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Author Topic: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 177 bets / 54% / 2,45 Av Odd / +45,02u  (Read 2673 times)
Crazy rider89 (OP)
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February 05, 2017, 03:41:15 PM
Last edit: February 05, 2017, 03:57:14 PM by Crazy rider89
 #61

New predictions:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,30 WIN
Indiana Pacers @ 1,55 WIN
Washington Wizards @ 1,30 WIN
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,04 LOSS
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,93 WIN
San Antonio Spurs@ 1,17 WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanda Hawks - Over 209 LOSS
Washington Wizards - Under 218,5 WIN
Miami Heat - Under 207,5 LOSS
Phoenix Suns - Under 219 LOSS


Good luck to all!


In conclusion, yesterday we have a return of -0,65 units, due to bad predictions on O/U.
Today, we have onlye one match with 2 predictions:
Moneyline:
Toronto Raptors AH -7,5 @ 2,06

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Toronto Raptors - Under 216

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Crazy rider89 (OP)
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February 05, 2017, 07:35:32 PM
 #62

In conclusion, yesterday we have a return of -0,65 units, due to bad predictions on O/U.
Today, we have onlye one match with 2 predictions:
Moneyline:
Toronto Raptors AH -7,5 @ 2,06 WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Toronto Raptors - Under 216 WIN


Two wins in the Toronto's match Wink
See you tomorrow for new tips!

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Crazy rider89 (OP)
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February 06, 2017, 02:34:27 PM
 #63

Today, we have:
Moneyline:
LA Lakers @ 3,00
Washington Wizards @ 1,91
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,85
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 1,85
Memphis Grizzlies @ 2,22
Chicago Bulls @ 2,15


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Indiana Pacers - Over 212,5
Washington Wizards - Under 219,5
Atlanta Hawks - Over 199
Minnesota Timberwolves - Under 206
Memphis Grizzlies - Under 203

Good Luck!

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February 07, 2017, 01:18:17 PM
 #64

Today, we have:
Moneyline:
LA Lakers @ 3,00 WIN (easy win)
Washington Wizards @ 1,91 LOSS (what a match..)
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,85 LOSS (easy loss Cheesy)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 1,85 LOSS (loss for 2 points)
Memphis Grizzlies @ 2,22 WIN
Chicago Bulls @ 2,15 WIN


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Indiana Pacers - Over 212,5 LOSS
Washington Wizards - Under 219,5 LOSS
Atlanta Hawks - Over 199 WIN
Minnesota Timberwolves - Under 206 LOSS
Memphis Grizzlies - Under 203 WIN


Good Luck!

Yesterday balance: ML = +1,37u and O/U = -1u
Probably, I've to select better the U/O predictions, because after 34 tips I'm in perfect parity: 17W and 17L. So, I'll work on it!

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Crazy rider89 (OP)
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February 07, 2017, 11:19:01 PM
 #65

Moneyline:
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,96

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Houston Rockets – Over 224
Dallas Mavericks - Over 206

Sorry for the late post.

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February 08, 2017, 11:59:46 AM
 #66

Moneyline:
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,96
That moneyline was killed by C. J. McCollum. He hits a clutch shot with 3 seconds left in the clock. Really a bad night for us Dallas backers, I should have bet on the point spread though.

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February 08, 2017, 12:14:49 PM
 #67

Moneyline:
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,96
That moneyline was killed by C. J. McCollum. He hits a clutch shot with 3 seconds left in the clock. Really a bad night for us Dallas backers, I should have bet on the point spread though.

It could be a perfect day...I modified the selection of the O/U tips so from yesterday I expect an higher winning percentage. Stay tuned!

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February 08, 2017, 06:22:28 PM
 #68

Moneyline:
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,96 LOSS

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Houston Rockets – Over 224 WIN
Dallas Mavericks - Over 206 WIN

Sorry for the late post.

These are the new predictions:
Moneyline:
Indiana Pacers @ 2,33
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,61
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,61
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,40
New Orleans Pelicans @ 2,56
New York Knicks @ 2,03
Sacramento Kings @ 4,59
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,26

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Cleveland Cavaliers v Indiana Pacers - over 217.5
Washington Wizards v Brooklyn Nets - over 223.5
Los Angeles Lakers v Detroit Pistons - under 215
Phoenix Suns v Memphis Grizzlies - under 210.5
Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks - under 208
Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves - under 211
Los Angeles Clippers v New York Knicks - over 222
Chicago Bulls v Golden State Warriors - over 224
Boston Celtics v Sacramento Kings - under 210.5
San Antonio Spurs v Philadelphia 76ers - under 208
Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks - under 224
Utah Jazz v New Orleans Pelicans - over 200.5



That's all! Cheesy



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February 09, 2017, 06:19:46 AM
 #69

That's a lot of picks for tonight, did you even analyze it carefully? I see you are good with over/under bets, I guess you should limit your bets. What made me upset tonight is the Boston Celtics, I was very confident to beat them since cousins will not play. But you man, you have the guts to take the Kings Moneyline, that certainly give you a good profit tonight. Congratulations.

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Crazy rider89 (OP)
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February 09, 2017, 03:21:26 PM
 #70

Moneyline:
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,96 LOSS

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Houston Rockets – Over 224 WIN
Dallas Mavericks - Over 206 WIN

Sorry for the late post.

These are the new predictions:
Moneyline:
Indiana Pacers @ 2,33 LOSS
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,61 WIN
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,61 LOSS
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,40 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 2,56 LOSS
New York Knicks @ 2,03 LOSS
Sacramento Kings @ 4,59 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,26 LOSS

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Cleveland Cavaliers v Indiana Pacers - over 217.5 WIN
Washington Wizards v Brooklyn Nets - over 223.5 WIN
Los Angeles Lakers v Detroit Pistons - under 215 LOSS
Phoenix Suns v Memphis Grizzlies - under 210.5 WIN
Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks - under 208 WIN
Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves - under 211 LOSS
Los Angeles Clippers v New York Knicks - over 222 WIN
Chicago Bulls v Golden State Warriors - over 224 LOSS
Boston Celtics v Sacramento Kings - under 210.5 WIN
San Antonio Spurs v Philadelphia 76ers - under 208 LOSS
Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks - under 224 WIN
Utah Jazz v New Orleans Pelicans - over 200.5 WIN



That's all! Cheesy


The ML give me a profit of +0,6 units (mostly thanks to Sacramento win...), great results for U/O with 66,67% winning rate and a profit of +6 units. The complete summary data are the following:

SUMMARY
MONEYLINE:
N. Bets    65
Balance   +23,25 Units, ROI 32,2%
Perc Win   53,85%      
Av ODD   2,76   
Av Winning Odd   2,52   
Av Losing Odd   3,04


OVER/UNDER:
N. Bets    48
Balance   +6 Unit, ROI 12,50%
Perc Win   56,25%      
Av ODD   2   
Av Winning Odd   2   
Av Losing Odd   2

Results Graph (base bet = 10€):







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February 09, 2017, 04:16:03 PM
 #71

Moneyline:
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,96 LOSS

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Houston Rockets – Over 224 WIN
Dallas Mavericks - Over 206 WIN

Sorry for the late post.

These are the new predictions:
Moneyline:
Indiana Pacers @ 2,33 LOSS
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,61 WIN
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,61 LOSS
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,40 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 2,56 LOSS
New York Knicks @ 2,03 LOSS
Sacramento Kings @ 4,59 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,26 LOSS

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Cleveland Cavaliers v Indiana Pacers - over 217.5 WIN
Washington Wizards v Brooklyn Nets - over 223.5 WIN
Los Angeles Lakers v Detroit Pistons - under 215 LOSS
Phoenix Suns v Memphis Grizzlies - under 210.5 WIN
Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks - under 208 WIN
Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves - under 211 LOSS
Los Angeles Clippers v New York Knicks - over 222 WIN
Chicago Bulls v Golden State Warriors - over 224 LOSS
Boston Celtics v Sacramento Kings - under 210.5 WIN
San Antonio Spurs v Philadelphia 76ers - under 208 LOSS
Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks - under 224 WIN
Utah Jazz v New Orleans Pelicans - over 200.5 WIN



That's all! Cheesy


The ML give me a profit of +0,6 units (mostly thanks to Sacramento win...), great results for U/O with 66,67% winning rate and a profit of +6 units. The complete summary data are the following:

SUMMARY
MONEYLINE:
N. Bets    65
Balance   +23,25 Units, ROI 32,2%
Perc Win   53,85%      
Av ODD   2,76   
Av Winning Odd   2,52   
Av Losing Odd   3,04


OVER/UNDER:
N. Bets    48
Balance   +6 Unit, ROI 12,50%
Perc Win   56,25%      
Av ODD   2   
Av Winning Odd   2   
Av Losing Odd   2

Results Graph (base bet = 10€):








its nice seeing that even there's a lots of bet that you made today you still manage to grab some earnings, its really the sac who carried your ML winnings its a huge lost coming from celtics i thought they will continue there good standing but things really happen not a good day from thomas that's really affect the game.

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February 09, 2017, 04:57:25 PM
 #72

Today, we have:
Moneyline:
Cleveland Cavaliers @ 5,30 (risky)
Utah Jazz @ 1,56


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Charlotte Hornets - Over 227
Orlando Magic - Under 208
Cleveland Cav - Under 207
Dallas Mavericks - Over 194
Portland - Over 221


Good Luck!

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February 10, 2017, 01:49:42 AM
 #73

Today, we have:
Moneyline:
Cleveland Cavaliers @ 5,30 (risky)
Utah Jazz @ 1,56


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Charlotte Hornets - Over 227
Orlando Magic - Under 208
Cleveland Cav - Under 207
Dallas Mavericks - Over 194
Portland - Over 221


Good Luck!
Wow mate, you are get lucky with your selection of cavaliers with that odds. The big three will play, and the closing line just gave 1 point underdog. I am tailing with some of your bets tonight, I like the Dallas Over 194 and Portland over 221 as well. Good luck, hope we got this perfect tonight. Grin

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Crazy rider89 (OP)
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February 10, 2017, 05:33:27 PM
Last edit: February 11, 2017, 06:47:18 PM by Crazy rider89
 #74

It is not the first time that initially rumors say that most valuable players will not play and at the end they play....I don't know if it can be defined insider trading Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Today, we have:
Moneyline:
Cleveland Cavaliers @ 5,30 LOSS
Utah Jazz @ 1,56 LOSS


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Charlotte Hornets - Over 227 LOSS
Orlando Magic - Under 208 LOSS
Cleveland Cav - Under 207 LOSS
Dallas Mavericks - Over 194 WIN
Portland - Over 221
WIN

Good Luck!

Yesterday loss: -3 units... Sad

Today, we have:
Moneyline:
Detroit Pistons @ 2,50
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,49
Chicago Bulls @ 1,71
Atlanta Haws @ 1,83


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Brooklyn nets - Under 214,5
Detroit Pistons - Over 209,5
New York Knics - Over 230
Memphis Grizzlies - Over 217
Milwaukee Bucks - Under 218
Minnesota Timberwolves - Under 212,5
Washington Wizards - Under 214
Phoenix Suns - Over 218
Sacramento Kings - Under 208,5


Good Luck!



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February 11, 2017, 06:57:41 PM
 #75

Again a bad day....
Today, we have:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,56
Milwaukee Bucks @ 3,44
Orlando Magic @ 3,18
Phoenix Suns @ 14,65
Boston Celtics @ 3,40


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Charlotte Hornets - Under 216,5
Indiana Pacers - Under 211,5
Cleveland Cav - Over 232,5
Philadelphia - Under 207,5
OKC Thunder - Under 227,5
Dallas Mavericks - Over 204,5
Houston Rockets - Under 232,5
Utah Jazz - Over 205,5


Good Luck!

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February 12, 2017, 07:20:01 PM
 #76

NEW PRONO:
Moneyline:
Chicago Bulls @ 2,18
Detroit Pistons @ 3,40
Sacramento Kings @ 1,67


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
New York Knics - Over 212,5
Toronto Raptors - Under 212,5
Sacramento kings - Under 212,5

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February 13, 2017, 09:51:07 PM
 #77

NEW PRONO:
Moneyline:
Chicago Bulls @ 2,18 LOSS
Detroit Pistons @ 3,40WIN
Sacramento Kings @ 1,67 WIN


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
New York Knics - Over 212,5 LOSS
Toronto Raptors - Under 212,5 WIN
Sacramento kings - Under 212,5 WIN


+3,07 units for yesterday, today we have...

Moneyline:
Philadelphia @ 4,06
San Antonio Spurs @ 1,55
Orlando Magic @ 4,06
Detroit Pistons @ 2,32
Washington Wizards @ 1,50
Dallas Mavericks @ 2,12
Denver Nuggets @ 7,13
New Orleans Pelicans @ 2,21
Atlanta Hawks @ 2,06


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):

Charlotte Hornets - Under 213,5
Indiana Pacers - Under 206,5
Brooklyn Nets - Over 211,5
Miami Heat - Over 209,5
Milwaukee Bucks - Under 209,5
Washington Wizards - Under 216,5
Dallas Mavericks - Over 209,5
Denver Nuggets - Over 239,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 220,5
Utah Jazz - Under 205,5
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 216,5

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February 13, 2017, 09:56:50 PM
 #78

I like the 76ers tonight also but I prefer them to cover the +8.5 spread but I think they can win the game as they have been in okay form of late. I went with the under for the Warriors game only because there are some key players out for both teams and not sure if the total spread of 239 can be covered. I also like your tip on the Dallas Mavericks as they have been a tough team to beat at home recently and I think they can get the win or at least cover the spread. Good luck and congrats on the profit last night.

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February 14, 2017, 09:14:55 AM
 #79

NEW PRONO:
Moneyline:
Chicago Bulls @ 2,18 LOSS
Detroit Pistons @ 3,40WIN
Sacramento Kings @ 1,67 WIN


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
New York Knics - Over 212,5 LOSS
Toronto Raptors - Under 212,5 WIN
Sacramento kings - Under 212,5 WIN


+3,07 units for yesterday, today we have...

Moneyline:
Philadelphia @ 4,06 WIN
San Antonio Spurs @ 1,55 WIN
Orlando Magic @ 4,06 WIN
Detroit Pistons @ 2,32 LOSS
Washington Wizards @ 1,50 WIN
Dallas Mavericks @ 2,12 LOSS
Denver Nuggets @ 7,13 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 2,21 WIN
Atlanta Hawks @ 2,06 WIN


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Charlotte Hornets - Under 213,5 WIN
Indiana Pacers - Under 206,5 LOSS
Brooklyn Nets - Over 211,5 WIN
Miami Heat - Over 209,5 WIN
Milwaukee Bucks - Under 209,5 WIN
Washington Wizards - Under 216,5 LOSS
Dallas Mavericks - Over 209,5 LOSS
Denver Nuggets - Over 239,5 WIN
Phoenix Suns - Under 220,5 WIN
Utah Jazz - Under 205,5 WIN
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 216,5 WIN


What a great night!
8 out of 11 and +5 units for U/O tips
7 out of 9 and +15,57 units for ML!
TOTAL: +20,57 units in one night!

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February 14, 2017, 07:59:42 PM
 #80

Moneyline:
Chicago Bulls @ 2,58
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,55
Sacramento Kings @ 2,15


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Chicago Bulls - Under 208,5
LA Lakers - Over 219,5


Good luck!

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