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Author Topic: [4,847,647]Difficulty Discussion Thread [TRENDING ↑ ↑]  (Read 14543 times)
smoothie
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December 17, 2012, 08:12:06 AM
 #61

Looks like about 3 TH/s has been removed from mining bitcoin.  Shocked

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There are several different types of Bitcoin clients. The most secure are full nodes like Bitcoin Core, but full nodes are more resource-heavy, and they must do a lengthy initial syncing process. As a result, lightweight clients with somewhat less security are commonly used.
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DobZombie (OP)
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December 17, 2012, 09:40:14 AM
 #62

You mean 0.3GH ?

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December 17, 2012, 10:18:44 AM
 #63

You mean 0.3GH ?

3TH/s is 3000GH/s.
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December 17, 2012, 01:39:16 PM
 #64

I was having a retard moment.  My Avatar Picture is evidence of it Tongue


I've been doing some projections and this is what I think the network will do...


JANUARY 1st 2012
Network will bounce between 17TH - 22TH

FEBRUARY 1st 2012
Network will bounce between 14TH - 18TH

MARCH 1st 2012
Network will bounce between 12TH - 17TH

APRIL 1ST 2012
Network will stabilise between 11TH - 16TH

The data is based on these variables staying...
ASICs still being on the horizon. 
While people are waiting for ASICs they won't create much new power.
Power costs force GPUs out.
BITCOIN value continues to be stable or rise slowly ($0.50 -$1.00 USD per month)


I for one can't wait until I'll be earning the same amount on March 1st as I was on Nov 1st. 

What yas think?


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December 17, 2012, 02:43:51 PM
 #65

I was having a retard moment.  My Avatar Picture is evidence of it Tongue


I've been doing some projections and this is what I think the network will do...


JANUARY 1st 2012
Network will bounce between 17TH - 22TH

FEBRUARY 1st 2012
Network will bounce between 14TH - 18TH

MARCH 1st 2012
Network will bounce between 12TH - 17TH

APRIL 1ST 2012
Network will stabilise between 11TH - 16TH

The data is based on these variables staying...
ASICs still being on the horizon. 
While people are waiting for ASICs they won't create much new power.
Power costs force GPUs out.
BITCOIN value continues to be stable or rise slowly ($0.50 -$1.00 USD per month)


I for one can't wait until I'll be earning the same amount on March 1st as I was on Nov 1st. 

What yas think?
You have network hashrate going way too low, IMO. Even with a 2MH/J total system efficiency, existing GPU hardware will be barely profitable at the current (3.37M) difficulty at US$0.15/kWh. At 16TH/s mining would be quite profitable even for inefficient GPU miners.

I honestly don't see the network dropping much past 18-20TH/s or so. Too much of the network is made up of FPGAs and GPU users with low power costs and/or who would be heating their homes anyway. If the price of BTCrises, network hashrate will probably follow as people turn rigs back on.

Of course, it's probably all moot as someone should ship an ASIC by the end of January.
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December 18, 2012, 03:01:07 AM
 #66

I was having a retard moment.  My Avatar Picture is evidence of it Tongue


I've been doing some projections and this is what I think the network will do...


JANUARY 1st 2012
Network will bounce between 17TH - 22TH

FEBRUARY 1st 2012
Network will bounce between 14TH - 18TH

MARCH 1st 2012
Network will bounce between 12TH - 17TH

APRIL 1ST 2012
Network will stabilise between 11TH - 16TH

The data is based on these variables staying...
ASICs still being on the horizon. 
While people are waiting for ASICs they won't create much new power.
Power costs force GPUs out.
BITCOIN value continues to be stable or rise slowly ($0.50 -$1.00 USD per month)


I for one can't wait until I'll be earning the same amount on March 1st as I was on Nov 1st. 

What yas think?



Those are some bold predictions...of the past  Grin  More retard moment?  I can prescribe some Aricept or Namenda...
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December 20, 2012, 04:33:34 AM
 #67

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=128032.0;topicseen

According to this poll approx 65% should keep GPUs etc on so about 2/3rds of peak hash seems reasonable.
Not too far from that now.

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December 20, 2012, 02:46:33 PM
 #68

wow network hashrate only 21.61 Terahashs/s, then asics then ... BOOOOOOOOOOOOM Grin Grin
DobZombie (OP)
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December 22, 2012, 11:04:17 AM
 #69

Bitcoin Difficulty

3,370,182
Next difficulty (estimate): 2,988,542

Under 3 million!

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purelithium
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December 23, 2012, 02:15:09 AM
 #70

Hash rate is shooting up.

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December 23, 2012, 02:52:22 AM
 #71

Hash rate is shooting up.

It'll fall back down.  After recovering from the DDoS, BTC Guild started shooting out blocks roughly twice what it's hash rate should produce (which means a ~3.3 TH/s pool is pushing out over 5 TH/s worth of blocks in the last 24 hours), which means a single pool is inflating the 24 hour estimate by over 2 TH/s alone.

RIP BTC Guild, April 2011 - June 2015
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December 23, 2012, 03:33:43 AM
 #72

Ack, wasn't aware that could happen. What is the reasoning behind that burst in blocks?

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December 23, 2012, 05:13:40 AM
 #73

Ack, wasn't aware that could happen. What is the reasoning behind that burst in blocks?

Just an extremely good run of luck.  It's why looking at daily network hash rate charts you see such massive swings.  It's not that tons of people are turning on/off, it's more about overall network luck than anything.

RIP BTC Guild, April 2011 - June 2015
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December 24, 2012, 12:46:38 AM
 #74

2,990,000 est... that's a good move.

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December 24, 2012, 01:33:16 AM
 #75

Yep and a few days left before the change, so it could go even lower. Nice.

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DobZombie (OP)
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December 27, 2012, 05:51:51 AM
Last edit: December 27, 2012, 02:39:24 PM by DobZombie
 #76

New Difficulty update
2,979,637

Next difficulty (estimate):  2,978,049

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bitboyben
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December 27, 2012, 07:34:11 AM
 #77

That's looking pretty stable there.

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December 27, 2012, 01:01:59 PM
 #78

Once everyone has stopped eating and parting hopefully more GPUs will come offline

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December 27, 2012, 05:20:36 PM
 #79

Once everyone has stopped eating and parting hopefully more GPUs will come offline

Dude u mean online ...stop smoking crack...lol

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DobZombie (OP)
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December 27, 2012, 05:29:10 PM
 #80

Once everyone has stopped eating and parting hopefully more GPUs will come offline

Dude u mean online ...stop smoking crack...lol

Nope, I meant offline.  I'm guessing that after everyone has recovered from running amuck at Xmas & New Year, they'll realise how much money they've spent.  Then they'll take apart their GPUs and sell em on ebay.

Now if you'll excuse me, my crack pipe is getting cold...

o.0

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