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Author Topic: Proposed investment strategy with focus on long-term gain  (Read 2287 times)
myrkul
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March 30, 2013, 04:06:48 AM
 #21

Buy. Hold/spend. DO NOT SELL.

If everyone except the miners and merchants had been doing this from the start, the price would be much more stable.

Never gonna happen, though, just like your plan.

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Odalv
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March 30, 2013, 12:17:02 PM
 #22

Your strategy may generate fiat but finally you can lose all bitcoins.
example: you have 100 btc
1. 20 sold
2. price increased
3. you bought only 18
4. price increased you sold (you have more fiat)
5. price increased
6. you bought only 16
7. price decreases .. no fiat 4 btc lost
 ... (exchange got hacked, no fiat no btc)
Melbustus
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March 30, 2013, 08:58:13 PM
 #23


All I'm saying is that if more of us will sell a little when the price gets high, and place orders to automatically buy on dips, the price will be more stable, and we will ALL make more money in the long term.



Let's try this again: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prisoner's_dilemma

I'm familiar with the prisoner's dilemma.  While game theorists firmly believed that the prisoners would betray each other, are you aware that experiments have shown that actual humans have a natural tendency to act more in cooperation than pure logical self-interest would dictate?  It's in our genes to cooperate.  I believe many Bitcoin holders will be willing to sacrifice some short-term gain in order to help insure the success of the project.

This is demonstrated by Ron Paul's ability to raise many millions of dollars, even though there is no direct benefit to the donors.  It's purely a matter of people cooperating to achieve a common goal.


Interesting point. Indeed, we have some survival of the species genes, not just survival of the fittest...

But that said, I think the pure game theoretic analysis is primary in this case. You might be able to get a couple big ideologically motivated traders to agree (there very well may be a few such early-adopters acting in the market to their slight disadvantage), but getting lots of small time guys to coordinate will be like herding cats.

The grass-roots political donations argument seems like an apt analogy, but the key difference is that there's no immediate profit potential sitting in front of people for them to take advantage of. That'll usually win out.

Bitcoin is the first monetary system to credibly offer perfect information to all economic participants.
afbitcoins
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March 30, 2013, 11:27:13 PM
 #24

Price already seems to bounce back strongly as it is
jzcjca00 (OP)
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March 31, 2013, 12:27:31 AM
 #25

Price already seems to bounce back strongly as it is

It's the depth of the dips that scare away investors. 

Isn't it interesting how stable the markets are now, when the manipulators are not working.

Tips much appreciated! 1PPJHDawPvjh6MEzsvXrMYLgpLmyAaNXUc
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