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Author Topic: Analysis of halting trading  (Read 862 times)
TheJuice (OP)
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April 11, 2013, 07:27:17 PM
 #1

This is a fascinating development. Heres my analysis:

1)  People pulled coins off of gox to sell on other exchanges or their wallets.
2) Fiat is now trapped in gox.

When gox open I expect minor selling followed by a hard buy. Why?  Fewer coins on the exchange because theyve been moved and lots of fiat wanting to stoppes being trapped.

Touch 105 or so then hard up to 140.

thoughts?

TJ
gizmoh
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April 11, 2013, 08:14:30 PM
Last edit: April 11, 2013, 08:29:14 PM by gizmoh
 #2

Remember big players who got in cheaply will still look at gox for unhoarding their stash..The Bears,wolfs, hyenas are all lined up!!

How Ripple Rips you: "The founders of Ripple Labs created 100 billion XRP at Ripple's inception. No more can be created according to the rules of the Ripple protocol. Of the 100 billion created, 20 billion XRP were retained by the creators, seeders, venture capital companies and other founders. The remaining 80 billion were given to Ripple Labs. Ripple Labs intends to distribute and sell 55 of that 80 billion XRP to users and strategic partners. Ripple Labs also had a giveaway of under 200 million XRP (0.002% of all XRP) via World Community Grid that was later discontinued.[29] Ripple Labs will retain the remaining 25 billion"
Hyena
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April 11, 2013, 08:19:27 PM
 #3

who mentioned me? Although I have an account in gox I've never used it and never will. I buried my paper wallets 3 months ago and won't sell any time soon.

★★★ CryptoGraffiti.info ★★★ Hidden Messages Found from the Block Chain (Thread)
gizmoh
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April 11, 2013, 08:33:11 PM
 #4

My mistake, hyenas do ressemble as bulls  Tongue

How Ripple Rips you: "The founders of Ripple Labs created 100 billion XRP at Ripple's inception. No more can be created according to the rules of the Ripple protocol. Of the 100 billion created, 20 billion XRP were retained by the creators, seeders, venture capital companies and other founders. The remaining 80 billion were given to Ripple Labs. Ripple Labs intends to distribute and sell 55 of that 80 billion XRP to users and strategic partners. Ripple Labs also had a giveaway of under 200 million XRP (0.002% of all XRP) via World Community Grid that was later discontinued.[29] Ripple Labs will retain the remaining 25 billion"
SuperHakka
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April 11, 2013, 08:38:18 PM
 #5

This is a fascinating development. Heres my analysis:

1)  People pulled coins off of gox to sell on other exchanges or their wallets.
2) Fiat is now trapped in gox.

When gox open I expect minor selling followed by a hard buy. Why?  Fewer coins on the exchange because theyve been moved and lots of fiat wanting to stoppes being trapped.

Touch 105 or so then hard up to 140.

thoughts?

TJ
No, supply is only one side of the equation, you forgot it takes demand to make a market price. if peopels is scared and they not putting on many good bids, the price will still head down. fewer coins just means the volumes will be down on the exchange.

'First they ignore you. Then they laugh at you. Then they attack you. Then you win.' - Mohandas Gandhi
"Whenever I'm about to do something, I think, 'Would an idiot do this?' and if he would, I do not do that thing." - Dwight Schrute
revans
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April 11, 2013, 08:38:48 PM
 #6

This is a fascinating development. Heres my analysis:

1)  People pulled coins off of gox to sell on other exchanges or their wallets.
2) Fiat is now trapped in gox.

When gox open I expect minor selling followed by a hard buy. Why?  Fewer coins on the exchange because theyve been moved and lots of fiat wanting to stoppes being trapped.

Touch 105 or so then hard up to 140.

thoughts?

TJ

The overriding one is that you're a drooling idiot caught up in bitcoin fever.

Ask  yourself this one question...

' Had bitcoin been soaring today would MtGox have suspended trading'?

The answer to that question explains their motivation for doing so, and reveals the reality that to all intents and purposes bitcoin has a central bank, it is a currency manipulator, and it's just been caught with its pants down.
bb000
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April 11, 2013, 08:46:22 PM
 #7

This is a fascinating development. Heres my analysis:

1)  People pulled coins off of gox to sell on other exchanges or their wallets.
2) Fiat is now trapped in gox.

When gox open I expect minor selling followed by a hard buy. Why?  Fewer coins on the exchange because theyve been moved and lots of fiat wanting to stoppes being trapped.


Sadly I suspect exactly the opposite to be true.
MAbtc
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April 11, 2013, 08:53:27 PM
 #8

This is a fascinating development. Heres my analysis:

1)  People pulled coins off of gox to sell on other exchanges or their wallets.
2) Fiat is now trapped in gox.

When gox open I expect minor selling followed by a hard buy. Why?  Fewer coins on the exchange because theyve been moved and lots of fiat wanting to stoppes being trapped.


Sadly I suspect exactly the opposite to be true.

Care to explain why?
bb000
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April 11, 2013, 08:58:59 PM
 #9

This is a fascinating development. Heres my analysis:

1)  People pulled coins off of gox to sell on other exchanges or their wallets.
2) Fiat is now trapped in gox.

When gox open I expect minor selling followed by a hard buy. Why?  Fewer coins on the exchange because theyve been moved and lots of fiat wanting to stoppes being trapped.


Sadly I suspect exactly the opposite to be true.

Care to explain why?

Unless MtGox were good at capital management they could have been under pressure from people withdrawing large quantities of fiat at the same time. They must have had huge inflows of cash over the last few weeks, but were they ready when that flow suddenly reversed?
bb000
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April 11, 2013, 09:17:39 PM
 #10

This is a fascinating development. Heres my analysis:

1)  People pulled coins off of gox to sell on other exchanges or their wallets.
2) Fiat is now trapped in gox.

When gox open I expect minor selling followed by a hard buy. Why?  Fewer coins on the exchange because theyve been moved and lots of fiat wanting to stoppes being trapped.


Sadly I suspect exactly the opposite to be true.

Care to explain why?

Just speculating. There has been a large inflow of fiat money in recent weeks from new users purchasing coins from others who may not necessarily withdraw their funds right away. If that flow suddenly reverses did they keep these funds ready for withdrawals?
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