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Author Topic: Portuguese League Prediction Thread (Primeira Liga)  (Read 64463 times)
azguard
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December 15, 2016, 07:30:58 AM
 #1881

MATCH DATE 16.12.2016. (2nd)

Match: FC Pacos Ferreira v CF Belenenses
Betting option: Matchbet + Totals: FC Porto and over 2.5
Odd: 3.09
Stake: 0.015 BTC (15 mBTC)
Return: 0.04635 BTC (46.35 mBTC)

EVENT CAN BE FOUND HERE: https://sportsbet.io/sports/pre-live/soccer/portugal/primeira-liga/fc-pacos-ferreira-v-cf-belenenses/event/9788813?ref=tipster9



Why did i pick this match
---------------------------
I took little risky bet but  no matter currently Belenenses plays better and take chance on them but have some other option on this game as well




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December 15, 2016, 10:29:52 AM
 #1882

MATCH DATE 15.12.2016. (1st)

Match: FC Porto v CS Maritimo Madeira
Betting option: Matchbet + Totals: FC Porto and over 2.5
Odd: 1.64
Stake: 0.015 BTC (15 mBTC)
Return: 0.02460 BTC (24.60 mBTC)

EVENT CAN BE FOUND HERE: https://sportsbet.io/sports/pre-live/soccer/portugal/primeira-liga/fc-porto-v-cs-maritimo-madeira/event/9788859?ref=tipster9

Why did i pick this match
---------------------------
Porto is playing good and expect to see them win and expect more important goals on this match


I agree with you. Porto is doing much better now, and goals are starting to appear, so I will also bet on them.
They are playing home, and motivated for their last results, they should play well again, with the confidence boost from their last games.

Porto v Maritimo
Porto and over 2.5 @1.6
since in the last two match fc porto always have a big score i agree that they would remain play impressively like what they did to leicester city 5-0 at home and last time 0-4 away win to CD Feirense, even though porto always struggling play against the mediocre teams like maritimo, i would place a bet confidently for fc porto over 2.5 goals, aslo as maritimo always failed to score in last 4 away games while porto would try to make the 8th cleansheet in all competition both teams may wouldn't score.

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December 15, 2016, 05:01:13 PM
 #1883

- FC Porto v CS Maritimo Madeira Displacement I do not get bored easily, I think even if it makes me difficult, they are defending well. They have probably taken precautions for being a leading team in Porto. My preference for this match
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December 16, 2016, 07:38:31 AM
 #1884

MATCH DATE 17.12.2016. (3rd)

Match: Estoril Praia v SL Benfica
Betting option: Matchbet + Totals: SL Benfica and over 2.5
Odd: 1.91
Stake: 0.015 BTC (15 mBTC)
Return: 0.04635 BTC (46.35 mBTC)

EVENT CAN BE FOUND HERE: https://sportsbet.io/sports/pre-live/soccer/portugal/primeira-liga/estoril-praia-v-sl-benfica/event/9788815?ref=tipster9



Why did i pick this match
---------------------------
Both team scored or ended games with more then 3 goals in last several matches so i expect to see them score in this match with ease



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December 16, 2016, 03:14:07 PM
 #1885

MATCH DATE 17.12.2016. (3rd)

Match: Estoril Praia v SL Benfica
Betting option: Matchbet + Totals: SL Benfica and over 2.5
Odd: 1.91
Stake: 0.015 BTC (15 mBTC)
Return: 0.04635 BTC (46.35 mBTC)

EVENT CAN BE FOUND HERE: https://sportsbet.io/sports/pre-live/soccer/portugal/primeira-liga/estoril-praia-v-sl-benfica/event/9788815?ref=tipster9

Why did i pick this match
---------------------------
Both team scored or ended games with more then 3 goals in last several matches so i expect to see them score in this match with ease


will follow this one first was winner on porto expect to see this one comes to

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December 17, 2016, 09:41:20 AM
 #1886

MATCH DATE 17.12.2016. (4th)

Match: MOREIRENSE FC v FC AROUCA
Betting option: MOREIRENSE FC Win
Odd: 2.27
Stake: 0.015 BTC (15 mBTC)
Return: 0.03405 BTC (34.05 mBTC)

EVENT CAN BE FOUND HERE: https://sportsbet.io/sports/pre-live/soccer/portugal/primeira-liga/moreirense-fc-v-fc-arouca/event/9788811?ref=tipster9



Why did i pick this match
---------------------------
Moreirence play good home and they have good result here and dont want to go down easily so here i expect them to win




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December 17, 2016, 12:03:15 PM
 #1887

MATCH DATE 17.12.2016. (3rd)

Match: Estoril Praia v SL Benfica
Betting option: Matchbet + Totals: SL Benfica and over 2.5
Odd: 1.91
Stake: 0.015 BTC (15 mBTC)
Return: 0.04635 BTC (46.35 mBTC)

EVENT CAN BE FOUND HERE: https://sportsbet.io/sports/pre-live/soccer/portugal/primeira-liga/estoril-praia-v-sl-benfica/event/9788815?ref=tipster9

Why did i pick this match
---------------------------
Both team scored or ended games with more then 3 goals in last several matches so i expect to see them score in this match with ease


will follow this one first was winner on porto expect to see this one comes to
Yes same here i will follow his bet too, no doubt benfica could win the match due they are stay on number one and this is an easy match for them.

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December 17, 2016, 01:57:31 PM
 #1888

I try today an easy double-up:

Estorin vs Benfica             WIN Benfica at quote@1.25
Moreirense vs Arouca UNDER 2,5 goals at quote@1.55

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December 18, 2016, 10:20:19 AM
Last edit: December 18, 2016, 04:29:35 PM by azguard
 #1889

MATCH DATE 17.12.2016. (5th)

Match: CD Tondela v Boavista Porto
Betting option: CD Tondela Win
Odd: 2.46
Stake: 0.015 BTC (15 mBTC)
Return: 0.03690 BTC (36.90 mBTC)

EVENT CAN BE FOUND HERE: https://sportsbet.io/sports/pre-live/soccer/portugal/primeira-liga/cd-tondela-v-boavista-porto/event/9788817?ref=tipster9



Why did i pick this match
---------------------------
Match will be very interesting but here i will give home team Tondela chance to go for a home win after some time



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December 18, 2016, 04:54:45 PM
 #1890

MATCH DATE 18.12.2016. (6th)

Match: CS Maritimo Madeira vs CD Feirense
Betting option: CS Maritimo Madeira Win
Odd: 1.72
Stake: 0.015 BTC (15 mBTC)
Return: 0.02580 BTC (25.80 mBTC)

EVENT CAN BE FOUND HERE: https://sportsbet.io/sports/pre-live/soccer/portugal/primeira-liga/cs-maritimo-madeira-v-cd-feirense/event/9788823?ref=tipster9



Why did i pick this match
---------------------------
Maritimo is in good form and they play very good and in this match i expect them to win this game, expect goals but i chose safe pick for this one




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December 18, 2016, 06:06:54 PM
 #1891

Sporting Lisbon vs Braga
The gap between Sporting and Braga only separate by 1 points, the same 24:12 goal difference, but the odds ( Sporting Lisbon @ 1.32 vs Braga @ 10 ) are just far different. Not sure why, perhaps the bad away record of Braga or the bad record of their past meeting. Going for Braga +1.5 @ 1.77, Braga will bring a big test to Sporting Lisbon's clean sheet and defence.
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December 19, 2016, 06:48:53 AM
 #1892

MATCH DATE 19.12.2016. (6th)

Match: FC PORTO v GD CHAVES
Betting option: Both teams to Score YES
Odd: 2.38
Stake: 0.010 BTC (10 mBTC)
Return: 0.02380 BTC (23.80 mBTC)

EVENT CAN BE FOUND HERE: https://sportsbet.io/sports/pre-live/soccer/portugal/primeira-liga/fc-porto-v-gd-chaves/event/9788821?ref=tipster9



Why did i pick this match
---------------------------
Both team are in excellent form and outcome of this game will be hard to pick no matter if Porto is host, but only thing that i esxpect is goals it will be goals here



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December 19, 2016, 02:10:00 PM
 #1893

Maritimo vs Feirense i'am going for under 2.5 for this game because both teams are in a very bad situation and their attack is one of the poorest attack in portgal as both teams scred less then the games they played with Martimo scoring 13 goals in 14 games while Feirense scored only 10 and i think that Martimo can get atleast a draw from this game as they are slightly better when they are at home so you can have bet on Martimo to win or draw and under 2.5
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December 19, 2016, 02:26:39 PM
 #1894

Maritimo vs Feirense i'am going for under 2.5 for this game because both teams are in a very bad situation and their attack is one of the poorest attack in portgal as both teams scred less then the games they played with Martimo scoring 13 goals in 14 games while Feirense scored only 10 and i think that Martimo can get atleast a draw from this game as they are slightly better when they are at home so you can have bet on Martimo to win or draw and under 2.5

Maritimo won against Benfica at home, I don't think they are that bad. Also their mutual games have goals

Better go for Maritimo moneyline
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December 19, 2016, 06:39:53 PM
 #1895

Placer one bet played safe need coins for Xmas  Grin

Porto - Chavez win porto is small quote but safety comes first

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December 19, 2016, 06:46:29 PM
 #1896

Placer one bet played safe need coins for Xmas  Grin

Porto - Chavez win porto is small quote but safety comes first

Even Bayern Munich yesterday had an odd of 1.12 but won with really great difficulty against the last place of the standings in the Bundesliga.

For these kind of games I am going for Chaves +3 Asian Handicap bet or +2.5 if +3 is not available. This way the game will be more intriguing and I think the odd for Porto is real small because Chaves is in the top 10 of the league and not the last team in the rankings of the Primeira Liga.
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December 19, 2016, 07:15:57 PM
 #1897

Placer one bet played safe need coins for Xmas  Grin

Porto - Chavez win porto is small quote but safety comes first

Even Bayern Munich yesterday had an odd of 1.12 but won with really great difficulty against the last place of the standings in the Bundesliga.

For these kind of games I am going for Chaves +3 Asian Handicap bet or +2.5 if +3 is not available. This way the game will be more intriguing and I think the odd for Porto is real small because Chaves is in the top 10 of the league and not the last team in the rankings of the Primeira Liga.

Odds for +3 handicap should be small too.

Why bet on Porto when Maritimo offered bigger odds and smaller risk, considering they beat Benfica at home and Feirense is far worse than them?
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December 19, 2016, 07:26:25 PM
 #1898

Placer one bet played safe need coins for Xmas  Grin

Porto - Chavez win porto is small quote but safety comes first

Even Bayern Munich yesterday had an odd of 1.12 but won with really great difficulty against the last place of the standings in the Bundesliga.

For these kind of games I am going for Chaves +3 Asian Handicap bet or +2.5 if +3 is not available. This way the game will be more intriguing and I think the odd for Porto is real small because Chaves is in the top 10 of the league and not the last team in the rankings of the Primeira Liga.

Odds for +3 handicap should be small too.

Why bet on Porto when Maritimo offered bigger odds and smaller risk, considering they beat Benfica at home and Feirense is far worse than them?

I think because you start the game with 3 imaginary goals as advantage and to lose your bet you need porto to win with 4 goal differences which I don't think it will be the case tonight. Odd maybe small but better than Porto ML that's for sure. In fact I see a funny thing , after we are talking here, directbet removed the asian handicap odds for the moment Smiley and I don't know why.

They have left only European handicap +2 with an odd of 2.46 so +3 Asian Handicap should be about 1.35-1.5 and is a better odd than Porto Ml and you start the game with 3 goals advantage that's why it's better as a bet this one.
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December 20, 2016, 02:00:49 PM
 #1899

Placer one bet played safe need coins for Xmas  Grin

Porto - Chavez win porto is small quote but safety comes first

Even Bayern Munich yesterday had an odd of 1.12 but won with really great difficulty against the last place of the standings in the Bundesliga.

For these kind of games I am going for Chaves +3 Asian Handicap bet or +2.5 if +3 is not available. This way the game will be more intriguing and I think the odd for Porto is real small because Chaves is in the top 10 of the league and not the last team in the rankings of the Primeira Liga.

You were completely right. It wasn't an easy game. Although Porto is getting on better form now, Chaves is doing quite well.
Porto had a good and deserved win, but it sure wasn't easy, so the odds offered were not profitable in the long run. This time it went well, but it was easy to go wrong, and the profit made just wasn't worth the risk in my opinion.

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December 21, 2016, 11:44:25 AM
 #1900

MATCH DATE 21.12.2016. (1st)

Match: SL BENFICA v RIO AVE FC
Betting option: Both teams to score
Odd: 2.06
Stake: 0.015 BTC (15 mBTC)
Return: 0.03090 BTC (30.90 mBTC)

EVENT CAN BE FOUND HERE: https://sportsbet.io/sports/pre-live/soccer/portugal/primeira-liga/sl-benfica-v-rio-ave-fc/event/9788847?ref=tipster9



Why did i pick this match
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Both team to score seem like perfect bet, no doubt that Benfika will win but i expect heavy resistance from Rio Ave and maybe even draw at the end, no to mentioned that goals will be here



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