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Author Topic: Lets try to make 500$ from 10$ *Offer for potential long term profit*  (Read 19951 times)
CarlesPuyol (OP)
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January 14, 2016, 02:53:47 PM
Last edit: February 15, 2016, 11:30:13 AM by CarlesPuyol
 #1

After few days without interest here, I choose to finish this thread.
I had here some great achievements of 5 consecutive wins (lost on the 6th) and another try with 6 consecutive wins and profit of 0.36BTC
Although I had some great singles and a lot of members here had great profit (Thanks for the tips  Wink)


This thread taught me how to be selective with my picks, and the most important thing is that I learned how to make an effective research for each game, and the results are incredible.

From now, I decided to share my picks only for payment. I don't really wanted it, but I think its waste of my time (2-3 hours a day) to share here my picks for 2-3 members.


I will send you 1-2 of my best picks every day, so it will be about 7-14 picks each week. I pick games with odds of @ 1.8+ most of them are @ 1.9.
I will guide you about the stakes and my confidence of the bet.

The price will be sent in PM. So you are welcome to write me, and be a part of system with potential long term profit.


My last days picks, with more than 200$ profit:
















After some fails from the starter of this method, I would like to give it a shot.
The rules are simple- I pick a game and place a bet of 0.013BTC. If I win, I will place another pick with the whole sum of the money - 7 times.
The odds I choose will be from 1.9 to 2
So the scheme will be: (I wrote *2 to easier calculate)
0.013*2
0.026*2
0.052*2
0.104*2
0.208*2
0.416*2
0.832*2
=
~1.664
I will pick games after research, and I will review the games.


Public attempt:

1. Let's start.
NBA
Milwaukee vs Boston
Pick: Milwaukee+4.5 @ 1.9 WIN
10$ => 19$

2. 2nd pick:
Eurocup Group M
Maccabi Tel-Aviv V BC Nizhny Novgorod
Pick: Novgorod +8.5 @ 1.85 WIN
19$
https://sports.jetwin.ps/share-bet?id=QDZ3VU3K

3.Pick 3
NBA
Detroit vs Denver
Pick Detroit -5.5 @ 1.96 Lost



Social Experiment #2

1. Memphis VS Sacramento
Pick: Memphis-3.5 @ 1.94 WIN
Bet: 0.18BTC


2. Portland VS Toronto
Pick: Toronto+0.5 @ 1.94 WIN
Bet: 0.349BTC


3. Washington VS Philadelphia
Pick: Phili+8.5 @ 1.94 Lost
Bet: 0.515BTC


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


1. Bet: 0.013BTC
NBA
Phoenix VS Atalanta

Phoenix doesnt have any chance to get to the playoffs, and coming  with 4 injured players tonight, will meet Atalanta, that fighting on the higher place in the east.
I cant see Phoenix score more than 90 points against Atalanta's strong defence.
In Atalanta, their best player Poul Milsap will miss the game. I cant see Atalanta scoring more than 114 points.

Pick - Under 204 @ 1.9  - WIN


2. Bet: 0.025BTC  
NFL
Denver VS New England pats.
After their last win on Kansas, and after their key players - Amandola, Edelman and Gronki returned, I can't see any scenario that Tom Brady and his friends will not be in the superball this year.
Denver looked terrible in their last game against injured Pittsburgh, and won the game only because of stupid mistake by Pittsburgh in the last quarter.
In addition to this, 10 of 12 ESPN NFL experts picked the patriots.

Pick - New England Patriots -3 @ 1.94 LOST

3.Bet 0.049BTC
NBA
  Toronto vs LA Clippers- Toronto -2.5 @ 1.98 WIN

4. Bet 0.049BTC
NBA
 New Orleans Vs Houston - Houston+4.5 @ 1.94  WIN

5. Bet 0.073BTC
NBA
GSW vs San Antonio - GSW -4 @ 1.94  WIN

6. Bet 0.08BTC
NBA
Indiana Vs Clippers
Pick: Clippers -1.5 @ 1.95 WIN

7. Djokovic vs Federer
Even the in his best day, federer cant beat Djokovic in 5 sets. The bookies gives us a gift. Let's take it.
Pick: Djokovic -1.5 sets handicap @ 1.73 WIN WIN WIN
Bet: 0.1BTC

More picks

Tennis
Dominic Thiem vs David Goffin
Dominic (20) is the next name in top tennis players meets Goffin (16), very stable player, and in very good shape now.
Both players have great % of serving points (Thiem 81% Goffin 76%.) We will see only fee breaks today, and I can't believe one of those players can win 3-0 in sets today. Both players are fighters. And I believe we will see over 39 games today.

Pick- Over 39 games @ 2 WIN

2. Last warm up pick before opening the second jar:
 ULEB cup
Jerusalem Vs Strasbourg
I see here tough and close game, and the generous line is playing role here

Pick : Strasbourg+5 @1.87 WIN
Bet: 0.015B

Quote

1. Bet: 0.013BTC  WIN
 NFL
New England Patriots vs Kensas Chiefs

Interesting game is in front of us, in the first game of NFL playoffs. Patriots, the last year NFL champions are meeting the Chiefs, in their first game in playoffs since 1994.
Patriots are getting back their runners after injury in the middle of the season, and of course the superstar QB Tom Brady will play today.
Patriots are much better team than the chiefs, and in this part of the season, they should win today.
Pick- Patriots -5 @ 1.96
Final score: 27-20 pats


2. Bet: 0.025BTC WIN
NBA  
Memphis Grizzlies(-5.5) v New York Knicks(+5.5)


New york are in a good shape in the last games and showing recovery.
In the other side, Memphis are stable with 22 wins vs 19 losses this season.
Carmelo Antony is out at New york tonight. without him the Knicks will not able to win tonight. and not even stand the line.
Pick- Memphis -5.5 @1.93
Final scor: 103-95 Memphis

3. Bet: 0.049BTC WIN
NBA
OKC vs Miami
The line today is too high, and its very suspicious.
Miami gets today +9.5. Why?
OKC are in great shape with 5 wins out of 6 last games.
Westbrook is on fire with triple-double in the last game.
In Miami- Henderson, Dragic are out for today. Dwane wade is probably out also.
The bookies believe here in OKC win, without any doubt
The line is tricky, but I believe OKC will win in double figures tonight.
Pick- OKC -9.5 @1.9
Final score: 99-74 OKC

4. Bet: 0.084BTC WIN
Putting 0.01BTC aside
NBA
Atalanta vs Orlando
3 reasons why I pick Atalanta:
1. Orlando are in awful shape with 6 loses in 7 games.
2. Orlando's key player Oladipo will miss the game tonight and without him Orlando are much weaker.
3. Atalanta, at home, with full squad should make here a double figures win.
The line is high, and the bookies made their job- make us bet on Orlando.
Let's beat the bookies
Pick- Atalanta Hawks -7.5 @ 1.91
Final score: 98-81 Atalanta


5. Bet: 0.15BTC WIN
ULEB cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv - Unics Kazan
Putting another 0.01BTC aside. So the next bet will be on 0.15BTC

Tel Aviv was couple years ago one of the best teams in europe.
Their current season is terible: They didnt pick the right players, They disqualified from the Euroleague, and has troubles in their league.
Moreover, Tel Aviv has some injured key players- (Smith, Ohayon, Rendel, Bender) and their superstar Jordan Farmer who has two NBA championships with the Lakers just cut out from the team because of problems with the couch. His substitute in the team, former NBA player Gal Mekel, is not registered yet and will miss today's game.
Kazan are in great shape, with 11 consecutive wins, and 2nd place in the VTB league after CSKA.
Langford, is the league point per game leader, with 22 PPG.
Tel Aviv gets (-4.5) today. Why? to confuse us.
I believe Kazan will win today.
Pick- Unics Kazan +4.5 @1.87

Final score: 92-82 Kazan

6. Bet: 0.28BTC LOST
NBA
Houston VS Detroit

In this game, the offence will play high roll. Houston has more offensive tools such as Dwight Hawred and fantastic James Harden
Houston has been solid at home and has more firepower offensively than Detroit.
No special injuries in both teams.
Statistic score: 103.5 - 108.5 to Houston
Play smart, Play Houston

Pick- Houston Rockets-3 @1.93

Quote
Announcement

I would like to try here a social experiment, where the most of the profit will go to you.
Most of picks are coming right before the game starts, and most of you don't follow because you don't see the pick. I would like to try this solution:

1. Im opening a jar and giving 24 hours to fill it.
2. After 24 hours, the amount that will be in the jar is the amount we play on.
3. After the 4th win I will poll a vote to all the participants- If you want to continue, or to stop and get the profit.
4. If we stop, Im dividing the profit relatively to your investment.
5. 70% for you. 30% for me.

x put 0.001BTC
y put 0.002BTC
z put 0.004BTC
w put 0.008BTC
We won 1BTC. So: 0.7BTC devided:
x get 0.047BTC
y get 0.094BTC
z get 0.188BTC
w get 0.376BTC


Hope I was clear enough.
All the bets will be exposed to you and proves will be given by photos

15qFDgF2NE8L7Gwdcfd8G7tD8FVEKieGS9
The Jar is open until tomorrow, the exact hour- 10:05AM
All participants please write your name and your playing in PM, or here in the comments.  


1. Bet: 0.2404BTC
NBA
Orlando (20-21) VS Charlotte (19-23)

Both of the teams are coming to this game with very poor shape, both with 2 wins in their last 10 games.
Orlando's key player Oladipo was injured and today he will play - a huge push to them.
Charlotte suffer from a lot of injuries. (See in the photo)
Orlando opened the season very well, and I believe they will win today and cover the line.
Pick Orlando -5 @ 1.92 Lost

2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
nickaizoku
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January 14, 2016, 03:02:43 PM
 #2

woot this interesting, i might follow you from the 1st bet until the end Cheesy
hopefully we can make it. anyway im really know nothing about sports. might gonna follow ur lead ahaha
good luck with this

susila_bai
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January 14, 2016, 03:03:56 PM
 #3

After some fails from the starter of this method, I would like to give it a shot.
The rules are simple- I pick a game and place a bet of 0.013BTC. If I win, I will place another pick with the whole sum of the money - 7 times.
The odds I choose will be from 1.9 to 2
So the scheme will be: (I wrote *2 to easier calculate)
0.013*2
0.026*2
0.052*2
0.104*2
0.208*2
0.416*2
0.832*2
=
~1.664

I will pick games after research, and I will review the games.

1. CSKA vs Barcelona - Barcelona+6 @ 1.93
In CSKA, some key players will not play today- Jackson Aaron and Freeland Joel. De-Colo - The best CSKA scorer is in doubt to play after a sprained ankle injury. If he will play, it will be after couple days without trainings.
Moreover, the game will not be played at the usual home court of CSKA.
If CSKA will win, it will be very tight win.

2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.

Congratulation for trying a new way of earning and challenge, i will also try with you we both will earn and lose , let us see.
Nahl
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January 14, 2016, 03:09:09 PM
 #4

very interesting method and good idea looking forward to see the result i wish you could reach your profit target as these title thread said
debuni
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January 14, 2016, 03:11:25 PM
 #5

Good luck Smiley There was similar experiment recently and you will need some steel balls for last 2 bets Cheesy And of course luck to even reach it Smiley
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January 14, 2016, 03:13:11 PM
 #6

Good Start, If the key players not play, how about barca ?

good luck for your first bet, how about you lose at your first bet
sakira
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January 14, 2016, 03:17:30 PM
 #7

I'm really interested in your method, I hope that goes according to plan. not so bad if only lose 0.013BTC Grin
mobidirmob
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January 14, 2016, 03:19:03 PM
 #8

woot this interesting, i might follow you from the 1st bet until the end Cheesy
hopefully we can make it. anyway im really know nothing about sports. might gonna follow ur lead ahaha
good luck with this

I did not understand the way Wink Wink Wink Wink
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January 14, 2016, 03:24:27 PM
 #9

wow, it's great if you can do that in gambling, perhaps you could do that in trading in quite a long time, but maybe if done in gambling, it can be a quick way


.SWG.io.













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gizane
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January 14, 2016, 03:24:56 PM
 #10

So you are going to follow the thread of 10 euro to 1280 euro? Nice job as I can say but it is pretty tough to do, until now he can't achieve that 7 consecutive win. I do hope you can do it Grin. I am going to follow this thread Grin
Bitinity
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January 14, 2016, 03:28:28 PM
 #11

I'm really interested in your method, I hope that goes according to plan. not so bad if only lose 0.013BTC Grin

But imagine if he get all win on the first 6 matches but lose in the last match. Even though he only start with 0.013 but when he lose on the last bet means that he lose 0.8xx which is absolutely a great amount.
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January 14, 2016, 03:43:31 PM
 #12

I'm really interested in your method, I hope that goes according to plan. not so bad if only lose 0.013BTC Grin

But imagine if he get all win on the first 6 matches but lose in the last match. Even though he only start with 0.013 but when he lose on the last bet means that he lose 0.8xx which is absolutely a great amount.


yeah. this is exactly what i was thinking about when i read the first post. it is going to hurt real bad if you lose the very last bet or ever close to the end.

i think it would be better to change the amount of bets (lower them) to keep at least a portion of the profit in the end if you lose.

.
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January 14, 2016, 03:49:03 PM
 #13

Nice to see another challenge of '7 bets streak' here. As far as I know no one on Bitcointalk did it. The most successful attempts were shut down at 7 bet I think.
It is nice that you limit your games to Odds higher than 1.9 with odds lower than 1.5 that is not fun. Good Luck.
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January 14, 2016, 04:04:00 PM
 #14

So i guess you are trying the same way as of that "from12to1280" user.Sounds interesting and i think it's very difficult to maintain that 7 bet winning streak.Even if by luck you win 2 or 3 starting bets,i am sure you will hesitate to bet 5th or 6th bet at such odds,don't you?
Well let's see how you play,would be fun Cheesy
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January 14, 2016, 04:13:44 PM
 #15

After some fails from the starter of this method, I would like to give it a shot.
The rules are simple- I pick a game and place a bet of 0.013BTC. If I win, I will place another pick with the whole sum of the money - 7 times.
The odds I choose will be from 1.9 to 2
So the scheme will be: (I wrote *2 to easier calculate)
0.013*2
0.026*2
0.052*2
0.104*2
0.208*2
0.416*2
0.832*2
=
~1.664

I will pick games after research, and I will review the games.

1. CSKA vs Barcelona - Barcelona+6 @ 1.93
In CSKA, some key players will not play today- Jackson Aaron and Freeland Joel. De-Colo - The best CSKA scorer is in doubt to play after a sprained ankle injury. If he will play, it will be after couple days without trainings.
Moreover, the game will not be played at the usual home court of CSKA.
If CSKA will win, it will be very tight win.

2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.

I think i saw something like this a few days ago. The martingale sports betting is an interesting approach for sure. You could even make lets say 10 different starting bets over time. And try to get all of them to lets say 7 wins. Even if one betting sequence wins then you are already in the positive.
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January 14, 2016, 04:15:55 PM
 #16

Good luck, you are virtually certain to lose your deposit, but I will be rooting for you!

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January 14, 2016, 04:28:47 PM
 #17

I am quite interested, What kind of sport would you choose?

.
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January 14, 2016, 04:32:37 PM
 #18

Still you need somekind of deep analysis to predict tht result or you have to ask experience friend about those match.

I'm ever bet and I'm sure that I can win but the fact is different  Undecided
So at the end I'm lossing all


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                                     ,▄▓████████   
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                 ▄▄▓███████▀╙▄,  ▓███████        
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maxhor
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January 14, 2016, 04:46:59 PM
 #19

Good luck with your bet but i doubtful about this bet there will be much hard for Barcelona to keep losing margin less than 10 points as CSKA is much faster to make points as i think this is very risky pick.
mtnsaa
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January 14, 2016, 04:48:20 PM
 #20

Amazing idea and it will be a treat to follow how it goes, hopefully the streak goes deep hehe. If you build some momentum the temptation to cash out and stop will be too high in my opinion so let's see how it all evolves from here. Good luck!
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