We might see a flat adjustment, but I doubt we'll see significant negative until after the halving, if even then.
Looks like the burn-in test of the next gen hardware is over. My guess is now we will see the last gen stuff coming offline and being resold to make room for the new gear, and then the difficulty will go up up up. When will we see a 500G difficulty?
my guess is we won't see 500diff very soon
the ½ ing and the new gear will kill off everything that is older for a lot of miners.
once the ½ ing happens a 14 th machine using .1 watts is
- at a diff of 479 at 10 cent power pulls in 461 after power
- at a diff of 583 at 8 cent power pulls in 645 after power
- at a diff of 744 at 6 cent power pulls in 879 after power
- at a diff of 1154 at 4 cent power pulls in 1171 after power
- at a diff of 1546 at 3 cent power pulls in 1350 after power
I used 5% diff jumps based on the above diff will not rise at 5% and I used today as the day you start it up. so if btc is going to work we are going to see flat growth not 5% jumps