NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 177 bets / 54% / 2,45 Av Odd / +45,02u

[Crazy rider89]

Hi guys,

I want to provide a NBA basketball prediction service (for a symbolic price). Sometimes I'll share with you some free tips, therefore you can buy tips from my site:
https://crazytipster.wordpress.com/


SUMMARY
MONEYLINE:
N. Bets    91
Balance   +39,02 Units, ROI 38,2%
Perc Win   53,85%      
Av ODD   2,88   
Av Winning Odd   2,65   
Av Losing Odd   3,16

OVER/UNDER:
N. Bets    86
Balance   +6 Unit, ROI 8,50%
Perc Win   53,49%      
Av ODD   2   
Av Winning Odd   2   
Av Losing Odd   2

Results Graph (base bet = 10€):





Today's predictions:
Cleveland Cavaliers @ 1,10
Houston Rockets @ 1,57
Miami Heat @ 1,66
Golden State Warriors @ 1,16
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,80
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,38
Oklahoma City Thunder @ 1,84
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,56

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[vella85]

I wish you the best of luck and hopefully it works out for you and makes you a nice amount of money. I see you went with some underdogs tonight and as we know dogs can win on there day and if your statistical model works then I'll be sure to follow your tips on here. Good luck with tonight's games.

[ingiltere]

I try to follow every NBA tipster here so I'll check you out too but I don't understand your tactic based on your first picks. You picked Philly with 6.38 odds and picked others as favorite. From which stats you used to pick Philly here? Milwaukee is  21-23 and they are playing at home. Philly is 16-27 now. Philly also has 4 players missing this game.

[jossiel]

Hi guys,
I want to share with you the predictions that come from a statistical model that I want to test. I want to underline that the prediction are exclusively based on teams' statistics, so I don't consider tactics or injuiried players (even if I know that are not trascurable factors.)

Lastly, I do it just for fun.

Tonight predictions:
Cleveland Cavaliers-Sacramento Kings, 1 odd 1,10
Boston Celtics-Houston Rockets, 2 odd 1,57
Brooklyn Nets-Miami Heat, 2 odd 1,66
Charlotte Hornets-Golden State Warriors, 2 odd 1,16
Chicago Bulls-Atlanta Hawks, 2 odd 1,80
Milwaukee Bucks-Philadelphia 76ers, 2 odd 6,38
New Orleans Pelicans-Oklahoma City Thunder, 2 odd 1,84
Dallas Mavericks-New York Knicks, 1 odd 1,56

Let's see!

I have a suggestion for you mate. If you want to make your prediction thread to be visited by many sports bettor here.

Try to make some color coding, you can use these Bold, Italic, Underline, Strikethrough and other BBCodes here to make your thread colorful.

Since there are a lot of sports bettor here, btw good luck to your predictions.

[Kasabus]

I believe most of your prediction hits, I suggest you continue doing this and share it on a daily basis. Let's see if you can beat the curse that we lose in the long run, I like your picks tonight despite the fact that I found it late just after the games are done tonight. But anyway, you did a great job, just make it a right presentation and if possible post plays early.

[Crazy rider89]

I try to follow every NBA tipster here so I'll check you out too but I don't understand your tactic based on your first picks. You picked Philly with 6.38 odds and picked others as favorite. From which stats you used to pick Philly here? Milwaukee is  21-23 and they are playing at home. Philly is 16-27 now. Philly also has 4 players missing this game.

As stated in the first post, for now my model doesn't take into account missing players or similar, for this match it returned a good confidence on a Philly's win (also considering the high odd).

[Crazy rider89]

I have a suggestion for you mate. If you want to make your prediction thread to be visited by many sports bettor here.

Try to make some color coding, you can use these Bold, Italic, Underline, Strikethrough and other BBCodes here to make your thread colorful.

Since there are a lot of sports bettor here, btw good luck to your predictions.

Thanks for these precious advices.

[Crazy rider89]

Cleveland Cavaliers @ 1,10 LOSS (I was not sure in adding this pick, the model gave me a good confidence but too low considering the odd)
Houston Rockets @ 1,57 LOSS
Miami Heat @ 1,66 WIN
Golden State Warriors @ 1,16 WIN
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,80 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,38 WIN
Oklahoma City Thunder @ 1,84 WIN
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,56 WIN

SUMMARY:
6 W - 2 L - 2,08 Average ODD

[ingiltere]

Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

[Crazy rider89]

Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Good luck to all 

[ingiltere]

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:
26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Fair enough. I'll just follow you for picks then.
What about odds? Where do you find these high odds? I checked Dallas and it has 4.40 odds, you have 4.67. Lakers has 8.40 odds, you have 8.87. I might change to sportsbook you use.

[mOgliE]

Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Good luck to all 

Ahahah!
Careful if you get too much results right you gonna have a huge freaking fanbase here ^^
I'm keeping an eye on your thread too.
Don't disappoint us :p

[vella85]

Cleveland Cavaliers @ 1,10 LOSS (I was not sure in adding this pick, the model gave me a good confidence but too low considering the odd)
Houston Rockets @ 1,57 LOSS
Miami Heat @ 1,66 WIN
Golden State Warriors @ 1,16 WIN
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,80 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,38 WIN
Oklahoma City Thunder @ 1,84 WIN
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,56 WIN

SUMMARY:
6 W - 2 L - 2,08 Average ODD

That was an epic win by the Philadelphia 76ers at those odds and it sure made up for the Cavs losing at 1.10 It's seems that your model for betting on the NBA does work however we must see if it is consistent over a long period of time. But you are off to a great start and hopefully it can continue tonight.

[mrdeposit]

Picks based on math, I like the idea. I will be following this thread.

[Crazy rider89]

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:
26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Fair enough. I'll just follow you for picks then.
What about odds? Where do you find these high odds? I checked Dallas and it has 4.40 odds, you have 4.67. Lakers has 8.40 odds, you have 8.87. I might change to sportsbook you use.

I checked the odds just before posting on nitrogensports.eu

[Crazy rider89]

Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Good luck to all 

Ahahah!
Careful if you get too much results right you gonna have a huge freaking fanbase here ^^
I'm keeping an eye on your thread too.
Don't disappoint us :p

I hope so!

[philiveyjr]

Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Good luck to all 

Lakers might have a hard tome if Julius Randle doesnt play tonight. Already D'Angelo Russel is out and if they plan to win against a healthy Utah Jazz squad, they need to have as many players available as possible. The other games seems plausible and OKC can be on and off depending on how Westbrook plays.

[Caladonian]

Cleveland Cavaliers @ 1,10 LOSS (I was not sure in adding this pick, the model gave me a good confidence but too low considering the odd)
Houston Rockets @ 1,57 LOSS
Miami Heat @ 1,66 WIN
Golden State Warriors @ 1,16 WIN
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,80 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,38 WIN
Oklahoma City Thunder @ 1,84 WIN
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,56 WIN

SUMMARY:
6 W - 2 L - 2,08 Average ODD

Dont you have any new one for today? It seems that folowing this pattern will going to allow us some wins, hope you can bring more of your tips so we can find some additional tips before we proceed in placing our bets good luck and more to come.

[NorrisK]

Nice run on your first attempt!

If it seems to be working, maybe it will be possible to manually add modifiers for injured or missing key players etc.

[ingiltere]

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Minnesota was favorite odd-wise but they lost the game.
Dallas and Lakers weren't favorites and they lost the game as expected.
You only won 1 of your 4 picks which is also heavy favorite with 1.33 odds. Denver beat Phoenix at home as expected. I feel like your Philly prediction on first day was pure luck.