Update 7/02/2016
Topic title changed: bitbollo betting advice - 4°/5°-2/6/7° in Tipster competition Nov/Dec15-Jan16
Update 4/01/2015
Topic title changed: bitbollo betting advice - 4°/5° place in Tipster competition Nov/Dec2015
Update 28/11/2015 !!!
Read here!
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1234109.msg13092178#msg13092178What is: the right time to place a bet?!?
How I can "calculate"? And How it could be helpful for me?!?Update 5/11/2015!!!!
!!!!
I will edit now the old bet/post with a green color for winning bets, and red for lose bet.
!!!!
Dear bitcointalk user,
in this topic I give some help for the best betting method, and to avoid to loss quickly money.
I am proud to be the 4° classified in the Tipster competition Nov2015 - 321.73 % ROI in on month.
(due work I can't bet all days
)...
This is a Self-moderated topic to avoid spam and stupid question, please reasd carefully this topic.For first, I have 10 rules that are a "basic" in a bet, please follow (remember that the "crazy bet" it's another type of betting in opposite of the major of this rule).
1° You Can't become rich with betting! You can make a big win, but in a long period (what we are talking here) you CAN'T become rich! A good percentage of winning is only the "sure win" and no it can help to become rich
.
2° Play only an amount of money that you are ready to trash in the rubbish (litterally), because, if you play to win (like an all in) it's really hard to win in a long period of betting, also the skills of a better are every time stressed due the high risk.
(The money management it's the best approach to a long period winning streak).
3° Bet only in a site/bookmaker that you know! Don't trust in a site with HIGH quotes and strange way to withdraw money. Don't trust in a competition made by unknown sites, If you are betting with crypto I can suggest DirectBet.eu .
Try to follow forum / user / group, where you can read analysis of a bet, impression about a match , so on....
4° Take a pause between the bet session. Depends in your quality, but every 1-2 hours make a pause where you "breath again", take a look of the previously betting session, drink water
etc....
5° Never (so far) trust "tipster" that claim high winnings, because, it's not a statistic success, but only fortune
(I have a good basic of statistics and only a tipster for a specific league/sport is plausible, other try to create a good crew, to spam sites, clickbaiting, sell "bet" etc etc....
6° NEVER play (to win) if you are: Tired, stressed, bored, angry etc etc..... There is a strong effect come from the morale of better....
7° Even if you can, try to bet LIVE (and see a streaming of the match): for at least the 70 - 75 % of betting.
You have to place At least 90 % of betting in a competition/team that you KNOW WELL!
Never play "easy" results with big amounts, like "A vs B 3:0" because if you don't know the team names, other info at so on....
8° Try to apply a rule in a betting (an elastic rule sound better
) ....
Like... in the horse racing with more of 3 miles with hurdles some one as correlated (with a good R and good causation), when there is no an horse "strong favourite @ < 2" .... the horse quoted from 7 to 10 are really favourite, also when a 3 -6.99 horse run. Yes I know it's sound strange, but It can really work in a long period....
Another 2 easy example, in a dog greyhound, very often the position 3-6 are (no handicap) are unlike by the runners, due the high number of collisions during the run...
In wta tennis, the top ten after winning a set are really favored to take a final win....
9° Play ONLY when you are sure to win! But REMEMBER: there is not an easy betting [RULE 7] (at least for the 99.99% of the case), because, everything it's possible
, and when a bet it's really to simple to win... is not quoted!!!!
Don't trust (again) tipster, likewise some one on facebook that sell H/F time bet of rigged match... ( I don't believe in this user, because if you play by yourself you can become rich with only one bet!)
10° Last but don't least.... Don't play too much events in one toto bet!
Yes! don't make "a long long list" in only one bet to pump up the prize.
@100 x 2 btc = 200 btc... with 1000 bet 0f 1.10......
The @100 is not only a
happy number, "i can become rich" but it's a probability number, that your events will be set winning!
Trust me
bookmaker want that you try to catch this high prize, because more match together implies more difficult (and I think with some numbers it's really impossible win).
A good friend (in the real life) use to bet from 6-10 bet every time like handicap, over 2,5 etc etc....
Him can get really the 90% of single match, but for only 1 every time him loose!
Why?!? Because if you play 6-10 single with strong quotes more @1.70 so far, you can protect your self for the "lucky bad of the last bet". There is also a psychological correlation, to see the prize get up, the vast majority of better, try to place the "surprise" or decide deliberately to point to more bet.
REMEBER
This is a Self-moderated topic to avoid spam and stupid question, please reasd carefully this topic.I hope you enjoy this tip, I will add new tips, and some idea for a match soon.
Thank you to all readers!
You sound like you really know what you are doing.
Do you have any tips on how to stay calm and level headed ? When you should and shouldn't bet ?
