look like is a good strategy as most odds of draw is above 3, so you need to get 1 win in 3 picks and you still got profit...
OP, how about this, find a match that Home team / Away team is without draw in the past 5 games (or more like 6 or 7), and pick that match...
Just to clarify some things. You are not betting in this way - ever. It is textbook example of gambler's fallacy - thinking that team will most likely draw when they didn't in last couple matches is huge mistake.
It is the same when you play roulette and ball hit red 5 times in a row. What is the probability of it hitting black next? It is not higher that it was during last 5 rolls, but most people will bet on black anyway.