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April 16, 2013, 10:28:11 PM |
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Sometimes there is genuine linkage, which is tied to "global liquidity." With most things tied strongly to actions of the USD, it moves things. Most of us don't think about it because we still go buy bread and milk and gas, but prices change... gas prices, daily. You will find connections with the cyclic prices of gas, major stocks (well, indices and the "really big" stocks), gold, etc. Anything that has a value. If there are, in a time period, more dollars flowing than sitting, the dollar is worth less for that time period. Assuming a given stock hasn't *actually* changed intrinsic value (performing identically, no PR troubles, no announcements, etc), its price will be higher when expressed in USD.
This is actually how the BIG markets are manipulated. If you control that much USD, you can afford to lend it out en masse thereby increasing the money supply temporarily which devalues it. This results in buyup of stocks and real estate and other investments. Some of which can be declared empirically to have an unchanged value -- gold bubbles, at any moment, if not coinciding with a catastrophic and miraculous event resulting in the loss of actual gold atoms from this planet, for example -- but the price expressed as fiat is rising anyway. People buy in, and at some point, the big market movers cash out. Basically reversing the process, the bubble pops, and repeat ad nauseam.
Bitcoin is unique in that, it can possess all the typical movements, but there will always be an underlying upward trend. Gold could be this way (with other issues) but no one knows how much exists as mined, which makes it highly subject to its own manipulation.
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