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Author Topic: The FED buys securities because, you know, the weather was too bad  (Read 1490 times)
grondilu (OP)
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March 06, 2013, 12:16:26 PM
 #1


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The Federal Reserve will keep purchasing securities at the rate of $85 billion a month after the economy paused because of temporary forces including bad weather.

“Growth in economic activity paused in recent months in large part because of weather-related disruptions and other transitory factors,”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-30/fed-maintains-85-billion-pace-of-purchases-as-growth-pauses.html


Whenever you want to print money, any excuse will do.

Lethn
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March 06, 2013, 03:37:08 PM
 #2

The fucking weather? Tell me this isn't real!
BitCoinsLOL
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March 08, 2013, 01:53:34 PM
 #3

1 storm in a century and they panic.

I never thought my life could be. Anything but catastrophe. But suddenly I begin to see. A "BIT" of good luck for me. Cause I've got a golden ticket!
compro01
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March 08, 2013, 02:24:40 PM
 #4

Bad weather wrecks crops, houses, infrastructure, etc.  This can have non-trivial short term effects.
mobodick
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March 08, 2013, 03:19:01 PM
 #5

The fucking weather? Tell me this isn't real!

Have you ever considered what effects the weather has on the transport sector?
Or the tourism sector?
Or what compro01 mentions?

Yes, the 'fucking' weather has a huge impact on local and global economies.
Lethn
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March 08, 2013, 03:23:19 PM
 #6

Unless you have:

. A giant wall of water hurtling towards you and crushing everything in it's path

. A risk of a nuclear meltdown engulfing a sizeable portion of a country in green light because of said weather

. The earth ripping itself apart underneath your feet

. A swirling mass of cylindrical pressurised death coming towards you

. A giant ball of ash floating in the direction of your airport


Then the weather is no excuse.
mobodick
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March 08, 2013, 03:33:55 PM
 #7

Unless you have:

. A giant wall of water hurtling towards you and crushing everything in it's path

. A risk of a nuclear meltdown engulfing a sizeable portion of a country in green light because of said weather

. The earth ripping itself apart underneath your feet

. A swirling mass of cylindrical pressurised death coming towards you

. A giant ball of ash floating in the direction of your airport


Then the weather is no excuse.

Right, because the economy is only affected by non-existent catastrophies.
Enjoy your cluelesness while you can!  Cheesy
grondilu (OP)
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March 08, 2013, 07:15:12 PM
 #8

Yes, the 'fucking' weather has a huge impact on local and global economies.

Of course.  And obviously the solution to solve this is to print money.   Roll Eyes    Paper is magic.

Severian
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March 08, 2013, 09:12:37 PM
 #9

Whenever you want to print money, any excuse will do.

Bernanke has gas. Better print some money.

Sunrise at 06:35. Better print some money.

Look at the time! Better print some money.

Wife yelled at me this morning. Better print some money.

Entrail reading was positive. Better print some money.
Mike Christ
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March 09, 2013, 06:28:37 AM
 #10

Whenever you want to print money, any excuse will do.

Bernanke has gas. Better print some money.

Sunrise at 06:35. Better print some money.

Look at the time! Better print some money.

Wife yelled at me this morning. Better print some money.

Entrail reading was positive. Better print some money.

That would make a catchy song.

Severian
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March 09, 2013, 06:35:31 AM
 #11


That would make a catchy song.

You're right. Oddly, I'm a songwriter. Thanks for making me take a second look at my own stuff. Smiley
Mike Christ
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March 09, 2013, 06:36:15 AM
 #12


That would make a catchy song.

You're right. Oddly, I'm a songwriter. Thanks for making me take a second look at my own stuff. Smiley

No wonder you have such a way with words, then Grin

Severian
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March 09, 2013, 06:39:57 AM
 #13

Kind of you to say, Snapsunny.

I'm going to randomly answer "Better print some money!" tomorrow to anyone that brings me a problem to solve.
grondilu (OP)
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March 09, 2013, 10:38:04 AM
Last edit: March 09, 2013, 02:48:48 PM by grondilu
 #14

To be fair, there is a logic behind this.  I guess, in some perverted way, you can indeed solve any problem by printing money.

Let's say you want to find the Higgs Boson  (random example).  How could it be possible that you can do such an extraordinary accomplishment by just printing money?

Well, it's easy.  First, you need brain power.  And this, you have.  Thousands of people all around the word are smart enough to imagine a way to detect a Higgs Boson.  The problem is that it's difficult for them to convince other people (workers, engineers,...) to build a machine capable of doing that.

The solution:  just print the money and give it to the smart people.  They will give it to workers in order to convince them to build the machine.  The workers don't know that this money has been freshly printed.  Or they don't care, as long as they can give it to someone who will not care either.   At the end, people accept to work for a money that has been devaluated, and I'm not sure they always realize that.  Basically, the whole thing is either a fraud if you disagree with it, or an illusion if you think it's just the magic of monetary policies.

To me, it's a fraud, nothing else than money counterfeiting.   It should be a crime, even when the FED does it, and even if it's smart, good intended people who benefit from it.

justusranvier
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March 09, 2013, 02:40:19 PM
 #15

To be fair, there is a logic behind this.  I guess, in some perverted way, you can indeed solve any problem by printing some money.

Let's say you want to find the Higgs Boson  (random example).  How could it be possible that you can do such an extraordinary accomplishment by just printing money?

Well, it's easy.  First, you need brain power.  And this, you have.  Thousands of people all around the word are smart enough to imagine a way to detect a Higgs Boson.  The problem is that it's difficult for them to convince other people (workers, engineers,...) to build a machine capable of doing that.

The solution:  just print the money and give it to the smart people.  They will give it to workers in order to convince them to build the machine.  The workers don't know that this money has been freshly printed.  Or they don't care, as long as they can give it to someone who will not care either.   At the end, people accept to work for a money that has been devaluated, and I'm not sure they always realize that.  Basically, the whole thing is either a fraud if you disagree with it, or an illusion if you think it's just the magic of monetary policies.

To me, it's a fraud, nothing else than money counterfeiting.   It should be a crime, even when the FED does it, and even if it's smart, good intended people who benefit from it.
The process you described has a name - central planning.

It's the same economic theory that is unequivocally debunked, first by Mises, and then by the utter failure of every centrally-planned economy.

The only reason Western governments haven't gone the route of the USSR yet is because they've been sipping the poison instead of chugging it.
mobodick
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March 09, 2013, 03:13:31 PM
 #16

To be fair, there is a logic behind this.  I guess, in some perverted way, you can indeed solve any problem by printing some money.

Let's say you want to find the Higgs Boson  (random example).  How could it be possible that you can do such an extraordinary accomplishment by just printing money?

Well, it's easy.  First, you need brain power.  And this, you have.  Thousands of people all around the word are smart enough to imagine a way to detect a Higgs Boson.  The problem is that it's difficult for them to convince other people (workers, engineers,...) to build a machine capable of doing that.

The solution:  just print the money and give it to the smart people.  They will give it to workers in order to convince them to build the machine.  The workers don't know that this money has been freshly printed.  Or they don't care, as long as they can give it to someone who will not care either.   At the end, people accept to work for a money that has been devaluated, and I'm not sure they always realize that.  Basically, the whole thing is either a fraud if you disagree with it, or an illusion if you think it's just the magic of monetary policies.

To me, it's a fraud, nothing else than money counterfeiting.   It should be a crime, even when the FED does it, and even if it's smart, good intended people who benefit from it.
The process you described has a name - central planning.

It's the same economic theory that is unequivocally debunked, first by Mises, and then by the utter failure of every centrally-planned economy.

The only reason Western governments haven't gone the route of the USSR yet is because they've been sipping the poison instead of chugging it.

All economies become partially planned if big enough.
A country cannot survive if there is no multi-year planning for lots of things, for instance food crops or energy consumption.
If you can't feed your people they will revolt and your country breaks down. It is that simple.
In reality there is a wide field of stability between completely planned and not planned at all.

The only reasonable choice in our universe is to have stability (planning/structure) on one side and chaos (unplanned/free) on the other.
That is the only way to gain flexibility while protecting the process as a whole.
And in fact all (successfull) systems in the universe follow this principle.
If a structure/system is too rigid it cannot interact with its environment (too much planning).
If a structure/system is too chaotic it cannot maintain its form and will disintegrate (no planning/complete freedom).

This is just the nature of our universe and we need to find a balance between these factors.
poly
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March 09, 2013, 03:20:28 PM
 #17

Unless you have:

. A giant wall of water hurtling towards you and crushing everything in it's path

. A risk of a nuclear meltdown engulfing a sizeable portion of a country in green light because of said weather

. The earth ripping itself apart underneath your feet

. A swirling mass of cylindrical pressurised death coming towards you

. A giant ball of ash floating in the direction of your airport


Then the weather is no excuse.
Weather and climate certainly is a factor in the economy. It might sound ridiculous at first, but think about it.

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grondilu (OP)
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March 09, 2013, 03:33:42 PM
 #18

Weather and climate certainly is a factor in the economy. It might sound ridiculous at first, but think about it.

It is a factor in the economy, but it's ridiculous to deal with it by printing money.

poly
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March 09, 2013, 03:37:07 PM
 #19

Weather and climate certainly is a factor in the economy. It might sound ridiculous at first, but think about it.

It is a factor in the economy, but it's ridiculous to deal with it by printing money.
I agree, but does the Fed even need to justify it with a proper reason? Nobody can really stop them from printing USD, like all other central banks that are independent from the government.

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grondilu (OP)
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March 09, 2013, 03:45:05 PM
 #20

I agree, but does the Fed even need to justify it with a proper reason?

That's pretty much the point I was trying to make with this thread.  Instead of invoking the weather, they'd rather not try to justify themselves at all.

"We print money because the weather was too bad"  Come on.

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