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Author Topic: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 177 bets / 54% / 2,45 Av Odd / +45,02u  (Read 2699 times)
Fredomago
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January 30, 2017, 04:36:33 PM
 #41

For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,01

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Miami Heat - Under 217,5
Dallas Mavericks - Over 208,5
Phoenix Suns - Over 209,5


Good luck!
Well i will monitor this mate as i seen you really make a good assessment with those picks that you are placing here if lucks permit me and if ill be able to get some btc i will also try betting with you over/under picks it seems that you are really good with that area.

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January 30, 2017, 09:22:57 PM
 #42

Last night's results were crazy congrats op on your wins. I missed last night's tips as I forgot to check in here lol but I'll be putting some money on tonight's picks and hopefully they end like last night most of them winning tips. Good luck and let's hope the winning form continues tonight.

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January 31, 2017, 02:27:57 AM
 #43

For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,01

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Miami Heat - Under 217,5
Dallas Mavericks - Over 208,5
Phoenix Suns - Over 209,5


Good luck!
I will tail on your prediction, good luck to us tonight.

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January 31, 2017, 11:15:33 AM
 #44

For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,01 WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Miami Heat - Under 217,5 WIN
Dallas Mavericks - Over 208,5 LOSS
Phoenix Suns - Over 209,5 WIN


Good luck!

3 wins out of 4, not bad Wink

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January 31, 2017, 03:42:08 PM
 #45

After 6 days and 45 bets (ML and O/U) this is my profit graph (fixed base bet = 10):



I don't think that it's only luck, the model seems to work good (even if something can be improved). Smiley

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January 31, 2017, 05:46:50 PM
Last edit: February 02, 2017, 04:43:07 PM by Crazy rider89
 #46

For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Washington Wizards @ 1,29WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 4,00LOSS
Sacramento Kings @ 7,29LOSS
LA Lakers @ 2,22WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
San Antonio Spurs - Over 211,5LOSS

Good luck guys!

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January 31, 2017, 10:36:40 PM
 #47

After 6 days and 45 bets (ML and O/U) this is my profit graph (fixed base bet = 10):



I don't think that it's only luck, the model seems to work good (even if something can be improved). Smiley

First: Thanks that you share your picks with us! I am following your thread for a while now Smiley

Why is the x axis only going to 31? Smiley

Is the base bet 10€ for every single bet?

My third question is, are you betting in parley or on singles?

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January 31, 2017, 10:51:29 PM
 #48

First: Thanks that you share your picks with us! I am following your thread for a while now Smiley

Why is the x axis only going to 31? Smiley

Is the base bet 10€ for every single bet?

My third question is, are you betting in parley or on singles?

This thread shows that all his bets on singles... If you took the time to go through it...
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February 01, 2017, 09:00:26 PM
Last edit: February 02, 2017, 04:44:11 PM by Crazy rider89
 #49

Sorry guys...This was an hard work day....
I'll put today's tips and tomorrow I'll update stats and results (yesterday was a bad day, -1,5units Sad ):

Moneyline:
Orlando Magic @ 2,15 LOSS
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,38 LOSS
Denver Nuggets @ 2,35 LOSS
Phoenix Suns @ 2,27 LOSS
Milwaukee Bucks @ 3,65 LOSS

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 215,5 LOSS
Boston Celtis - Over 215 LOSS
Miami Heat - Under 205 LOSS
Utah Jazz - Under 198,5 WIN

Good luck guys!

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February 02, 2017, 04:45:19 PM
 #50

Two days of hell  Cry
But we still maintain a ROI of 50%  Shocked

I've modified again a little bit the model, let's continue our test!

Moneyline:
LA Clippers @ 4,13

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Washington Wizards - Under 217,5
Houston Rockets - Over 226,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 226


Hoping a little bit of luck Cheesy

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February 02, 2017, 05:05:49 PM
 #51

Two days of hell  Cry
But we still maintain a ROI of 50%  Shocked

I've modified again a little bit the model, let's continue our test!

Moneyline:
LA Clippers @ 4,13

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Washington Wizards - Under 217,5
Houston Rockets - Over 226,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 226


Hoping a little bit of luck Cheesy
Yeah i think its better to try under/over now since the favored team now really playing big and its not easy to make some luck even trying to bet with handicap ill be following this thread mate lets see how your assessment will be lucky. Good luck

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February 02, 2017, 11:35:37 PM
 #52

ATTENTION, there was an error, U/O tips are:
Wizards under 219
Rockets over 226
LA Clippers under 228,5

Sorry for the mistake, good luck!

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February 03, 2017, 11:41:43 AM
 #53

Not lucky at all....
Today's predictions:
Moneyline:
Memphis Grizzlies @ 2,04
Dallas Mavericks @ 2,63

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Orlando Magic - Under 210
Detroit Pistons - Over 212
Houston Rockets - Under 224,5
Sacramento Kings - Under 219


Let's restart winning!

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February 03, 2017, 10:43:18 PM
 #54

I like the under for the Pistons and Grizzlies to win over the Thunder.
I think these two games are good enough to start getting back to winning ways as before betting on these NBA games.
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February 04, 2017, 01:57:53 AM
 #55

I like the under for the Pistons and Grizzlies to win over the Thunder.
I think these two games are good enough to start getting back to winning ways as before betting on these NBA games.
I guess this game will went the other way, the trend now is under but as this game goes, there will be a lot of fouls due to a close game. The 2nd half will dictate the total points of this game, I think there's a possibility that this game will go to overtime and will hit the over 204.5. Just saying!

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February 04, 2017, 02:14:08 PM
 #56

Not lucky at all....
Today's predictions:
Moneyline:
Memphis Grizzlies @ 2,04 LOSS
Dallas Mavericks @ 2,63 WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Orlando Magic - Under 210 WIN
Detroit Pistons - Over 212 WIN
Houston Rockets - Under 224,5 LOSS
Sacramento Kings - Under 219 WIN


Let's restart winning!

Good results, Grizzlies lead all the 4th quarter, except the last 2 minutes....Rockets reached OVER only on Overtime (208 points in regular time)Sad Sad Sad
Let's continue in this way!

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February 04, 2017, 03:15:48 PM
 #57

New predictions:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,30
Indiana Pacers @ 1,55
Washington Wizards @ 1,30
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,04
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,93
San Antonio Spurs@ 1,17

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanda Hawks - Over 209
Washington Wizards - Under 218,5
Miami Heat - Under 207,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 219


Good luck to all!

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February 04, 2017, 04:48:00 PM
 #58

New predictions:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,30
Indiana Pacers @ 1,55
Washington Wizards @ 1,30
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,04
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,93
San Antonio Spurs@ 1,17

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanda Hawks - Over 209
Washington Wizards - Under 218,5
Miami Heat - Under 207,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 219


Good luck to all!

Your money line seems interesting as we see those previous results when favored teams are keep on winning again and not allowing the handicap be covered, i guess bettors are also trying to try something and that why bookies needs to adjust. Lets see if making a small bet with parlay using your tips. Good luck and thank you for sharing.
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February 04, 2017, 05:16:03 PM
 #59

New predictions:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,30
Indiana Pacers @ 1,55
Washington Wizards @ 1,30
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,04
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,93
San Antonio Spurs@ 1,17

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanda Hawks - Over 209
Washington Wizards - Under 218,5
Miami Heat - Under 207,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 219


Good luck to all!

Way to turn it around yesterday. I should of picked those o/u yesterday instead of straight ML if I wanted to get anything with the games that I played.

I like the Hawks and Pacers picks with over on those games.
I picked Pacers yesterday and it was my only win along with Orlando winning.
I got fooled with the Phoenix game on both of my parlays with the kings choking it and Booker pulling his head out of his arse finally just when I bet against them. Cheesy
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February 05, 2017, 05:26:31 AM
 #60

New predictions:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,30
Indiana Pacers @ 1,55
Washington Wizards @ 1,30
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,04
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,93
San Antonio Spurs@ 1,17

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanda Hawks - Over 209
Washington Wizards - Under 218,5
Miami Heat - Under 207,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 219


Good luck to all!

Way to turn it around yesterday. I should of picked those o/u yesterday instead of straight ML if I wanted to get anything with the games that I played.

I like the Hawks and Pacers picks with over on those games.
I picked Pacers yesterday and it was my only win along with Orlando winning.
I got fooled with the Phoenix game on both of my parlays with the kings choking it and Booker pulling his head out of his arse finally just when I bet against them. Cheesy
His moneyline bet almost are perfect aside from the timberwolves bet, while on the over/under, I guess you have only predicted 1 game out of 4. That will sum up to a losing night if I am not mistaken. I usually check your thread but I don't follow all your predictions, but despite of that, I know you will bounce back tomorrow.

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