Well I was mocked by some when I made the thread (cognitive dissonance?) but the pattern is very clear now. News that increases likely-hood of contentious hard fork always leads to price drops. When coup attempts seem unlikely and support for them drops price increases.
Some (too many to actually recall) of the notable events:
XT released: huge drop
XT looses support price increases
Coinbase CEO and some other companies gives support to XT, price drop
XT looses support price increases
Coinbase says it is trailing XT, price drops
XT looses support price increases
Classic is announced price drops
Classic claims support of majority miners (admittedly Mike 'traitor' Hearn Rage quit then also and influenced price) price drops sharply
Classic binaries released and Gavin makes more pro fork propaganda, price drops
Exactly. Correlation between any development positive to hard fork and negative price movement is so strong, it's not even funny. And this is still with hostile hard fork probability VERY VERY low. But now it seems that corporate interests behind this hostile takeover attempt are not going to give up so easily. So, probability of hard fork and network split is steadily increasing. Once it becomes a REAL possibility, THEN the actual dump starts.