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Author Topic: In ISIS Strategy, U.S. Weighs Risk to Civilians  (Read 217 times)
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December 20, 2015, 12:58:28 PM
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WASHINGTON — For months, the United States military has known that the Islamic State uses the city hall in Raqqa, Syria, as an administrative center and a dormitory for scores of fighters. Some American officials even believe that Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the group’s leader, may have been in the building at times.

Yet, despite the American air campaign against the Islamic State, the white, three-story building remains standing because it also houses a jail. Its inmates are mainly victims of the extremist group — men caught sneaking a cigarette, women spotted with clothes that reveal even a hint of skin, shop owners who failed to pay their bills — and for American officials, the risk of killing any of them in an airstrike is too high.

The same is true of six other nearby buildings, including a mosque and court complex, which, together with city hall, compose the closest thing the Islamic State has to a headquarters.

In the aftermath of the attacks in Paris in November and the shootings this month in San Bernardino, Calif., President Obama and European leaders pledged to intensify the campaign against the Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL. Mr. Obama, speaking last week at the Pentagon, said that the United States-led coalition was hitting the Islamic State “harder than ever,” and added that warplanes were “going after ISIL from their stronghold right in downtown Raqqa.”

But Mr. Obama also acknowledged the dilemma the United States and its allies face in Raqqa and other urban areas in Syria and Iraq, noting that the Islamic State “is dug in, including in urban areas, and they hide behind civilians.”

“So even as we’re relentless, we have to be smart, targeting ISIL surgically with precision,” he added.

Current and former residents of Raqqa, however, say the group’s leaders move constantly, mixing with the civilian population. “The real administrators and commanders and leaders are always on the move and have no specific quarters,” said an activist in Raqqa, who was interviewed via direct message and spoke on the condition of anonymity out of fear of retaliation from the Islamic State.

In urging more aggressive action against the group, some Republican presidential candidates, like Donald J. Trump, have expressed a willingness to attack targets even if civilians are present. Senator Ted Cruz seemed to suggest in a Republican debate last week that a Cruz administration would be able to “carpet-bomb” militants without harming civilians. But White House and Pentagon officials have made it clear that obvious civilian targets are off limits — and that attacking them would not only violate international law but undermine the effort to defeat the Islamic State.

“We have to be very careful about how we prosecute a campaign that appears to be an indiscriminate attempt to attack ISIL and the population that surrounds it,” Gen. Paul J. Selva of the Air Force, the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told Congress this month.

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More than 260 civilians have been killed in coalition strikes in Syria, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a group based in Britain that tracks the conflict through a network of contacts in Syria. And the Islamic State has worked hard to exploit those deaths.

Javier Lesaca, a visiting scholar at George Washington University’s School of Media and Public Affairs, said the Islamic State had produced 30 videos in the past two years denouncing the consequences of coalition airstrikes, adding heft to the logic of why the United States is being even more careful.

As the capital of the Islamic State’s self-declared caliphate, Raqqa holds a dense concentration of potential targets: The group’s top leaders work and live in the city, and the bureaucracy they have created to run the self-declared caliphate is based there. There are financial specialists, computer experts, field commanders and as many as 10,000 foot soldiers, and they congregate in dozens of places, including the headquarters buildings.

Raqqa’s city hall is Exhibit A in the difficulties in targeting in an urban environment. Even the most advanced and precise missiles and bombs cannot achieve the surgical precision needed to target only militants in the city hall building, American officials said.

The top floors are a dormitory for fighters from across the region, residents of Raqqa said, estimating that there are about 150 men, most of them from Saudi Arabia or Tunisia. But the rest of the building is used by civilians.

There are said to be 25 cells in the jail, and they are often cold and packed full of people, according to the activist. On the ground floor is a court that hears cases of those jailed below, and administrative offices that by Raqqa’s residents visit, inquiring about friends or relatives detained by the militants, or dealing with minor bureaucratic matters, like replacing identity papers.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/20/us/politics/in-isis-strategy-us-weighs-risk-to-civilians.html?ref=world&_r=0

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December 20, 2015, 01:06:59 PM
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The Americans are again searching for silly excuses, in order to postpone their fight against the Islamic State. In a war, sometimes there is a need to make tough choices. It is like having to contend with the deaths of 100 or 200 civilians as collateral damage now, or dealing with the deaths of 10,000 or 20,000 later if no action is made.
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