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Question: When will the bubble be corrected?
17.50
18
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32
40+
Its not a bubble... legit demand pushing price higher.

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Author Topic: [Poll] Assuming its a bubble, when will it pop?  (Read 2450 times)
adamstgBit
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January 22, 2013, 10:31:55 PM
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nobbynobbynoob
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January 22, 2013, 11:05:33 PM
 #2

Given that I believe commodity monies are grotesquely undervalued - I certainly have no plan on buying fiat with my BTC even at triple the current prices, honestly - I think this is a bit of a "bubble" only because the price is rising so quickly. Of course, in a few years, should the price be $5000 per BTC ($5 per BTM) or whatever, we can all look back to the fond memories of these earlier days and laugh that we thought this rally (or indeed the 2011 spike) was a big deal! Smiley

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January 22, 2013, 11:12:53 PM
 #3

I think this is a bit of a "bubble" only because the price is rising so quickly.

Agreed. And I have been staring at that picture of the bubble for far too long.
Herodes
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January 23, 2013, 01:13:02 AM
 #4

After the first bubble, Gavin predicted we would have at least 2 more major bubbles before the price stabilizes.
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January 23, 2013, 01:43:24 AM
 #5

No idea, but that's a cool pic. 

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January 23, 2013, 02:11:46 AM
 #6

Who's Gavin?

blease resbond -> 1BYJKxpntNn6TZbM5M5CWkEb8vr8vDcBrr
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January 23, 2013, 02:19:20 AM
 #7

It is in fact highly unlikely that the price will both reach an all-time high and not retrace significantly. Bitcoin's history (albeit short) does not allow for this phenomenon:
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January 23, 2013, 02:32:44 AM
 #8

Who's Gavin?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=224

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January 23, 2013, 02:46:50 AM
 #9

The last time the price was in this range it would go haywire whenever the price hit $20.

Stable stable stable...$20...rollercoaster ride...stable stable stable...$20...insanity

PM me if you are ready to actually start seasteading.
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January 23, 2013, 09:35:22 AM
 #10

It is in fact highly unlikely that the price will both reach an all-time high and not retrace significantly. Bitcoin's history (albeit short) does not allow for this phenomenon:


Very interesting. But do you see the lows after retrace are always higher than the last all-time high? If this is correct, then we will never go below $31.9 again after the next all-time-high

And don't forget, by definition, retrace is the ONLY possible event immediately following an "all-time high", or that won't be called an all-time high.

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January 23, 2013, 01:12:39 PM
 #11

It is in fact highly unlikely that the price will both reach an all-time high and not retrace significantly. Bitcoin's history (albeit short) does not allow for this phenomenon:


Very interesting. But do you see the lows after retrace are always higher than the last all-time high? If this is correct, then we will never go below $31.9 again after the next all-time-high

And don't forget, by definition, retrace is the ONLY possible event immediately following an "all-time high", or that won't be called an all-time high.

I'm saying that with new highs comes departing stability. If we do reach a new high, we will not be plateauing there—up and down but not sideways.
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January 24, 2013, 06:45:29 AM
 #12


Very interesting. But do you see the lows after retrace are always higher than the last all-time high? If this is correct, then we will never go below $31.9 again after the next all-time-high


And $31 is an interesting level because the 365-day average spot (London fix) silver price is $31.15

Expect news headlines when one bitcoin buys more than 1oz of silver.

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March 19, 2013, 01:20:14 PM
 #13

Looks like everyone was wrong except the $40+ people!  adam didn't have the foresight to have options for $60, $100, etc Tongue

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March 19, 2013, 01:24:23 PM
 #14

Exactly... Sometimes things don't pop.

I've witnessed the China real estate "bubble". People made fortunes while many stood at the sidelines shouting "bubble". It wasn't. Immature markets inflate quickly. When we look back, we realise how cheap things were.

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March 19, 2013, 01:24:57 PM
 #15

THX for Bumping this.

Amazing, I voted 18  Roll Eyes .

Good thing I don't speculate, or I would kick myself in the Ass, now.

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March 19, 2013, 01:30:55 PM
 #16

Exactly... Sometimes things don't pop.

I've witnessed the China real estate "bubble". People made fortunes while many stood at the sidelines shouting "bubble". It wasn't. Immature markets inflate quickly. When we look back, we realise how cheap things were.

This I was in china Shanghai in 2005

I looked at real estate prices and could not believe how cheap it was considering the infrastructure level

I was right

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Vladimir
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March 19, 2013, 01:33:03 PM
 #17

The poll is rigged! I do not see 100 000$ and 1 000 000$ option. Not even 100$ and 500$.  Roll Eyes


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March 19, 2013, 01:37:07 PM
 #18

Exactly... Sometimes things don't pop.

I've witnessed the China real estate "bubble". People made fortunes while many stood at the sidelines shouting "bubble". It wasn't. Immature markets inflate quickly. When we look back, we realise how cheap things were.

This I was in china Shanghai in 2005

I looked at real estate prices and could not believe how cheap it was considering the infrastructure level

I was right

Yeah me too... since '99.... from cheap-as-chips houses and empty nightclubs to London prices (and Lamborghinis on the streets) in a decade. And no big pop at the end of it -- just a market levelling out.

jubalix
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March 19, 2013, 03:08:34 PM
 #19

Exactly... Sometimes things don't pop.

I've witnessed the China real estate "bubble". People made fortunes while many stood at the sidelines shouting "bubble". It wasn't. Immature markets inflate quickly. When we look back, we realise how cheap things were.

This I was in china Shanghai in 2005

I looked at real estate prices and could not believe how cheap it was considering the infrastructure level

I was right

Yeah me too... since '99.... from cheap-as-chips houses and empty nightclubs to London prices (and Lamborghinis on the streets) in a decade. And no big pop at the end of it -- just a market levelling out.

Dead right

the only problem is security of tenure for foreign owner and how to buy....its quite a nightmare....and they can easily kick a Westerner out for a million reasons

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Elwar
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March 28, 2013, 08:07:20 PM
 #20

It is in fact highly unlikely that the price will both reach an all-time high and not retrace significantly. Bitcoin's history (albeit short) does not allow for this phenomenon:


So how long before Bitcoin passes $32 based on this chart?

PM me if you are ready to actually start seasteading.
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