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Question: Recovery or bull trap?
Recovery, and a stable one - 7 (7%)
Recovery, but a bumpy one - 36 (36%)
Bull trap - 12 (12%)
Bull trap, but it won't go down a lot - 17 (17%)
Multiple bull traps - 8 (8%)
OMGWTFBBQ SELL SELL SELL - 5 (5%)
OMGWTFBBQ BUY BUY BUY - 15 (15%)
Total Voters: 100

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Author Topic: Recovery or bull trap?  (Read 6435 times)
marcus905 (OP)
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April 10, 2013, 08:51:08 PM
 #1

Is this the start of a recovery or a bull trap?

I'd hope for the first but I'm still confused...
Newscastix
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April 10, 2013, 08:54:15 PM
 #2

make a vote out of it!
giarc
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April 10, 2013, 08:55:47 PM
 #3

Is this the start of a recovery or a bull trap?

I'd hope for the first but I'm still confused...

This has been a major fall and there seems to be no sign of the depression stage of a bust, on top of this the population of bitcoin investors has a large ideological component creating excess bullish tendencies. These two things suggest to me that there should be a bull trap at some point and that this is possibly it.

I wouldn't worry about buying back in quick, wait for the depression stage when you can be more comfortable with your choice. If it stabilizes before then it'll cost you maybe 10% to buy in later. If not you'll profit from a lower price and no loss due to a fall.

If anything I've said is vaguely useful feel free to show your appreciation
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JordanL
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April 10, 2013, 09:01:37 PM
 #4

Recovery.  Cool
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April 10, 2013, 09:02:03 PM
 #5

Only time will tell.

Never being in with what one couldn't afford to lose in the first place, combined with never selling bitcoin for fiat, is a strategy that has worked OK for me so far. It mightn't be the perfect equity strategy, but it mitigates most of the market volatility risk.

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Elwar
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April 10, 2013, 09:04:22 PM
 #6

There is no bull or bear. Only Bitcoin or fiat.

Make your choice.

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im3w1l
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April 10, 2013, 09:05:29 PM
 #7

What if it was a bear trap?
bitcon
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April 10, 2013, 09:06:53 PM
 #8

im just happy i had a buy order set at $190 Grin a couple days ago
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April 10, 2013, 09:07:59 PM
 #9

I have yet to see a bull trap in bitcoin, looking back at the past 4 years it looks like one big bear trap :-)

Sell or buy items at bitcoin247sales.com - flatrate fees - cheapest around!
Post feedback at https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=328169.0
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April 10, 2013, 09:09:12 PM
 #10

When you look back in a few weeks while we're sitting at $500/BTC you'll see that we just left a bear trap.
Luno
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April 10, 2013, 09:13:24 PM
 #11

We got world press attention remember. How the press takes this second DDos / crash will have a lot to say about market adoption speed in the near future. Stunt's like this need to be dealt with publicly the following days!

It's no longer fun and games!
marcus905 (OP)
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April 10, 2013, 09:15:13 PM
 #12

There is no bull or bear. Only Bitcoin or fiat.

Make your choice.

I already did, and it's Bitcoin.

I like speculating and playing with the markets though...
 
Is this the start of a recovery or a bull trap?

I'd hope for the first but I'm still confused...

This has been a major fall and there seems to be no sign of the depression stage of a bust, on top of this the population of bitcoin investors has a large ideological component creating excess bullish tendencies. These two things suggest to me that there should be a bull trap at some point and that this is possibly it.

I wouldn't worry about buying back in quick, wait for the depression stage when you can be more comfortable with your choice. If it stabilizes before then it'll cost you maybe 10% to buy in later. If not you'll profit from a lower price and no loss due to a fall.

Thanks! It's what I think I'll do Smiley

The sentiment about Bitcoin is positive from what I see, though Smiley
hgmichna
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April 10, 2013, 09:17:09 PM
 #13

We are in a picture-book bull trap right now.
Xendrios
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April 10, 2013, 09:18:49 PM
 #14

We are in a picture-book bull trap right now.

depends on what happens next. If you're convinced of it being a bulltrap, sell your coins? :-)

Sell or buy items at bitcoin247sales.com - flatrate fees - cheapest around!
Post feedback at https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=328169.0
giarc
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April 10, 2013, 09:18:56 PM
 #15

There is no bull or bear. Only Bitcoin or fiat.

Make your choice.

I already did, and it's Bitcoin.

I like speculating and playing with the markets though...
 
Is this the start of a recovery or a bull trap?

I'd hope for the first but I'm still confused...

This has been a major fall and there seems to be no sign of the depression stage of a bust, on top of this the population of bitcoin investors has a large ideological component creating excess bullish tendencies. These two things suggest to me that there should be a bull trap at some point and that this is possibly it.

I wouldn't worry about buying back in quick, wait for the depression stage when you can be more comfortable with your choice. If it stabilizes before then it'll cost you maybe 10% to buy in later. If not you'll profit from a lower price and no loss due to a fall.

Thanks! It's what I think I'll do Smiley

The sentiment about Bitcoin is positive from what I see, though Smiley

The positive sentiment is what scares me. Smiley

If anything I've said is vaguely useful feel free to show your appreciation
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giarc
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April 10, 2013, 09:20:42 PM
 #16

We are in a picture-book bull trap right now.

I agree, not sure on timings though. Up to a couple of days i guess. What are your views?

If anything I've said is vaguely useful feel free to show your appreciation
btc: 1MfMjYXnHkGyRSE9f14XJsmxruuiVreEDh
bte: 8dH3WNre8DPyuj3oCFFNetTtVMXygs59t8
alexh
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April 10, 2013, 09:21:39 PM
 #17

Definitely recovery, but probably not a stable one!
CoinDiver
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April 10, 2013, 09:24:34 PM
 #18

Dead Cat Bounce.

Oh, and expect everyone to tell you the opposite of what they really think, in a vain attempt to steer you in a direction that they believe will benefit them.

http://mises.org/daily/3229
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evolve
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April 10, 2013, 09:32:35 PM
 #19

No one knows. I'll be taking profits from the crash soon and staying out until the market figures out a direction.
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April 10, 2013, 09:36:46 PM
 #20

a retest of the lows will tell us more .... patience ..


till now it looks like  pot. selling climax ...
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