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Author Topic: What will be the difficulty in 3-4 weeks time  (Read 1192 times)
The Koolio
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June 07, 2011, 03:55:00 PM
 #1

Can someone have a guess for me?

1. Litecoin 2. Bitcoin 3. Any of the Anon coins
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Jack of Diamonds
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June 07, 2011, 03:55:54 PM
 #2

Between 750000 and 1.3 million.

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xenon481
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June 07, 2011, 04:02:02 PM
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Between 750000 and 1.3 million.

Nice range.  Cheesy

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exahash
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June 07, 2011, 05:03:18 PM
 #4

Can someone have a guess for me?

Go get SgtSpike's Mine or Invest spreadsheet, plug in the numbers and your estimate for difficulty increase percentages, and then look at the second sheet. 

Doing that myself, I'd say we're looking at 1.2MM in about 30 days.

I'm not confident the network hashrate will continue to grow like it has the last few weeks.  58xx and 59xx cards are nearly all sold out and the super nerds who just came home from college and filled their moms' basements with rigs will be getting power bills and summer blackouts by then (at least in the US).

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June 07, 2011, 05:12:35 PM
 #5

Between 750000 and 1.3 million.

Nice range.  Cheesy

I know, but should be pretty accurate. If I were to strictly narrow it down I'd estimate 1.1m to 1.3m. The 750 is a very optimistic estimate that will prob. break in next difficulty.

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The Koolio
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June 07, 2011, 05:13:59 PM
 #6

when is the next increase due?

1. Litecoin 2. Bitcoin 3. Any of the Anon coins
bcpokey
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June 07, 2011, 05:27:34 PM
 #7

when is the next increase due?

In 1809 Blocks.

Give a man a fish, he eats for a day, teach a man to fish...

http://bitcoincharts.com/bitcoin/
shackleford
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June 07, 2011, 05:43:44 PM
 #8

when is the next increase due?

In 1809 Blocks.

Give a man a fish, he eats for a day, teach a man to fish...

http://bitcoincharts.com/bitcoin/

Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Don't teach a man to fish, and you feed yourself. He's a grown man. Fishing's not that hard.

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fnord123
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June 07, 2011, 06:13:39 PM
 #9

21 days from today the difficulty will be 822,872
28 days from today the difficulty will be 990,991

These numbers are only accurate if:
  • The current ETA to next block estimate of 10.48 days is correct
  • The current estimated next difficulty is 683,274 is correct
  • The ratio of difficulty increases continues to be 20%, just like the next one

Here's the sequence:
Code:
6/7/2011 567,358
6/8/2011 567,358
6/9/2011 567,358
6/10/2011 567,358
6/11/2011 567,358
6/12/2011 567,358
6/13/2011 567,358
6/14/2011 567,358
6/15/2011 567,358
6/16/2011 567,358
6/17/2011 683,274
6/18/2011 683,274
6/19/2011 683,274
6/20/2011 683,274
6/21/2011 683,274
6/22/2011 683,274
6/23/2011 683,274
6/24/2011 683,274
6/25/2011 683,274
6/26/2011 822,872
6/27/2011 822,872
6/28/2011 822,872
6/29/2011 822,872
6/30/2011 822,872
7/1/2011 822,872
7/2/2011 822,872
7/3/2011 822,872
7/4/2011 822,872
7/5/2011 990,991
7/6/2011 990,991
7/7/2011 990,991
7/8/2011 990,991
7/9/2011 990,991
7/10/2011 990,991
7/11/2011 990,991
7/12/2011 990,991
7/13/2011 990,991
7/14/2011 1,193,458
7/15/2011 1,193,458
7/16/2011 1,193,458
7/17/2011 1,193,458
7/18/2011 1,193,458
7/19/2011 1,193,458
7/20/2011 1,193,458
7/21/2011 1,193,458
7/22/2011 1,193,458
7/23/2011 1,437,290
7/24/2011 1,437,290
7/25/2011 1,437,290
7/26/2011 1,437,290
7/27/2011 1,437,290
7/28/2011 1,437,290
7/29/2011 1,437,290
7/30/2011 1,437,290
7/31/2011 1,437,290
8/1/2011 1,730,940
8/2/2011 1,730,940
8/3/2011 1,730,940
8/4/2011 1,730,940
8/5/2011 1,730,940
8/6/2011 1,730,940
8/7/2011 1,730,940
8/8/2011 1,730,940
8/9/2011 1,730,940
8/10/2011 2,084,584
8/11/2011 2,084,584
8/12/2011 2,084,584
8/13/2011 2,084,584
8/14/2011 2,084,584
8/15/2011 2,084,584
8/16/2011 2,084,584
8/17/2011 2,084,584
8/18/2011 2,084,584
8/19/2011 2,510,480
8/20/2011 2,510,480
8/21/2011 2,510,480
8/22/2011 2,510,480
8/23/2011 2,510,480
8/24/2011 2,510,480
8/25/2011 2,510,480
8/26/2011 2,510,480
8/27/2011 2,510,480
8/28/2011 3,023,390
8/29/2011 3,023,390
8/30/2011 3,023,390
8/31/2011 3,023,390
9/1/2011 3,023,390
9/2/2011 3,023,390
9/3/2011 3,023,390
9/4/2011 3,023,390
9/5/2011 3,023,390
9/6/2011 3,641,092
9/7/2011 3,641,092
9/8/2011 3,641,092
9/9/2011 3,641,092
9/10/2011 3,641,092
9/11/2011 3,641,092
9/12/2011 3,641,092
9/13/2011 3,641,092
Sukrim
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June 07, 2011, 06:49:55 PM
 #10

Europe hasn't really caught on to Bitcoin yet and who knows when asian "gaming rooms" start to see there's a cheap way to finance their equipment!
A lot can happen in 1 month...

Also: Holidays! Kids start to have even more time to mess around on the internet.

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