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Author Topic: Prediction: $100 by April 31st  (Read 6435 times)
Zangelbert Bingledack (OP)
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February 22, 2013, 04:56:46 PM
 #1

Simple extrapolation of the very steady exponential growth trend since January.

That also means we pass $50 by late March.

DeathAndTaxes
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February 22, 2013, 04:58:50 PM
 #2

cbeast
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February 22, 2013, 04:59:08 PM
 #3

I'm not sure if we are geometric or exponential yet. Is the user base really growing, or are the current users doubling down?

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
Vladimir
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February 22, 2013, 04:59:29 PM
 #4

Even though simple extrapolation works only until it stops working, you might be right. Let's wait and see.

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urwhatuknow
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February 22, 2013, 06:00:05 PM
 #5

Great prediction!
You surely have a point when you say that Bitcoin will hit 100 usd by April 31st.
As a matter of fact April has only 30 days..... duh!
 Shocked
This should give a pretty good indication about the level of "irrational exuberance" we joined so far.
Beware son.....




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Zangelbert Bingledack (OP)
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February 22, 2013, 06:49:40 PM
 #6

I was wondering who'd be the first to notice my little gimmick  Wink

Note: I assigned the prediction 20% confidence, meaning I have 80% confidence the price won't appreciate this rapidly - not very exuberant. It's just an interesting reference prediction to compare the actual results with to keep us sane if the price goes up even faster (probably that'd be a bubble), and if it conforms to the prediction people will freak out less than if I hadn't made this post.

I mostly just don't want to hear cries of "bubble" constantly as we climb what could be a gigantic wall of worry at what could be a breakneck, brain-destroying pace.
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February 22, 2013, 07:03:09 PM
 #7

Great prediction!
You surely have a point when you say that Bitcoin will hit 100 usd by April 31st.
As a matter of fact April has only 30 days..... duh!
 Shocked
This should give a pretty good indication about the level of "irrational exuberance" we joined so far.
Beware son.....

So you agree? The price will be $100 before the date will be April 31st?

Play Bitcoin Poker at sealswithclubs.eu. We're active and open to everyone.
Puppet
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February 22, 2013, 07:26:51 PM
 #8

Im guessing we will hit that before February 29th. Anyone taking bets?

(the first of which occurs in 2016 for anyone not paying attention, its a leap day)
gimme_bottles
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February 22, 2013, 08:29:29 PM
 #9

Im guessing we will hit that before February 29th. Anyone taking bets?

(the first of which occurs in 2016 for anyone not paying attention, its a leap day)

100$ by 31st April would be crazy, but this is ridiculous...
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February 22, 2013, 08:31:02 PM
 #10

He didn't specify which year would have Feb 29, so not betting Cheesy

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February 22, 2013, 08:41:42 PM
 #11

Chances are better we'll see single digits, I think.

Bitcoin Fact: the price of bitcoin will not be greater than $70k for more than 25 consecutive days at any point in the rest of recorded human history.
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February 22, 2013, 09:17:09 PM
 #12

Im guessing we will hit that before February 29th. Anyone taking bets?

(the first of which occurs in 2016 for anyone not paying attention, its a leap day)

100$ by 31st April would be crazy, but this is ridiculous...

Bad enough you dont realize what February 29th is, and then you didnt even see what you quoted lol.
I removed the color tags for you. Or try highlighting the quote.
gimme_bottles
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February 22, 2013, 09:28:15 PM
 #13

Im guessing we will hit that before February 29th. Anyone taking bets?

(the first of which occurs in 2016 for anyone not paying attention, its a leap day)

100$ by 31st April would be crazy, but this is ridiculous...

Bad enough you dont realize what February 29th is, and then you didnt even see what you quoted lol.
I removed the color tags for you. Or try highlighting the quote.

you got me...  Roll Eyes
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February 22, 2013, 09:39:30 PM
 #14

Chances are better we'll see single digits, I think.

Single digits by April 31st - meaning never, right?
Zangelbert Bingledack (OP)
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March 04, 2013, 05:22:14 PM
 #15

We remain on target  Grin
Zangelbert Bingledack (OP)
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March 14, 2013, 02:48:43 PM
Last edit: March 14, 2013, 03:19:05 PM by Zangelbert Bingledack
 #16

Still right on course.

If we hit $50 this week it'll be a bit early. My guess is next week, or possibly the week after.

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March 14, 2013, 05:27:27 PM
 #17

Still right on course.

If we hit $50 this week it'll be a bit early. My guess is next week, or possibly the week after.





Ah, log charts. Can we see this on a log base-1000 chart, please?

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March 15, 2013, 11:53:30 AM
 #18

Nice prediction. I agree with the idea that the rally will continue past $50 with a breakout in the near future (as I've talked about in my blog) however I think the line will become steeper and rise quicker after $50 than it has in the rally so far.

phatsphere
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March 15, 2013, 12:12:52 PM
 #19

Ah, log charts. Can we see this on a log base-1000 chart, please?
do you know what a logarithm is?
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March 15, 2013, 12:31:41 PM
 #20

Based on that chart, price would reach $1,000 before year end.

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