Himea
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December 09, 2015, 10:24:02 AM |
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my answer : 3368.671952 username: Himea
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,╓▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄╓ ╓▄█████████████████▄╖ ╓▄█████▀▀'▒,,,,,╠'▀▀█████▄, ,▓███▀╜,▄▄███████████▄▄,╙▀████╖ ▄███▀ ▄█████▀▀"``╙"▀▀█████▄ ▀███▄ ▓███╜╓████▀ ,▄▄█████▄▄, ▀████,╙███▌ ▓███`╔███▀ ╓▓███▀▀▀▀▀████╖ ▀███@"███▌ ]███▌┌███▌ ▐███ ███▄ ▐███ ▐███, ▐███ ▐███ .███ ███ ███▌ ███▌ ▐███ ▐███ '███ ███ ███▌ ███▌ ]███@╙███@ ▀██▌ ,▄██▌ ▐███ ▐███` ▓███ ▐███▄ ╙██▀╩ 9███╜ ╔███▀,███▌ ████,╙███▌ ▓███╜,████ ▀███▄ ▀╜ ▀▀ ▄███▌ ╙████▄, ╓▄████╜ ╙█████▄▄╓, ,╓▄▄█████▀ ▀▀█████████████████▀▀ '▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀'
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skierchewing
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December 09, 2015, 11:13:18 AM |
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username: skierchewing
Chance to sucessful (5 times) is: 0.49^5 = 0.0282475249, 2.82475249%
Maths:
1 (level 1 - 1% house edge)(total wagered 0mbtc) - bet 100 mbtc at 49 % win = 100 * (100-1) / 49 2 (level 1 - 1% house edge)(total wagered 100mbtc) - bet 202.04081 mbtc at 49 % win = 202.04081 * (100-1) / 49 3 (level 1 - 1% house edge)(total wagered 302.04081mbtc) - bet 408.20490 mbtc at 49 % win = 408.20490 * (100-1) / 49 4 (level 2 - 0.98% house edge)(total wagered 710,24571mbtc) - bet 824.74051 mbtc at 49 % win = 824.74051 * (100-0.98) / 49 5 (level 3 - 0.96% house edge)(total wagered 1534,98622mbtc) - bet 1666,64908 mbtc at 49 % win = 1666,64908 * (100-0.96) / 49
Final Result = 3368,67193 mbtc
Explanation: why my answer is correct than others.. 1. math is right 2. just analyze, rollin only show up 5 decimal digits, it it always round down the number for exemple 100 * (100-1) / 49 = 202,04081632653061224489795918367 = 202,04081 3. this provably is exactly what will show on rollin.io if you play
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LoyceV
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3304
Merit: 16624
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
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December 09, 2015, 12:05:50 PM |
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username: skierchewing ... Final Result = 3368,67193 mbtc
We have a winner! my answer : 3368.671952 username: Himea
So close... But 2.2 satoshi off, and the .2 makes it impossible to ever reach exactly that amount.
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ptc
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
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December 09, 2015, 01:45:32 PM |
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Username: ptc Code: XMAS
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newinbtc
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1190
Merit: 1001
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December 09, 2015, 03:40:07 PM |
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who is LoyceV now never seen in thread @ ndnhc sir
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LoyceV
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3304
Merit: 16624
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
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December 09, 2015, 04:15:41 PM |
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who is LoyceV now never seen in thread @ ndnhc sir
I've only posted here 14 (now 15) times
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ndnh (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1005
New Decentralized Nuclear Hobbit
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December 09, 2015, 05:10:32 PM |
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my answer : 3368.671952 username: Himea
Wow, that is almost the correct answer! Since you got close to the answer and posted first, you just got tipped 3 mBTC. username: skierchewing
Chance to sucessful (5 times) is: 0.49^5 = 0.0282475249, 2.82475249%
Maths:
1 (level 1 - 1% house edge)(total wagered 0mbtc) - bet 100 mbtc at 49 % win = 100 * (100-1) / 49 2 (level 1 - 1% house edge)(total wagered 100mbtc) - bet 202.04081 mbtc at 49 % win = 202.04081 * (100-1) / 49 3 (level 1 - 1% house edge)(total wagered 302.04081mbtc) - bet 408.20490 mbtc at 49 % win = 408.20490 * (100-1) / 49 4 (level 2 - 0.98% house edge)(total wagered 710,24571mbtc) - bet 824.74051 mbtc at 49 % win = 824.74051 * (100-0.98) / 49 5 (level 3 - 0.96% house edge)(total wagered 1534,98622mbtc) - bet 1666,64908 mbtc at 49 % win = 1666,64908 * (100-0.96) / 49
Final Result = 3368,67193 mbtc
Explanation: why my answer is correct than others.. 1. math is right 2. just analyze, rollin only show up 5 decimal digits, it it always round down the number for exemple 100 * (100-1) / 49 = 202,04081632653061224489795918367 = 202,04081 3. this provably is exactly what will show on rollin.io if you play
For the accurate answer and nice explanation, the prize of 10 mBTC has been credited to your account. Congratz.
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ndnh (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1005
New Decentralized Nuclear Hobbit
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December 09, 2015, 05:22:45 PM |
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Appreciating the effort put in by newinbtc, rio3233, shadew, rindo and others. Good luck, may you win the next times. who is LoyceV now never seen in thread @ ndnhc sir
Loyce is moderator of Rollin, King and Protector of the common folk, A member of the Rollin Brotherhood. He is also managing this thread along with me. Hadn't mentioned so in the OP because I didn't know back then exactly who will be posting here. This particular on-thread trivia is copy pasted from his PM to me.
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arp10
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December 10, 2015, 06:09:46 AM |
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Username: aRp Code: XMAS
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MataCoin
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December 10, 2015, 06:18:26 AM |
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Username : Coino Code : XMAS
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gwapo1
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 1
Merit: 0
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December 10, 2015, 06:21:52 AM |
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Username: gwapo code: xmas
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qjthomas25
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 7
Merit: 0
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December 10, 2015, 06:22:18 AM |
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username quincy51
xmas times to all my friends at rollin
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ndnh (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1005
New Decentralized Nuclear Hobbit
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December 10, 2015, 06:25:46 AM |
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Username : Coino Code : XMAS
Username: gwapo code: xmas
username quincy51
xmas times to all my friends at rollin
Entered. Good luck.
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MataCoin
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December 10, 2015, 07:13:18 AM |
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predict roll contest : code r8
my prediction : 2.000.000.000
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CASlO
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December 10, 2015, 11:48:57 AM |
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code r8 prediction: 1,999,934,645 user: CASIO
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?
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ndnh (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1005
New Decentralized Nuclear Hobbit
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December 11, 2015, 05:44:43 AM |
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Reminder: we have the prediction contest still running. Just 9 players so far. Example entry : Predict the rolls contest. Code : R8 My prediction: 1.867.780.540 Good luck all
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pokerowned
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1279
Merit: 1051
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December 11, 2015, 06:07:18 AM |
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Username: pokerowned Code: XMAS
Thx rollin for holding these contests n giveaways. The community appreciates the shot at free money
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arp10
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December 11, 2015, 07:51:56 AM |
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code r8
prediction: 1,998,999,888
user:aRp
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visionsbank
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December 11, 2015, 07:54:21 AM |
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Username :Visions Code : XMAS
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