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Author Topic: Mining Difficulty Predicitions  (Read 791 times)
jackg (OP)
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January 03, 2017, 12:13:03 AM
 #1

I was wondering if there are mining difficulty predictions/mining difficulty calculators that could give information for mining for the net year.

Any help would be appreciated. The information I gain here will be used for me to consider whether hashnest S7 miners will be profitable for at least until I ROI from them on hashnest if I buy more now. I did a google search for information, but most of the calculators there are outdated and haven't been edited since the halving or just after.
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January 03, 2017, 05:08:07 AM
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I think that this is virtually un-knowable. I am sure it will be much higher. In twelve months I expect it will be at least 30% higher than it is today. A higher BTC price always ramps up the hashrate as people buy more gear, and "marginal" gear continues to be run.

Just my $.02 on the subject.
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January 03, 2017, 07:25:28 AM
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Any prediction on "future difficulty" is just a guess - there is no way to know much in advance when new hardware will appear, how much will be available, how much older hardware might go offline due to unprofitability vs how much come back ON line after a price spike/rise, etc.

 With that said, IMO BitCoinWisdom is probably overall the best combination of a calculator (that you can configure most parameters on with YOUR guesses and YOUR costs) and a history of hashrate/difficulty and access to most of the major pool pricing information to BASE your guesses on.


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jackg (OP)
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https://bit.ly/387FXHi lightning theory


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January 03, 2017, 02:18:00 PM
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Any prediction on "future difficulty" is just a guess - there is no way to know much in advance when new hardware will appear, how much will be available, how much older hardware might go offline due to unprofitability vs how much come back ON line after a price spike/rise, etc.

 With that said, IMO BitCoinWisdom is probably overall the best combination of a calculator (that you can configure most parameters on with YOUR guesses and YOUR costs) and a history of hashrate/difficulty and access to most of the major pool pricing information to BASE your guesses on.



Thanks. I'll look at the bitcoin wisdom site and see how much of a rise in difficulty will make my investment worthwhile.

I think that this is virtually un-knowable. I am sure it will be much higher. In twelve months I expect it will be at least 30% higher than it is today. A higher BTC price always ramps up the hashrate as people buy more gear, and "marginal" gear continues to be run.

Just my $.02 on the subject.

All predictions are guesses they're not often certain. I was hoping to find a high estimate/low estimate. Although, if you are close with the difficulty prediction. I'll ROI on my investment in time.
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January 04, 2017, 02:21:15 PM
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I think that this is virtually un-knowable. I am sure it will be much higher. In twelve months I expect it will be at least 30% higher than it is today. A higher BTC price always ramps up the hashrate as people buy more gear, and "marginal" gear continues to be run.

Just my $.02 on the subject.

The difficulty is rising faster. It is predicted to rise more than 6% in the next 6 days. I think it will continue for a few more months at this speed.
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January 04, 2017, 02:29:28 PM
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When the price is rising highly, Many miners will join the party and Of course, The diff is naturally higher and higher.
The reward will be less but in return, the price is better.
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January 04, 2017, 05:17:49 PM
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When the price is rising highly, Many miners will join the party and Of course, The diff is naturally higher and higher.
The reward will be less but in return, the price is better.

If the difficulty rise faster, and you use the bitcoin to buy the hash, you might not get back the original bitcoin.
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January 29, 2017, 11:05:19 AM
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1.2 TRILLION?
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