Bitcoin halving how will it affect price?

[coldbound]

With everyone spamming all platforms about how the halving will take us to moon since last November, it's impossible that the halving is not priced in already. If this blocksize shitstorm keeps going like this, I don't think we have a 'halving pump' ahead of us.

[7Priest7]

I know that bitcoin blocks are going to be halved to 12.5 next summer.

so how will this affect the price?

answer is simple, it will rise price, just question should be by how much?

and  i think that if we will have 450$ price before halving, it should rise to 650$ in first days for sure,  everyone hopes for 1000$,  i do too, just that won't happen, or we need to have 650$ price before halving, and  i don't think that we will

[Ducky1]

Halving may actually lower the price, and even make some real damage. If price does not go up, mining power may decrease. This will lead to longer time between blocks since it takes a long time to adjust. Longer time between blocks means lower capacity on the network, which in turn might lead to large backlogs being formed, especially if somebody spams it again. That's not what bitcoin needs in a time with some strong emerging competition.

[nostal02]

The price of bitcoin will surely rise after the halving the speculation about the price will go down isnt realistic at all.
The harder for it to mine the more price it will get like the diamond for example.

[talkbitcoin]

as speculation goes it is expected that price will go above $800 because of the bitcoin halving. if you ask me it is very possible, even i am expecting much more than $800 it is possible to break the all time high price of $1100

[Herbert2020]

halving is going to have the biggest effect on bitcoin price. apart from leading to less supply with the same growing demand there is also the expectation effect this halving has on the price. everybody expects the price to go up so they are accumulating bitcoin and creating more and more demand which will raise the price on its own.

[CryptoBjorn]

halving is going to have the biggest effect on bitcoin price. apart from leading to less supply with the same growing demand there is also the expectation effect this halving has on the price. everybody expects the price to go up so they are accumulating bitcoin and creating more and more demand which will raise the price on its own.

Normally the price is to rise if miners are mining against break even> But with the next generation miners the 400 dollar mark is a good mark to miner with profit.
An potential increase is likely to happen but not mandatory for miners to keep mining with profit.

[fkvidar]

halving is going to have the biggest effect on bitcoin price. apart from leading to less supply with the same growing demand there is also the expectation effect this halving has on the price. everybody expects the price to go up so they are accumulating bitcoin and creating more and more demand which will raise the price on its own.

Yes haling will surely affect the price of bitocoin as it is expected that the price would rise at the time of halving and everybody is expecting that bitcoin will reach to the maximum level at the time of halving.

[BTCLovingDude]

halving is going to have the biggest effect on bitcoin price. apart from leading to less supply with the same growing demand there is also the expectation effect this halving has on the price. everybody expects the price to go up so they are accumulating bitcoin and creating more and more demand which will raise the price on its own.

Normally the price is to rise if miners are mining against break even> But with the next generation miners the 400 dollar mark is a good mark to miner with profit.
An potential increase is likely to happen but not mandatory for miners to keep mining with profit.

well, the price is not going up because of the miners. it is the market's supply and demand that will determine the bitcoin price.
and this supply is going to decrease as the block reward halves.

[Amph]

Halving may actually lower the price, and even make some real damage. If price does not go up, mining power may decrease. This will lead to longer time between blocks since it takes a long time to adjust. Longer time between blocks means lower capacity on the network, which in turn might lead to large backlogs being formed, especially if somebody spams it again. That's not what bitcoin needs in a time with some strong emerging competition.

it's clear that the halving will lower the price, that's why you need an greater demand to face it, without this not only the miners will not have their profit, but the network will be insecure

[martinacar]

Halving may actually lower the price, and even make some real damage. If price does not go up, mining power may decrease. This will lead to longer time between blocks since it takes a long time to adjust. Longer time between blocks means lower capacity on the network, which in turn might lead to large backlogs being formed, especially if somebody spams it again. That's not what bitcoin needs in a time with some strong emerging competition.

it's clear that the halving will lower the price, that's why you need an greater demand to face it, without this not only the miners will not have their profit, but the network will be insecure

How is this clear. If the prices goes from 400 to 250 it would not make any sense to mine. Even for the large mining farms.
With other words mining has become futile and the network won't be secure anymore.

[Amph]

Halving may actually lower the price, and even make some real damage. If price does not go up, mining power may decrease. This will lead to longer time between blocks since it takes a long time to adjust. Longer time between blocks means lower capacity on the network, which in turn might lead to large backlogs being formed, especially if somebody spams it again. That's not what bitcoin needs in a time with some strong emerging competition.

it's clear that the halving will lower the price, that's why you need an greater demand to face it, without this not only the miners will not have their profit, but the network will be insecure

How is this clear. If the prices goes from 400 to 250 it would not make any sense to mine. Even for the large mining farms.
With other words mining has become futile and the network won't be secure anymore.

i means it lower the value of the profit for the miners, so they need an increase in demand to sustain the mining activity for the halving

[BitcoinHodler]

too many speculations about halving already. no one can tell which one is true and which one is not.

i guess the price is going to rise no matter what. and because of the halving this rise is going to be increased.

[Glucose]

Halving may actually lower the price, and even make some real damage. If price does not go up, mining power may decrease. This will lead to longer time between blocks since it takes a long time to adjust. Longer time between blocks means lower capacity on the network, which in turn might lead to large backlogs being formed, especially if somebody spams it again. That's not what bitcoin needs in a time with some strong emerging competition.

it's clear that the halving will lower the price, that's why you need an greater demand to face it, without this not only the miners will not have their profit, but the network will be insecure

How is this clear. If the prices goes from 400 to 250 it would not make any sense to mine. Even for the large mining farms.
With other words mining has become futile and the network won't be secure anymore.

i means it lower the value of the profit for the miners, so they need an increase in demand to sustain the mining activity for the halving

My opinion is quite simple :

Price will go up for at least 2 reasons :

1) Everybody expect it too go up and are affraid not to be able buying Bitcoins later. So they will buy before the halving

2) There will be less BTC sold everyday after the halving. IF demand keeps the same, price will naturally go up.

3) The miners will pump the price (if it is too low) because their reward is divided and they need to keep making money. No doubt the big mining companies have a LOT of FIAT money and will pump the price after the halving.

[pitham1]

Halving may actually lower the price, and even make some real damage. If price does not go up, mining power may decrease. This will lead to longer time between blocks since it takes a long time to adjust. Longer time between blocks means lower capacity on the network, which in turn might lead to large backlogs being formed, especially if somebody spams it again. That's not what bitcoin needs in a time with some strong emerging competition

it's clear that the halving will lower the price, that's why you need an greater demand to face it, without this not only the miners will not have their profit, but the network will be insecure

How is this clear. If the prices goes from 400 to 250 it would not make any sense to mine. Even for the large mining farms.
With other words mining has become futile and the network won't be secure anymore.

i means it lower the value of the profit for the miners, so they need an increase in demand to sustain the mining activity for the halving

It lowers the block reward.
Demand for bitcoins is in dollar value. People buy $1000 value of bitcoins; they don't buy 2.5 bitcoins irrespective of the price.
Hence if demand remains the same, supply decreases, price of bitcoin increases.
Miners still might make decent profits.

[sempak]

yes that's for sure. bitcoin will increase the price after the halving. halving will make bitcoin supply is reduced. bitcoin has a great future after halving.

[Amph]

Halving may actually lower the price, and even make some real damage. If price does not go up, mining power may decrease. This will lead to longer time between blocks since it takes a long time to adjust. Longer time between blocks means lower capacity on the network, which in turn might lead to large backlogs being formed, especially if somebody spams it again. That's not what bitcoin needs in a time with some strong emerging competition

it's clear that the halving will lower the price, that's why you need an greater demand to face it, without this not only the miners will not have their profit, but the network will be insecure

How is this clear. If the prices goes from 400 to 250 it would not make any sense to mine. Even for the large mining farms.
With other words mining has become futile and the network won't be secure anymore.

i means it lower the value of the profit for the miners, so they need an increase in demand to sustain the mining activity for the halving

It lowers the block reward.
Demand for bitcoins is in dollar value. People buy $1000 value of bitcoins; they don't buy 2.5 bitcoins irrespective of the price.
Hence if demand remains the same, supply decreases, price of bitcoin increases.
Miners still might make decent profits.

mmh you are just assuming the price going higher, but it effectively lower the profit of the miner, so they certainly need a higher demand, it does not matter if the value is in dollar euro or whatever, they still need an increase

[Haryford]

I think the halving could double the price to around $800. But it might happen a few months later.

[bitcoineverything]

Most probably it will but we could not be 100% sure of that. Aside from halving, there are still a lot of factors that could affect the price of bitcoin. Considering usage, other currency, etc.

[Haryford]

Most probably it will but we could not be 100% sure of that. Aside from halving, there are still a lot of factors that could affect the price of bitcoin. Considering usage, other currency, etc.

The other factor could be the block size increase. According to the Hong Kong meeting, the 2MB block size increased could be implemented shortly.