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Author Topic: What's the deal?  (Read 2994 times)
knybe (OP)
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April 11, 2013, 01:17:17 PM
 #1

If miners and early adopters are so convinced as to the validity of bitcoin as a viable and main form of currency then how come so many of them cleared out yesterday into fiat? 

I've been touting the virtues of BTC to everyone around me for quite sometime, and had most convinced. With the BS that went on yesterday, those same people are now questioning the safety of bitcoin as a real world working currency.

The psychology is the thing that will make or break this and personally, my morale is quite low this morning.

It's disheartening.
MrVivaldi
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April 11, 2013, 01:20:15 PM
 #2

People are really easily scared. If MtGox said the price per Bitcoin was 10 usd they would sell it for that.

For me this is a buying opertunity. As I see it will recover in the coming weeks.
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April 11, 2013, 01:21:13 PM
Last edit: April 11, 2013, 01:41:49 PM by WinVery.com
 #3

The deal is from a deck with Magic the Gathering printed on it.
Bytas
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April 11, 2013, 01:23:40 PM
 #4

Probably not "so many" cashing out. Just one would do. There are some early adopters out there that have maybe over 10 000 or maybe 100 000 coins available. Enough to bring a serious blow to the economy if they sell everything at once.
I'm actually glad that someone cashed out yesterday. In doing so he devided his bitcoins amongst a couple of thousand people and will not be a threat to the economy in the future. His sale wasn't big enough to totally crash the market, it just corrected it. Now we have a short period where everyone who is scared tries to get out and everyone who was eager to get in gets in while prices are low.  
Don't worry, bitcoin will be on the rise again soon.
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April 11, 2013, 01:25:56 PM
 #5

Prices go up, prices go down

The people who panic are mostly armchair speculators who borrowed money thinking that 5% a day growth was perfectly normal!

Give it a week or two, and everyone will have forgotten about this blip, as we are still at prices that would have seen insane only a month ago!

I remember the prices of bitcoin hitting $31 in February, and everyone was happy - hitting x10 that value a few weeks later is just insane - even if it is very likely to hit $1k by the end of the year! Wink

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solomon
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April 11, 2013, 01:26:15 PM
 #6

I would say most of the sales were from the newest influx of buyers, who havent experienced the lag or volatility of the market before. They are likely to have the least understanding of bitcoin and thus be the weakest hands.

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knybe (OP)
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April 11, 2013, 01:27:00 PM
 #7

Probably not "so many" cashing out. Just one would do. There are some early adopters out there that have maybe over 10 000 or maybe 100 000 coins available. Enough to bring a serious blow to the economy if they sell everything at once.
I'm actually glad that someone cashed out yesterday. In doing so he devided his bitcoins amongst a couple of thousand people and will not be a threat to the economy in the future. His sale wasn't big enough to totally crash the market, it just corrected it. Now we have a short period where everyone who is scared tries to get out and everyone who was eager to get in gets in while prices are low.  
Don't worry, bitcoin will be on the rise again soon.

The bottom is dropping out again as I write this. The main issue I have with it is that it shows the world this is a money making scheme. Not a valid currency.
Cryptoman
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April 11, 2013, 01:27:50 PM
 #8

Where is the evidence that most of the "early adopters" cleared out?  This conjecture was also posited after the June 2011 bubble but later shown to be false.

Also, if you want your threads to be read, try to come up with more descriptive titles.

"A small body of determined spirits fired by an unquenchable faith in their mission can alter the course of history." --Gandhi
knybe (OP)
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April 11, 2013, 01:29:14 PM
 #9

Where is the evidence that most of the "early adopters" cleared out?  This conjecture was also posited after the June 2011 bubble but later shown to be false.

So please explain why the huge exit?
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April 11, 2013, 01:31:34 PM
 #10

Some are just trading to make profits. Cash out now, buy back in when price corrects. Gain more coins.

And I for one believe the bitcoin economy isn't yet where price is.


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Cryptoman
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April 11, 2013, 01:35:54 PM
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I haven't undertaken a detailed analysis of what happened yesterday, but bitcoin is still what I would call "thinly traded," and it only takes a few people taking profits (who might have bought in only a few days ago) to exhaust the bids and spook the market.  Plus, Mt. Gox trading platform issues don't breed a lot of confidence.

"A small body of determined spirits fired by an unquenchable faith in their mission can alter the course of history." --Gandhi
knybe (OP)
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April 11, 2013, 01:37:57 PM
 #12

Guess the point I'm makin is average joe is looking at this as a big joke. Not a way to pay the rent every month.

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April 11, 2013, 01:40:26 PM
 #13

Where is the evidence that most of the "early adopters" cleared out?  This conjecture was also posited after the June 2011 bubble but later shown to be false.

So please explain why the huge exit?

Dump and pump.

You don't know who did it, whether it was a hedge, a maffia, or even just panic caused by MtGox massive delays. Likely a combination of factors.

People who are in BTC just because it goes up and up in value are probably best left out for the time being. We need a real economy with real services. Not infinitely more speculative capital.

Also, MtGox is becoming systemic enough to be a real threat to BTC as a project. Recommend other exchanges or, even better, ways to operate that avoid banking and quick speculation (localbitcoins.com, bitcoin.de, etc).

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knybe (OP)
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April 11, 2013, 01:59:00 PM
 #14

Pump and dump is exactly why the general public will now stay away from the commodity otherwise known as bitcoin.
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April 11, 2013, 02:14:56 PM
 #15

The ones who sell are the weak hand or the speculator.
yeah might crash very low might climb very high...
Nobody knows bitcoin like they know facebook.
YOU are an early adopter, the first 15%.
still a veryyyy long way to go!

Bitcoin is not ready for the public, still in beta for god sake!

The cost of mediation increases transaction costs, limiting the
minimum practical transaction size and cutting off the possibility for small casual transactions

Satoshi Nakamoto : https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
knybe (OP)
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April 11, 2013, 03:51:03 PM
 #16

For the record I still possess a handful of the original bitcoins I obtained in 2011, when there was another mass cash-out to fiat by supposed proponents of it as a form of currency. I have never "cashed out" to fiat and I have attempted to use BTC as currency as much as possible, except for the last few weeks of course.

I dunno, maybe the dollar is king.
knybe (OP)
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April 11, 2013, 04:11:09 PM
 #17

Bunch of selfish tools. Now that they've cashed out they've fucking ruined any chance of it being taken seriously as a relevant form of currency.

Seriously, who in their right mind would have any faith in this bullshit and use it as money??
muyuu
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April 11, 2013, 04:29:03 PM
 #18

Pump and dump is exactly why the general public will now stay away from the commodity otherwise known as bitcoin.

Butthurt much?

Bitcoin was just as unstable when it was sky-rocketing as it is when it's diving. And just as useful as currency.

We don't have any sort of stability and it's still pretty much a work in progress.

This changes absolutely nothing in this respect.

Hopefully we will lose some weaklings who will run away in tears.

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mjsbuddha
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April 11, 2013, 04:45:37 PM
 #19

I believe in bitcoins so much that yesterday I sold them all at $235, bought again at $120, sold AGAIN at $165, then bought again at $120. Twice as many bitcoins! WOOOOOOOOO!

Seriously, it doesnt matter if you love and believe in either bitcoins or fiat cash. Right now is a great time to get a lot more of either. Happy hunting.
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April 11, 2013, 04:51:26 PM
 #20

Pump and dump is exactly why the general public will now stay away from the commodity otherwise known as bitcoin.

This is also the reason why people stay away from the stork market too?

Wait, no they don't. And no they won't.

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