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Author Topic: BTC Dump: I told you on July 3rd....  (Read 2267 times)
aesma
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August 05, 2016, 07:59:37 PM
 #21

at the time of posting BTC-E has a large 1000btc ghostwall.. at exactly $600

its there to stop the price going any higher.. if it goes higher btc-e will be at risk, and i think they too will do a "we been hacked" alert
https://bitcoinity.org/markets/btce/USD

seems there is a active mission to keep prices down right now


I don not get this. Could you explain it a little bit more to me.
What do you mean with ghostwall? why would they be at risk and what about the alert? what cann they do (besides keeping price down)? Also how can you keep prices down?


Yes please explain. I have a job and can't follow all this.
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August 05, 2016, 10:31:27 PM
 #22

at the time of posting BTC-E has a large 1000btc ghostwall.. at exactly $600

its there to stop the price going any higher.. if it goes higher btc-e will be at risk, and i think they too will do a "we been hacked" alert
https://bitcoinity.org/markets/btce/USD

seems there is a active mission to keep prices down right now

dam you guys are scaring me...

Thinking I may get some of my coins out of there. Feels like nothing is safe
right now. Price has looked to stabalize as of now so maybe I'll withdraw and
cold wallet store for the time being.

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August 06, 2016, 01:00:47 AM
 #23

at the time of posting BTC-E has a large 1000btc ghostwall.. at exactly $600

its there to stop the price going any higher.. if it goes higher btc-e will be at risk, and i think they too will do a "we been hacked" alert
https://bitcoinity.org/markets/btce/USD

seems there is a active mission to keep prices down right now


I don not get this. Could you explain it a little bit more to me.
What do you mean with ghostwall? why would they be at risk and what about the alert? what cann they do (besides keeping price down)? Also how can you keep prices down?


firstly the term "wall" is a large single order/pricepoint that has such a large amount of coins most people psychologically think it wont be filled.
EG if average trades are 0.2btc and you see a wall of 1000btc. then instantly you will think this wall wont be filled any time soon so people do no try to push the price up because of the wall.



now there are a few types of walls..
a whale.. this is a genuine investor with real bitcoin balance that just wants to place an order
a whale wall is when the price the genuine order is at is far away from the spread, obviously their first thought is not to actually sell the coins any time soon but to do a bit of psychological manipulation.. usually putting a large wall at a distance is done to keep prices down to actually buy coins cheaper.. while not risking filling their sell order because there are many small orders before getting to the wall.

a ghost.. this is a fake order, usually done by the exchange itself to fill order lines.. small orders are just to take some profits or make exchange look more popular/active. large orders are usually done to control where its moving. but in both cases exchanges sometimes dont have the real funds to validate their orders..
ghost orders is a form of fractional reserve.. where they are not using real funds but creating orders backed by nothing.

its when an exchange is ghosting orders(fractional reserve orders) and they get filled(exchange didnt cancel order in time) and users want to withdraw funds. that exchange becomes less able to actually pay out to its customers. so this sparks a 'rob peter to pay paul' where they dip into others funds to pay out fresh withdrawals leaving users with balance left on their account less and less likely to be able to withdraw later..
the hope is new deposits cover the current users withdrawals later, and eventually trade fee's will cover the gap.
mtgox done this. cryptsy done this, mintpal done this. and look where they are now, they didnt refill the gap in the reserves to bing users accounts back into balance

as you can see by the image above the wall is alot larger then the average order and also its not near the spread. thus its not a genuine person wanting to sell coins soon. but far enough to cause some psychological manipulations of user speculation that the price wont gove over $600 any time soon and also far enough to cancel the fake wall if the price did try moving up fast..
worse case is when they dont cancel the order and it fills.


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August 06, 2016, 01:55:24 AM
 #24

It could also just as likely be someone who bought a shitload of BTC when it bottomed out at $460 (or had a shitload from when they were like $1) and would be happy taking profit at $600 because they want to go buy themselves a new ferrari or something.

I'm not sure how having that giant order there cause "psychological manipulation"? All I see is someone being hopeful they'll be able to sell 1000BTC @ $600... if the price ever gets that high again.

Like everything to do with BTC trading... it is all speculation.


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aesma
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August 06, 2016, 02:02:00 AM
 #25

Thanks for the explanation. I'd say though that fractional reserve for an exchange is logical, without the fake orders part that is. With people buying and people selling, you don't need to have all the BTC and money in a hot wallet.
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August 06, 2016, 03:29:58 AM
 #26

It could also just as likely be someone who bought a shitload of BTC when it bottomed out at $460 (or had a shitload from when they were like $1) and would be happy taking profit at $600 because they want to go buy themselves a new ferrari or something.

I'm not sure how having that giant order there cause "psychological manipulation"? All I see is someone being hopeful they'll be able to sell 1000BTC @ $600... if the price ever gets that high again.

Like everything to do with BTC trading... it is all speculation.


yes its speculation, and people speculate. many people in trading know what are common speculations by people that watch the orders. and know how they characteristically react when they see certain patterns. the mtgox "wally whale" was good at this manipulation using walls. kind of entertaining to watch most of the time..

here is a lowdown of basic mindset people have based purely on what they see when they see the market order charts


if you know how people may think, you can control a bit of the speculation

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August 06, 2016, 04:29:25 PM
 #27

BTC went from it's decentralized core to a quasi centralized exchange mechanism in about 4 seconds flat.

This is what people need to remember, that although lots of centralized infrastructure exists for bitcoin now, it's strength is in it's decentralized nature. Holding your own coins is always going to be more trustworthy than keeping them in an exchange/online wallet, for example.
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August 06, 2016, 05:02:53 PM
 #28

Good prediction , not sure how it happens , but we need to consider all factors while buying ,holding and trading BTC. As mentioned above on the thread we need  to take precautionary measure  like not to keep more BTC's on currency exchange sites and sell it immdiatly when there is profit.

Its always better and safe to save it in personal wallet instead of keeping on exchanges as nowadays its very difficult to find any legit site where we can keep our coins safely.

I mine some altcoins and sell them for the bitcoin. As soon as I get the bitcoins, I withdraw to my own wallets.
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August 06, 2016, 05:05:19 PM
 #29

Good prediction , not sure how it happens , but we need to consider all factors while buying ,holding and trading BTC. As mentioned above on the thread we need  to take precautionary measure  like not to keep more BTC's on currency exchange sites and sell it immdiatly when there is profit.

Its always better and safe to save it in personal wallet instead of keeping on exchanges as nowadays its very difficult to find any legit site where we can keep our coins safely.

I mine some altcoins and sell them for the bitcoin. As soon as I get the bitcoins, I withdraw to my own wallets.

That is the right thing to do as you cannot afford to trust any online site at a moment either for saving bitcoin or investing bitcoin as your personal wallet is the safest place to store your coins.
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August 06, 2016, 06:54:37 PM
 #30

why the fook do you bother posting on this site i just dont get it Huh you are a complete troll like seriously wise up wasting your time  hahahaha
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August 06, 2016, 08:55:31 PM
 #31

why the fook do you bother posting on this site i just dont get it Huh you are a complete troll like seriously wise up wasting your time  hahahaha

The answer is easy, he is a paid shill... his only goal here is to spread misinformation and to bad mouth Bitcoin. Just have a look at the post history and the whole objective of his presence here is laid

out like a story book read to a child. If you know anything about commodity trading, you will know that price correction and manipulation is the name of the game. This is done with all commodities,

from Maize to Gold. If something goes up, it must come down at some stage... So I can also read the future and tell you... in the near future the gold price will go down, when the global economy

improve.. What a genius .. I am.  Roll Eyes

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August 13, 2016, 09:20:24 PM
 #32

You cannot call small fluctuations in price 'dump'.No one has lost faith in bitcoin and bitcoin price will recover again

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August 14, 2016, 12:31:14 AM
 #33

People missed one thing before the halving, at December 2015 bitcoin were worthing 250-300 dollars, at January this year bitcoin jumped to 400 for no reason besides the bitcoin halving coming, soo the current value is the right one and maybe a bit above the real value, that could be 500-600 dollars.  Soo dont expect too much from bitcoin, i believe bitcoin will end the year at 700 dollars but if it stands at this value the halving has already made its presence.
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August 14, 2016, 03:31:25 AM
 #34

The appropriate old trader's saw here is: 'Buy the rumor, sell the news'.

There was a previous halving in November of 2012.

The price then was about $12 per Bitcoin.

Everything is relevant to your time perspective, short term or long term.

Unless of course something goes to zero.
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August 14, 2016, 03:39:39 AM
 #35

People missed one thing before the halving, at December 2015 bitcoin were worthing 250-300 dollars, at January this year bitcoin jumped to 400 for no reason besides the bitcoin halving coming, soo the current value is the right one and maybe a bit above the real value, that could be 500-600 dollars.  Soo dont expect too much from bitcoin, i believe bitcoin will end the year at 700 dollars but if it stands at this value the halving has already made its presence.

I don't think it's going to stand at this value. People will have to invest again, so we have to wait for the investors to buy some more BTC. Trades and investments are never going to stop, you're going to see these guys around all the time. Everyone is hoping for a price increase like four years ago. If that would be real.. expect the price to go up to $100k next year.
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August 23, 2016, 12:55:01 PM
 #36

People missed one thing before the halving, at December 2015 bitcoin were worthing 250-300 dollars, at January this year bitcoin jumped to 400 for no reason besides the bitcoin halving coming, soo the current value is the right one and maybe a bit above the real value, that could be 500-600 dollars.  Soo dont expect too much from bitcoin, i believe bitcoin will end the year at 700 dollars but if it stands at this value the halving has already made its presence.

I don't think it's going to stand at this value. People will have to invest again, so we have to wait for the investors to buy some more BTC. Trades and investments are never going to stop, you're going to see these guys around all the time. Everyone is hoping for a price increase like four years ago. If that would be real.. expect the price to go up to $100k next year.

I think the recent price drop of the bitcoin is caused by the problems of the new Core client, the software might not be authetic.
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August 23, 2016, 04:29:16 PM
 #37

People missed one thing before the halving, at December 2015 bitcoin were worthing 250-300 dollars, at January this year bitcoin jumped to 400 for no reason besides the bitcoin halving coming, soo the current value is the right one and maybe a bit above the real value, that could be 500-600 dollars.  Soo dont expect too much from bitcoin, i believe bitcoin will end the year at 700 dollars but if it stands at this value the halving has already made its presence.
thats true, the halving has already priced in though i think that we might see more increases just because of the random pumps that will happen

 
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August 24, 2016, 06:35:39 AM
 #38

People missed one thing before the halving, at December 2015 bitcoin were worthing 250-300 dollars, at January this year bitcoin jumped to 400 for no reason besides the bitcoin halving coming, soo the current value is the right one and maybe a bit above the real value, that could be 500-600 dollars.  Soo dont expect too much from bitcoin, i believe bitcoin will end the year at 700 dollars but if it stands at this value the halving has already made its presence.

I don't think it's going to stand at this value. People will have to invest again, so we have to wait for the investors to buy some more BTC. Trades and investments are never going to stop, you're going to see these guys around all the time. Everyone is hoping for a price increase like four years ago. If that would be real.. expect the price to go up to $100k next year.

$100k price speculation is too unrealistic to consider to happen in next year as we see tha bitcoin price it even hardly pass on $700 price. How much more in $100k next year then it would be impossible to happen, maybe 800-900 next year would be possible or even this year and thats just also a speculation but realistic compared to yours.

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August 24, 2016, 08:07:19 AM
 #39

Yeah because the OP really saw into the future & predicted an epic crash, he must have known bfx would be hacked for millions of USD worth of bitcoin.

In other words he drunkenly threw a dart in the dark & it luckily hit the bullseye.

Idiot.

And that is the beauty of life isn't it?

You can read and decide for yourself what is right, wrong, or just straight up bullshit.

I stuck my neck out by going against the grain and you come to spit in my face.

That is your choice and your right.

Win / Win for you.

You look tough by assassinating my character and you get to ignore people that annoy you.
  
Now you have less information to sift through considering you have written me off.





We can make this like a rap and we might get more money than waiting for that price increase again. Let's earn more than Eminem.  Grin I am taking all the negative or positive feedbacks from OP's post for it makes my mind eat more than ignoring and have a hungry brain.

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August 24, 2016, 08:31:26 AM
 #40

it is now August 24 and yet the value of bitcoin is still on more or less than $600. how come you will say that bitcoin will be dump? there's no definite proof that it will be dump if it's value is that really high. better think before you post something.
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