Bryan Micon's "Bet Me Anything" thread

[KGambler]

Pictures of suspects are released.   Micon looks to be pretty safe.

I agree.  That is why I am offering him 2 to 1 odds now haha

[Micon]

The photos have been released.  They are not clear.  They look a little darker skinned with black hair, but they could be any of many ethnicities.  

I am willing to give you +200 on non-muslims now if you want more action.


Edit:  Of course, decent chance those aren't even the bombers.

1)  this thread is going to be epic, i can already feel it.

2)  I'm good right now, but thanks for the +200 offer.  I def. like the action I have through the weekend, although I will say it feels very 50-50 to me right now, so I'm gonna say it was a decent line.

[KGambler]

The photos have been released.  They are not clear.  They look a little darker skinned with black hair, but they could be any of many ethnicities.  

I am willing to give you +200 on non-muslims now if you want more action.


Edit:  Of course, decent chance those aren't even the bombers.

1)  this thread is going to be epic, i can already feel it.

2)  I'm good right now, but thanks for the +200 offer.  I def. like the action I have through the weekend, although I will say it feels very 50-50 to me right now, so I'm gonna say it was a decent line.

Unless they are half way to Yemen, the guys in the photo should be picked up before Sunday.  You figure somebody has to have had contact with them, a hotel employee or something.  I like your chances on that bet.  I don't mind losing that one.

[SgtSpike]

9:15 a.m.: CBS’s Boston affiliate WBZ interviewed the Tsarnaev brothers’ uncle Ruslan Tsarni. When the station informed him of Tamerlan’s death, Tsarni said the young man “deserved it” and called him a “loser.” Tsarni said he always tried to encourage the boys to focus less on Islam, and more on school, telling them to “be useful. Know why you came to America.”

Source: http://newsfeed.time.com/2013/04/19/watch-video-of-shootout-between-police-and-boston-bombing-suspect/#ixzz2QvF0RRt0

Does that conclude the bet?  Or is Islam != Muslim?

[IveBeenBit]

Mooslims!

From: http://dailycaller.com/2013/04/19/dead-boston-bombing-suspect-was-a-very-religious-muslim-boxer/

Tamerlan Tsarnaev, one of the two Chechen brothers identified as the suspects in the Boston Marathon bombing, was a self-described “very religious” Muslim boxer who yearned for Chechen independence and who posed for a photo essay entitled “Will Box for Passport.”

[KGambler]

Yes, I would say both bets are concluded.  One of the guys has been apprehended already (died) and both were/are muslims.  So I won 2.0 BTC net (5 - 3).  gg Micon

[Micon]

Mooslims!

From: http://dailycaller.com/2013/04/19/dead-boston-bombing-suspect-was-a-very-religious-muslim-boxer/

Tamerlan Tsarnaev, one of the two Chechen brothers identified as the suspects in the Boston Marathon bombing, was a self-described “very religious” Muslim boxer who yearned for Chechen independence and who posed for a photo essay entitled “Will Box for Passport.”

pay the mooslims, take the "won't catch"

Yes, I would say both bets are concluded.  One of the guys has been apprehended already (died) and both were/are muslims.  So I won 2.0 BTC net (5 - 3).  gg Micon

Indeed.  "at least 1" is certainly satisfied.  You win the 5 coin Mooslum bet.  Yes, that is religiously insensitive, because organized religion is bullshit.   I drink to that as I ask KGambler to send me a hash for a 10 coin mooslum headshot.

Tell 'em where u got it from! 

[organofcorti]

I'm interested in how you make fun of Christians? C'mon, don't be shy.

[KGambler]

Dude, don't take the Lakers bet.

Alright, you got me I honestly hadn't looked at the moneyline odds prior to my message, but what you're saying is absolutely correct. Still I'd have to say that the Lakers game without Kobe is pretty even, and I haven't looked at the Utah game yet, it's obviously a tough matchup but still very winnable for a team that is in a must-win situation.

Haha, just giving you a hard time because two bettors had already agreed on a price and you were butting in.

[IveBeenBit]

I'm interested in how you make fun of Christians? C'mon, don't be shy.

I am not interested in this. I'm interested in gambling. Micon - do you want to set a line on whether the 2nd suspect will be taken dead or alive?

Edit: Congratulations on your win.

[Micon]

I'm interested in how you make fun of Christians? C'mon, don't be shy.

I think that discussion is best for another thread [and I am happy to engage in a respectful debate] as I have done numberous times on the subject on DonkDown radio [which you are welcome to come on next Wednesday, again for respectful debate]

this is assuming you are Christian. 

I bet mooslums

shipped 10 coins just now to your PM'd hash.  GLGLGLGLGLGLGL

Micon - do you want to set a line on whether the 2nd suspect will be taken dead or alive?

Edit: Congratulations on your win.

I personally think they are going to swiss cheese that bitch like they did his brother.  Now the kid is only 19, so you have that variance element as well.  Other possible outcomes are "they never find the fucker" and "there are 7 suspects" so like all well-written statements, we must add a date and a name to this as well.  I'm also throwing in Interpool / all worldwide law enforcement entities so we don't "coinjedi something" by saying "police" when "FBI" actually makes the collar.  Also note I will never, ever "Coinjedi" or "Bestofbitco.in" anyone who bets me.  I am a gentleman gambler and have proved so here in LV for many, many years.  I will always consider intent from both sides and will always strive to make the fairest decision.  If there is ever a question about a bet we can go to a poll or a trusted panel of 5 for arbitration.  I am never interested in collecting a quick buck at the sake of my reputation.

I offer the following:

Statement:  "Boston Marathon Bomber Suspect #2 Dzhokar Tsarnaev taken into custody alive by any worldwide law enforcement body by 12:01am EST 5/1/2013.  He must stay alive for 12 hours after the earliest news report he is in custody"

Odds to bet "True" on the above statement:  +150 
min bet: .5 btc
max bet: 2 btc
 
hash: 12gER9apoavPLgdqY6bpcPSxeTHpaRKVtH

(doubled checked it this time
Bet good for

offer good for 12 hours or until the very first time-stamped report of "suspect catptured" [the very first will likely be a tweet]

[IveBeenBit]

I offer the following:

Statement:  "Boston Marathon Bomber Suspect #2 Dzhokar Tsarnaev taken into custody alive by any worldwide law enforcement body by 12:01am EST 5/1/2013.  He must stay alive for 12 hours after the earliest news report he is in custody"

Odds to bet "True" on the above statement:  +150 
min bet: .5 btc
max bet: 2 btc
 
hash: 12gER9apoavPLgdqY6bpcPSxeTHpaRKVtH

(doubled checked it this time
Bet good for

offer good for 12 hours or until the very first time-stamped report of "suspect catptured" [the very first will likely be a tweet]

Damn....tough line. I have spent about 20 minutes trying to decide what side to take. I'm in for BTC0.5 on "False." At +170ish I probably would have taken the other side.

My reasoning - even if the kid legitimately surrenders, the stories that he has a suicide vest will make the cops way more trigger happy.

[organofcorti]

I'm interested in how you make fun of Christians? C'mon, don't be shy.

I am not interested in this. I'm interested in gambling. Micon - do you want to set a line on whether the 2nd suspect will be taken dead or alive?

Edit: Congratulations on your win.

Perhaps I'm just jealous that the thing in which I'm interested in gambling still hasn't been addressed.

[Micon]

I offer the following:

Statement:  "Boston Marathon Bomber Suspect #2 Dzhokar Tsarnaev taken into custody alive by any worldwide law enforcement body by 12:01am EST 5/1/2013.  He must stay alive for 12 hours after the earliest news report he is in custody"

Odds to bet "True" on the above statement:  +150 
min bet: .5 btc
max bet: 2 btc
 
hash: 12gER9apoavPLgdqY6bpcPSxeTHpaRKVtH

(doubled checked it this time
Bet good for

offer good for 12 hours or until the very first time-stamped report of "suspect catptured" [the very first will likely be a tweet]

Damn....tough line. I have spent about 20 minutes trying to decide what side to take. I'm in for BTC0.5 on "False." At +170ish I probably would have taken the other side.

My reasoning - even if the kid legitimately surrenders, the stories that he has a suicide vest will make the cops way more trigger happy.

I rec'd .5 btc on "Bomber 2 taking alive" at +150  - was this you?  If it's some1 else, just easily prove that transaction was you.

glglglgl whoever is betting on this guy taken alive!  i think he's gonna get waxed.

[IveBeenBit]

I offer the following:

Statement:  "Boston Marathon Bomber Suspect #2 Dzhokar Tsarnaev taken into custody alive by any worldwide law enforcement body by 12:01am EST 5/1/2013.  He must stay alive for 12 hours after the earliest news report he is in custody"

Odds to bet "True" on the above statement:  +150 
min bet: .5 btc
max bet: 2 btc
 
hash: 12gER9apoavPLgdqY6bpcPSxeTHpaRKVtH

(doubled checked it this time
Bet good for

offer good for 12 hours or until the very first time-stamped report of "suspect catptured" [the very first will likely be a tweet]

Damn....tough line. I have spent about 20 minutes trying to decide what side to take. I'm in for BTC0.5 on "False." At +170ish I probably would have taken the other side.

My reasoning - even if the kid legitimately surrenders, the stories that he has a suicide vest will make the cops way more trigger happy.

I rec'd .5 btc on "Bomber 2 taking alive" at +150  - was this you?  If it's some1 else, just easily prove that transaction was you.

glglglgl whoever is betting on this guy taken alive!  i think he's gonna get waxed.

No. Read what I wrote - I sent BTC0.5 and bet on "false" as in - he gets killed or escapes or something.

[KGambler]

Reading what he wrote, it looks like he never offered that bet.  Reading what you both wrote, it looks like a misunderstanding and you both wanted the same side.  It looks like a "no action" result - no bet.

[IveBeenBit]

Reading what he wrote, it looks like he never offered that bet.  Reading what you both wrote, it looks like a misunderstanding and you both wanted the same side.  It looks like a "no action" result - no bet.

My understanding was that Micon set the line and I could choose a side. If KGambler is right, then I'll take "true" in Micon's statement, as written, if he agrees to bump the odds to +175. Otherwise, just send the BTC0.5 coins back to the address they came from.

Thanks for your input KGambler.

[Pythonideus]

Suspect 2 in custody

Suspect 1 dead

[Micon]

Reading what he wrote, it looks like he never offered that bet.  Reading what you both wrote, it looks like a misunderstanding and you both wanted the same side.  It looks like a "no action" result - no bet.

My understanding was that Micon set the line and I could choose a side. If KGambler is right, then I'll take "true" in Micon's statement, as written, if he agrees to bump the odds to +175. Otherwise, just send the BTC0.5 coins back to the address they came from.

Thanks for your input KGambler.

Even though it now appears he is in custody alive, I agree the correct thing to do based on the time stamp of this clear misunderstanding is to refund the .5  [waiting for first troll to liken this to Coinjedi, but in actuality its a great example of when to declare "push"  - as there is no chance I would have taken IveBeenBit's .5 if he lost]

pm me a hash / i'll ship it right away.

Also FYI for the future I am *USUALLY* only offering 1 side of the bet - not like a sportsbook - because there is clear side that I want to bet on.

[IveBeenBit]

Even though it now appears he is in custody alive, I agree the correct thing to do based on the time stamp of this clear misunderstanding is to refund the .5  [waiting for first troll to liken this to Coinjedi, but in actuality its a great example of when to declare "push"  - as there is no chance I would have taken IveBeenBit's .5 if he lost]

pm me a hash / i'll ship it right away.

Also FYI for the future I am *USUALLY* only offering 1 side of the bet - not like a sportsbook - because there is clear side that I want to bet on.

Damn...another 10 minutes and I may have had action. I've been running bad on these sort of bets.

Anyways, like I said, you can use the sending address: 1HcnT8pYqNu5xAW1pZpcAzAf9NZPKrLrmQ. Thanks.