The real effects of halving are going to take months to absorb. And people keep getting the words 'supply' and 'production' mixed up. If the price is right there will always be enough supply.
Well said! I think it might take considerable time for a new equilibrium to be found, too. If that will mean higher fiat valuation as a lot of people here have been constantly suggesting remains to be seen. It's also possible that miners will bring new hashing power in operation faster to compensate for a perceived loss in revenue and in turn production of new coins might decrease less significantly than expected. Another alternative scenario would be miners hoarding less coins and selling more coins at exchanges to pay for electricity.
Further, miners could stop mining, because it is no longer profitable. In turn, total hashing power will decrease significantly. This might trigger a psychological reaction that draws Bitcoin's growth into question. As a result, buying demand for new coins decreases.
In all these scenarios, fiat/Bitcoin exchange rate might not increase at all. Whatever happens, I think the halving is a great event to celebrate the very existence of Bitcoin. Therefore I treat myself to a nice cold beer at the halving.
ya.ya.yo!