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Author Topic: MTGOX to collapse if Japan goes "the Cyprus way" ?  (Read 4604 times)
Bitcoinpro
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March 26, 2013, 07:43:20 AM
 #21

Even in France when the government tried to extend the public servant retirement age to something stupid like 70 years of age while also moving the pension benefit date to the same age, also the later was not retrospective as far as i understand, the result was a massive public outrage and protests grinding to halt all the oil ports and trucking facilities.

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March 26, 2013, 07:49:47 AM
 #22

Now can Mtgox collapse? i seriously doubt it maybe if the bitcoin price got high enough say in the $100,000 US Dollar range and Mtgox had sold more coin than what they actually owned, then users wanted to withdraw these coins then yes they would have a big problem on their hands!

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March 26, 2013, 07:50:52 AM
 #23

The central bank of Japan can print JPY. so please don't worry.

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March 26, 2013, 08:34:52 AM
 #24

The central bank of Japan can print JPY. so please don't worry.

they have been doing that for ages

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March 26, 2013, 09:40:58 AM
 #25

I suppose that some people are happy to see Cyprus sinking in the financial abyss as BTC price skyrockets and causes megaprofits.
But, did you ever think what would happen to MTGOX if Japan goes the Cyprus way and grab bank deposits to repay its debt?

Some of alarming articles in press.
Forget Cyprus, Japan Is The Real Crisis - Forbes
Financial Ticking Time Bomb 2013, Japan the Greece of Asia
Looming financial crisis in Japan deserves our attention



Not such a big problem unless you are crazy enough to store your btc with them. If the losses cause them to collapse it will just make it more difficult to purchase btc but bitcoin will live on.



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[15.00000000 BTC]


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March 26, 2013, 10:05:55 AM
 #26

If Japan collapses, the bigger companies will be affected first, like Toyota, Honda, all those other Japanese cars and motorcycle manufacturers. The samurai will take over and ninjas will be recruited by organized crime Yakuza... Did you see what happened after some disasters like floods and earthquakes recently? The Japanese people are very patient waiting for relief goods and weren't about to kamikaze each other.

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March 26, 2013, 04:27:11 PM
 #27

Not such a big problem unless you are crazy enough to store your btc with them. If the losses cause them to collapse it will just make it more difficult to purchase btc but bitcoin will live on.
But I remember what happened to bitcoin when MtGox got into troubles in 2011.
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March 26, 2013, 05:16:07 PM
 #28

All USD wires are still go to their Japanese account. Just imagine their losses in case of Cyprus scenario.
It's time to think about alternatives. I believe decentralization is the key factor in bitcoin's stability.

http://coinlab.com/transition

"If you're already a Gox customer and domiciled in the US / Canada, you don't have to do anything. We'll notify you when your funds have moved over to the US, and from then on, sending and receiving money in and out of the exchange will get a lot easier."

"Your dollars are deposited with Silicon Valley Bank"

Am I missing something?
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March 26, 2013, 06:31:57 PM
 #29

It's more than just the exchange. A lot (perhaps the majority?) of apps and services rely on the mtgox api for pricing and such. It is still a precarious situation to be in. Bitstamp is growing for EU users, i'm not sure about US alternatives, but we need a few more exchange hubs in different jurisdictions before my mind will be set at ease.

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March 26, 2013, 07:13:28 PM
 #30

CAvirtex is a great alternative for BTC/CAD. It's very solid now.
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March 26, 2013, 07:23:51 PM
 #31

Not such a big problem unless you are crazy enough to store your btc with them. If the losses cause them to collapse it will just make it more difficult to purchase btc but bitcoin will live on.
But I remember what happened to bitcoin when MtGox got into troubles in 2011.


Yes, there might be a temporary sell off, but that's more of an opportunity to get btc cheap rather than anything close to an existential threat.



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[15.00000000 BTC]


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March 26, 2013, 07:41:59 PM
 #32

Not such a big problem unless you are crazy enough to store your btc with them. If the losses cause them to collapse it will just make it more difficult to purchase btc but bitcoin will live on.
But I remember what happened to bitcoin when MtGox got into troubles in 2011.


Yes, there might be a temporary sell off, but that's more of an opportunity to get btc cheap rather than anything close to an existential threat.

I don't think that Mt. Gox's hack had much to do with things.  I remember it distinctly because, by happenstance, they were down when I got serious enough to start doing wire transfers and Tradehill had just come online.  The peak had defiantly rolled over by the first whiff of Mt. Gox problems and the decline remained steady for months through a whole string of hacks and other accidents.  The most interesting thing to me was how Bitcoinica's implosion seemed to have had a negligible effect on almost anything.  I didn't expect that.

I never expected the price to get to $2/BTC and treated it as an unexplained gift from the unknown.  And bought with both hands since I had extra fiat needing a home.  Nothing in the fundamentals which attracted me at $16/BTC had changed and thus nothing about my theory of the potential value of the proposition had changed either.  And it was amazing to be able to acquire blocks of Bitcoin which had been undreamed of only months before.

I always expected a high likelihood of losing 100% of my outlay but it was a magical moment when a significant $$$ loss would not kill me and there was enough of a chance of a long-shot win to induce me to make what currently appears to have been a good bet.  I'm not in buying mode now at $80-ish, but if I had no BTC I probably would either be buying or transferring a percentage of my other wealth into BTC as a speculative bet.  And, as always, considering the strong possibility of a full loss.


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March 26, 2013, 09:18:45 PM
 #33

Not such a big problem unless you are crazy enough to store your btc with them. If the losses cause them to collapse it will just make it more difficult to purchase btc but bitcoin will live on.
But I remember what happened to bitcoin when MtGox got into troubles in 2011.


What are you trying to achieve by talking down the fx rate by reinterpreting the past in a FUD manner?
BTC has saved your finances while the euro has a heart attack, so now you want BTC to fall as well??

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March 27, 2013, 07:30:09 PM
 #34

Not such a big problem unless you are crazy enough to store your btc with them. If the losses cause them to collapse it will just make it more difficult to purchase btc but bitcoin will live on.
But I remember what happened to bitcoin when MtGox got into troubles in 2011.


What are you trying to achieve by talking down the fx rate by reinterpreting the past in a FUD manner?
BTC has saved your finances while the euro has a heart attack, so now you want BTC to fall as well??


My primary interest is to keep BTC strong as from now it's the last safe harbor for my assets.
But I'm really worried about possible crash if something happen to its centralized exchanger.
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March 27, 2013, 07:53:36 PM
 #35

There really needs to be another exchange site. Bitcoin is not very decentralized if nearly all trading happens at a "centralized" place.


...

...

there are plenty of other exchange sites. sometimes I wish people would use them rather than hanging around bitcointalk complaining about how slow & evil gox is ;-)

Is there a list of other sites and maybe recommendations or reviews about them? Thanks


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March 27, 2013, 08:12:16 PM
 #36

The EU forced Cyprus' hand.  Why would Japan force Japan to seize bank funds so that Japan will bailout Japan?
Really? What I know is, that the EU will only help Cypres with another billions if the Cypres don't just sit there and spend the money of the Germans, Dutch, Fins and so on. Cypres can leave the EURO everytime they want then they can inflate their money to the moon. I always argued, that even the money in a bank deposit is not to 100% without risk. Not it is that way, but only for high numbers.

And Mt-Gox? Is Mt-Gox bankrupt? Do they have a fractional reserve? If not, why are you worrying? The "robbery" in Cypres has nothing to do with solvent banks.

And: Mt-Gox is to Bitcoin what Facebook is too friendship. It is a tool. Without Facebook friendships will not be destroyed. A new social network would arise. And I bought my bitcoins in a firm located in Germany...

"Morality, it could be argued, represents the way that people would like the world to work - whereas economics represents how it actually does work." Freakonomics
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March 27, 2013, 11:00:01 PM
 #37

Is there a list of other sites [...] ?

https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Category:Exchanges
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March 28, 2013, 07:34:33 AM
 #38

I advised them to [...] collect euro banknotes with German, Luxembourg and Finland prefixes.

This makes no sense. All banknotes are equally valid across the whole eurozone. The initial letter in the serial number only indicates which central bank issued the note, nothing else. Plus, there are no banknotes with Luxembourg's prefix (letter R).

And now AEP writes this:

"Capital controls have shattered the monetary unity of EMU. A Cypriot euro is no longer a core euro. We wait to hear the first stories of shops across Europe refusing to accept euro notes issued by Cyprus, with a G in the serial number."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/debt-crisis-live/9958402/Cyprus-bailout-live.html

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March 28, 2013, 09:19:29 AM
 #39

I'd be more concerned if North Korea try and nuke Japan, given the way the DPRK and Kim Jong-Un seem to be upping the threats lately.
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March 28, 2013, 10:57:03 AM
 #40

And now AEP writes this:

"Capital controls have shattered the monetary unity of EMU. A Cypriot euro is no longer a core euro. We wait to hear the first stories of shops across Europe refusing to accept euro notes issued by Cyprus, with a G in the serial number."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/debt-crisis-live/9958402/Cyprus-bailout-live.html

Last year I heard about a dumbass who recommended to hoard german notes (X letter). I'd love someone tried to reject my G notes… Cheesy.
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