to Gox no wallet used as the race for ROI is on. |
"A banker is a fellow who lends you his umbrella when the sun is shining, but wants it back the minute it begins to rain." - Mark Twain
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myself
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chaos is fun...…damental :)
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November 05, 2012, 12:53:16 AM |
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just look at the monthly chart then move to weekly chart
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Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
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