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Author Topic: [4,847,647]Difficulty Discussion Thread [TRENDING ↑ ↑]  (Read 14543 times)
Meatball
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December 01, 2012, 05:51:15 PM
 #41

I wouldn't be surprised if we see total network hashrate dip below 20 TH in the next month or two (assuming ASIC's aren't in the mix).  I for one have pulled the plug on my miners.  Even with the hardware long payed off and a decent power rate of .10 / Kwh, I'm paying $9 in power costs to make $10 in BTC.  Just not worth the effort/aggravation.  I think in the next week or two, more people will see that and only folks will really low power rates or FPGA's are going to stick it out.
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DobZombie (OP)
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December 07, 2012, 02:12:38 PM
 #42

Checkout the green (3 day estimate) drop!  Biggest drop all year!



The difficulty estimate is still...
3,438,909
Next difficulty (estimate): 3,461,345

...higher?

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December 07, 2012, 02:50:13 PM
 #43

It's an average over the whole 2016 blocks, and it was higher over the first part (especially right before the halving). Give it a few more days and it will probably end up slightly lower.
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December 08, 2012, 02:15:50 PM
 #44

3,438,909
Next difficulty (estimate): 3,435,354

Difficulty is going to lower definatly by the looks of the graph and the estimate.

I reckon people are seeing the spreadsheets and earnings estimates, and have decided to call it quits.

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DobZombie (OP)
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December 10, 2012, 03:49:48 PM
 #45

Current difficulty 3,438,909

Next difficulty (estimate): 3,372,281


Starting to go down faster!

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bitboyben
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December 11, 2012, 03:46:31 AM
 #46

2886714.88092081 !

http://blockexplorer.com/q/estimate

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bcpokey
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December 12, 2012, 02:43:27 AM
 #47


That link returns: 3405980.70883142 for me.
bitboyben
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December 12, 2012, 08:10:21 AM
 #48

Now it is:
3423585.80041288

Maybe we need a Block difficulty watch thread...

Certainly isn't tanking.

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DobZombie (OP)
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December 13, 2012, 12:54:43 PM
 #49

Maybe we need a Block difficulty watch thread...


Done. Thread renamed. I'll adjust my first post to include a few more details soon

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December 13, 2012, 02:23:59 PM
 #50

Now it is:
3423585.80041288

I don't know about that link. I would use Bitcoin Watch instead.  Right now the future difficulty is still trending downward: 3,280,731.

It's not tanking, but from what happened last year, this isn't surprising. Miners are slow to throw in the towel.
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December 13, 2012, 02:48:11 PM
 #51

Miners are slow to throw in the towel.


Ain't that the truth

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greyscale
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December 14, 2012, 02:14:14 AM
 #52

Wonder how long this slide will continue, before the new FPGAs and ASICs start to outweigh the leaving GPU miners.
bitboyben
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December 14, 2012, 02:25:12 AM
 #53

Now it is:
3423585.80041288

I don't know about that link. I would use Bitcoin Watch instead.  Right now the future difficulty is still trending downward: 3,280,731.

It's not tanking, but from what happened last year, this isn't surprising. Miners are slow to throw in the towel.


Bookmarked! Thank you and nice to see the difficulty going down some.

Whoah wtf? 3.9 million BTC sent in last 24 hours?!?!?!?! That's pretty healthy.

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DobZombie (OP)
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December 14, 2012, 01:31:18 PM
 #54

I'd be betting 90-95% of that is Bitcoin Laundry and Blockchain.info Laundry

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December 14, 2012, 02:08:38 PM
 #55

I'd be betting 90-95% of that is Bitcoin Laundry and Blockchain.info Laundry
You mean SatoshiDice? Smiley
fivemileshigh
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December 15, 2012, 08:44:25 PM
 #56

new estimate 3,160,030.... and we're up to 13.50ish

DobZombie (OP)
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December 15, 2012, 11:52:19 PM
 #57

only 4 hours later and the new estimate is

  3,151,234 @ 11.45PM UTC 15/12

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Equilux
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December 16, 2012, 12:08:38 AM
 #58

http://www.bitcoinx.com/ estimates 2,940,164

and http://blockchained.com/ estimates 2,949,803

bitboyben
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December 16, 2012, 07:48:33 AM
 #59

Sweet. Just a quick idea you should add in the title of the thread a little +/^ or -/v or something to indicate the movement of difficulty. This could be like the MtGox wall thread and live forever...

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DobZombie (OP)
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December 16, 2012, 12:44:31 PM
 #60

Thread title changed

got any other good ideas?  Smiley

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