Referring to this thread:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=135604.0It would be cool if someone could put together a graph that shows the following:
The historical probability that a block is found after x amount of time. So for example when it's been 1 hour since last block, this might be a 5% chance event, and it happens on average multiple times per day. A 2 hour delay between blocks is perhaps a 1% chance, and it happens on average once per day. A 3 hour delay is perhaps 0.1%, and happens on average every 10 days etc.
My numbers are from the air, but you can see the picture.
I think it would be cool to have such a graph, and to be able to understand the probabilities we deal with.
