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Author Topic: Diff thread Nov 23 to Dec 7 Set up stage- Picks CLOSED!  (Read 8532 times)
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philipma1957
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December 05, 2015, 08:58:20 PM
 #221

yeah looks like i was way over estimating this round.. With that crazy cpl days we had i thought surely it would soar.. I found this site today:)  maybe of some use to us  lots of good looking graphs and data.. puts it into perspective just who it is increasing our hashrate..  Wink


http://data.bitcoinity.org/bitcoin/hashrate/6m?c=m&r=week&t=a

Best Regards
d57heinz

    I think what hurt both of our picking styles is these big up and down moves.  It really looks like someone turns gear on and off > And a big piece of gear /farm/mine  maybe  20-30ph.
  So the ups and the lows not exactly good for making predictions. There was a lot of nice 1 watt gear and .6 watt gear.  

To have it sit in a building complex like this story  talks about is not farfetched.


http://www.businessinsider.com/chinese-built-ghost-town-kilamba-angola-2012-7?op=1



BTW more then 147 blocks so far today at the 21 hour mark  we should be at 126  so  + 21 for the day. we are moving closer to 9%

https://blockchain.info/blocks


Height   
386889 (Main Chain)   2015-12-05 20:39:53   

386742 (Main Chain)   2015-12-05 00:00:46

147 made should be 126    + 21

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December 05, 2015, 11:29:39 PM
 #222

Coinbase is at high 380's it's kinda fighting to get up to 390's.  Hopefully it makes it.  Guess we will see.

But it's a good day as far as price. Hopefully China wakes up and decides it's worth more.  But guess we will see.
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December 06, 2015, 12:18:17 AM
 #223

we did do 174-175 blocks


https://blockchain.info/blocks/1449274418041


386916 (Main Chain)   2015-12-05 23:46:53


386742 (Main Chain)   2015-12-05 00:00:46


174/175 is 30 or so over 'norm' of 144

so we may slide over 9%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+8.78%)   it is more like +9.01


Bitcoin Difficulty:   72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:   79,108,345,960 (+8.78%)
Adjust time:   After 156 Blocks, About 23.6 hours
Hashrate(?):   565,138,108 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.1 minutes
3 blocks: 27.2 minutes
6 blocks: 54.4 minutes
Updated:   19:15 (56.0 seconds ago)


with 156 blocks left getting over 10% would be unlikely .

I cap us at  8.0 for the low  9.7%  for the top

 most likely in the 8.6 to 9.2 area


good luck to anyone close!!

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December 06, 2015, 01:58:23 AM
 #224

China is awake and were at 395 on price.  So close to the 400 I want to see.

Maybe later ... I hope.  Still nice to see 395 even.
philipma1957
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December 06, 2015, 04:23:28 AM
 #225

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-28 --112    
10-29 --153
10-30 --167    
10-31 --149    
11-1  -- 150    
11-2  -- 158      
11-3 --  153    
11-4  -- 157    
11-5  -- 146    
11-6  -- 142    
11-7  -- 153    
11-8  -- 143    
11-9  -- 148    
11-10 --145


11-11 --169
11-12 --158
11-13 --161
11-14 -- 146
11-15 --156
11-16-- 175
11-17-- 146
11-18-- 156
11-19-- 131
11-20-- 169
11-21-- 178
11-22-- 170

The ones below are for this adjustment

11-23-- 162
11-24-- 154
11-25-- 152
11-26-- 174

11-27 --128

11-28-- 159
11-29--147
11-30--165
12-01--170
12-02--158
12-03--141
12-04--154
12-05--173

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+8.29%)

About a day left. I still think we go over 9


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December 06, 2015, 05:15:12 AM
 #226

Estimated Next Difficulty:    78,772,553,950 (+8.32%)
Adjust time:    After 124 Blocks, About 18.6 hours
Hashrate(?):    565,048,853 GH/s

it is what it is, but the price is going up! so no relax in the near future
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December 06, 2015, 05:20:38 AM
 #227

Surely after 173 blocks today we will be slightly lower tomorrow.  Hoping we stay right around this area it's been hovering for my pick, but also for the lowest possible adjustment!  I also can't see these 8-10%+ increases sustaining for the next few months, but crazier things have happened and still new hardware expected to launch Q1 2016.




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December 06, 2015, 05:29:46 AM
 #228

Surely after 173 blocks today we will be slightly lower tomorrow.  Hoping we stay right around this area it's been hovering for my pick, but also for the lowest possible adjustment!  I also can't see these 8-10%+ increases sustaining for the next few months, but crazier things have happened and still new hardware expected to launch Q1 2016.





if price moves over 400 diff will move at 7% or more next jump.

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December 06, 2015, 05:33:49 AM
 #229

Nice price  Grin


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December 06, 2015, 05:37:00 AM
 #230

Nice price  Grin



yes I see 500 to follow by years end.  I also see 600 sometime near my birthday (late Jan)

remember we were once over 1150.

 So it is not impossible to think that 500 or 600 are right around the corner.

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December 06, 2015, 05:39:42 AM
 #231

Nice price  Grin



yes I see 500 to follow by years end.  I also see 600 sometime near my birthday (late Jan)
Hey $100 climbs a month sounds good to me!  We'd be looking pretty dandy going into halving.

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December 06, 2015, 09:18:47 AM
 #232

Nice price  Grin



yes I see 500 to follow by years end.  I also see 600 sometime near my birthday (late Jan)

remember we were once over 1150.

 So it is not impossible to think that 500 or 600 are right around the corner.

It sure is nice to see happened much sooner then I thought it would. But I won't complain about that.

Bitwisdom going up with all the price going up it looks like:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:    79,281,405,131 (+9.02%)
Adjust time:    After 90 Blocks, About 13.3 hours
Hashrate(?):    569,868,050 GH/s
philipma1957
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December 06, 2015, 01:41:32 PM
 #233

and price dropped back to 387 on coinbase  and  diff is


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:   79,043,157,001 >>>>>>> (+8.69%)
Adjust time:   After 68 Blocks, About 10.2 hours
Hashrate(?):   566,484,401 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 8.9 minutes
3 blocks: 26.9 minutes
6 blocks: 53.7 minutes
Updated:   8:35 (2.3 minutes ago)

today on blockchain blocks are moving

https://blockchain.info/blocks

Height                    Time   
387004 (Main Chain)   2015-12-06 13:15:29
386917 (Main Chain)   2015-12-06 00:35:15

88 blocks in the time  of 13:40 hours we should be at 72

So basically 9% looks pretty much like a good spot to be in.

+7.7    = ezeminer
+7.8    = VirosaGITS
+8.1    = wlefeve
+8.3    = The Young Turk
+8.4    = keystroke
+8.5    = valkir
+8.6    = Herbpean
+8.8    = tss
+9.2    = edonkey
+9.3    = Lituation
+9.4    = UfoRia (member registered September 22)
+9.5    = Amph
+9.7    = ailikun
+9.8    = vortexz
+9.9    = mikestang


looks like the winner will be in the list above.

good luck!

I mine alt coins with https://simplemining.net...
I see BTC as the super highway and alt coins as taxis and trucks needed to move transactions.
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December 06, 2015, 02:57:33 PM
 #234

You missed +8.9

Bitcoin Difficulty:   72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:   79,184,340,692 (+8.89%)
Adjust time:   After 56 Blocks, About 8.3 hours

philipma1957
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December 06, 2015, 04:33:42 PM
 #235

+8.8% please Grin

Hey guys, I see you gave my pick to tss

but I have recalculated and fancy 12.5% plus it helps it's not taken either  Grin

I'm not sure how that happened. Sorry  about that, I'm happy you found another spot.     Best of luck to you.

Please check your picks if there is a mistake let me know.

List updated below:
+5.1    = Biodom
+6.0    = Last of the V8s (member registered March 15)
+6.6    = Tmdz (Jr Member - registered October 21)
+7.7    = ezeminer
+7.8    = VirosaGITS
+8.1    = wlefeve
+8.3    = The Young Turk
+8.4    = keystroke
+8.5    = valkir
+8.6    = Herbpean
+8.8    = tss
+9.2    = edonkey
+9.3    = Lituation
+9.4    = UfoRia (member registered September 22)
+9.5    = Amph
+9.7    = ailikun

+9.8    = vortexz
+9.9    = mikestang
+10.0  = Tupsu
+10.1  = zebedee
+10.2  = cakir
+10.3  = Finksy
+10.4  = adaseb
+10.6  = DanDan
+10.8  = ingiltere
+10.9  = alh
+11.0  = mavericklm
+11.1  = Quickseller
+11.2  = dukeneptun
+11.3  = RichBC
+11.4  = artibg (member resistered December 03, 2013)
+11.5  = needmoney
+11.6  = Lboss
+11.7  = Notlist3d
+12.2  = philipma1957
+12.3  = EternalWingsofGod
+12.5  = indiemax
+13.3   = d57heinz


this is  the final list.  the ones in bold are closest to a win

(+9.04%)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:   79,297,706,503 (+9.04%)
Adjust time:   After 45 Blocks, About 6.7 hours
Hashrate(?):   574,940,195 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 8.9 minutes
3 blocks: 26.8 minutes
6 blocks: 53.5 minutes
Updated:   11:35 (2.0 minutes ago)

I mine alt coins with https://simplemining.net...
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December 06, 2015, 04:38:45 PM
 #236

Some interesting gaps in the Danger Zone.... Could still be a roll-over?

Rich

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December 06, 2015, 06:46:05 PM
 #237

Bitcoin Difficulty:   72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:   79,165,250,160 (+8.86%)
Adjust time:   After 31 Blocks, About 4.6 hours
Hashrate(?):   583,014,581 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 8.9 minutes
3 blocks: 26.6 minutes
6 blocks: 53.3 minutes



Getting closer here. The question is will there be a spike?

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December 06, 2015, 06:55:30 PM
 #238

+8.8% please Grin

Hey guys, I see you gave my pick to tss

but I have recalculated and fancy 12.5% plus it helps it's not taken either  Grin

I'm not sure how that happened. Sorry  about that, I'm happy you found another spot.     Best of luck to you.

Please check your picks if there is a mistake let me know.

List updated below:
+5.1    = Biodom
+6.0    = Last of the V8s (member registered March 15)
+6.6    = Tmdz (Jr Member - registered October 21)
+7.7    = ezeminer
+7.8    = VirosaGITS
+8.1    = wlefeve
+8.3    = The Young Turk
+8.4    = keystroke
+8.5    = valkir
+8.6    = Herbpean
+8.8    = tss
+9.2    = edonkey
+9.3    = Lituation
+9.4    = UfoRia (member registered September 22)
+9.5    = Amph
+9.7    = ailikun

+9.8    = vortexz
+9.9    = mikestang
+10.0  = Tupsu
+10.1  = zebedee
+10.2  = cakir
+10.3  = Finksy
+10.4  = adaseb
+10.6  = DanDan
+10.8  = ingiltere
+10.9  = alh
+11.0  = mavericklm
+11.1  = Quickseller
+11.2  = dukeneptun
+11.3  = RichBC
+11.4  = artibg (member resistered December 03, 2013)
+11.5  = needmoney
+11.6  = Lboss
+11.7  = Notlist3d
+12.2  = philipma1957
+12.3  = EternalWingsofGod
+12.5  = indiemax
+13.3   = d57heinz


this is  the final list.  the ones in bold are closest to a win

(+9.04%)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:   79,297,706,503 (+9.04%)
Adjust time:   After 45 Blocks, About 6.7 hours
Hashrate(?):   574,940,195 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 8.9 minutes
3 blocks: 26.8 minutes
6 blocks: 53.5 minutes
Updated:   11:35 (2.0 minutes ago)



Noooooooooooooooooooooooooo, it can't be 8.8% lol

perhaps tss would be a gent and let it roll over if it is Wink Grin
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December 06, 2015, 07:18:00 PM
 #239

Bitcoin Difficulty:   72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:   79,165,250,160 (+8.86%)
Adjust time:   After 31 Blocks, About 4.6 hours
Hashrate(?):   583,014,581 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 8.9 minutes
3 blocks: 26.6 minutes
6 blocks: 53.3 minutes



Getting closer here. The question is will there be a spike?


It is approaching.  I don't think we will see a huge  spike just not enough time in my eyes.

Price is at 395 thought which makes it very nice as far as value.
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December 06, 2015, 07:58:04 PM
 #240

Bitcoin Difficulty:   72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:   79,165,250,160 (+8.86%)
Adjust time:   After 31 Blocks, About 4.6 hours
Hashrate(?):   583,014,581 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 8.9 minutes
3 blocks: 26.6 minutes
6 blocks: 53.3 minutes



Getting closer here. The question is will there be a spike?


It is approaching.  I don't think we will see a huge  spike just not enough time in my eyes.

Price is at 395 thought which makes it very nice as far as value.

we were   at diff 72    price 324 on nov 23rd
we will be at diff 79    price 390 on dec 6th

the above  pattern works well    under 10% if diff over 20% in price!


Bitcoin Difficulty:   72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:   78,926,239,075 (+8.53%)
Adjust time:   After 28 Blocks, About 4.2 hours
Hashrate(?):   574,826,826 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 8.9 minutes
3 blocks: 26.9 minutes
6 blocks: 53.7 minutes
Updated:   14:55 (2.8 minutes ago)


I mine alt coins with https://simplemining.net...
I see BTC as the super highway and alt coins as taxis and trucks needed to move transactions.
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