I started getting worries about wings coin, because the price of bitcoin has now reached 7578 $, if the btc price keeps rising up to 100k $ how is the fate of wings
I think the price of Wings will never get very high (max 1$ imo) because everything here turns arround the rewards and rewards will never be higher than what it is now so people won't pay 10$/wings just to get some pennies.
If you invest in wings you should think about the rewards from forecasting not about the price of your wing
Hopefully the btc price after hardfork is down because it can raise the price of the wings and I'm sure the wings will be at the top
the 2nd poster makes the incorrect assumption that the ICO market will stay stable and that the number of ICOs using WINGS for evaluation will remain stable.
the price of wings (assuming you are somewhat rational) is likely predicated on the following factors:
-how many projects are using WINGS in a given year
-how much % reward fee those projects are willing to pay
-how much funding do those projects raise
-how much the coins of the projects are worth in the aftermarket
-how long are forecasters willing to wait to sell their coins (for example people who run crypto funds don't *need* the money right away)
-how many people of the 90 million wings available are participating in evaluating projects using wings on a per project basis
-how well do most people do in forecasting to improve their forecast rating reputation (FR) which improves their rewards - imagine sort of a gini curve of forecasters
-maybe some other factors i missed here
so for example, if the global blockchain funding (ICO for lack of better term) market hits $10 billion, and 10% of the deal flow uses WINGS that is $1B in total funding, but the total valuation of that market is perhaps 1.5X this. so assume that WINGS rewards from this amount = 2% of coins of those projects.
1.5B * 2% = $30M in rewards for 1 year. There are only ever 100 million WINGS who can forecast and fight over this pie, half of which currently sit on exchanges.
Now if you apply discounted cash flow analysis and assume lets say a 30% annual growth rate in to the ICO markets for the next 5 years ... the NPV of WINGS next year would be....
http://www.moneychimp.com/articles/valuation/dcf.htmso if u look at wings like a tool to use that pays you when you use it correctly, it can be a profitable tool just like any other tool that has a market demand for its use