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April 16, 2013, 12:03:49 PM |
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% orders num units unit power power sold (GHs) Jalapeno 90% 18000 5 90000 mini single 5% 1000 25 25000 single sc 3% 600 50 30000 mini rig sc 2% 400 1500 600000 total orders 1 20000 745,000
% orders num orders unit power power sold (GHs) Jalapeno 40% 16000 5 80000 mini single 30% 12000 25 300000 single sc 25% 10000 50 500000 mini rig sc 5% 2000 1500 3000000 total orders 1 40000 3,880,000
Sales mix is made up - feel free change it. Number of orders is based on the order number tracking I've seen posted around BTF. Assuming 1 unit per order, which is wrong - there are many multi-unit orders, making this a low estimate.
To put this in perspective, the whole BTC network hashing power is currently about 60 PHs.
Based on the estimates above, once all existing BFL units are shipped (if ever) and running, total network hash rate may increase anywhere from roughly 1 PHs to 4PHs. That's anywhere from a 16X to 66X increase in hashing power.
If we extrapolate that to difficulty, we might expect to see difficulty rise 16X-66X, between 130M and 530M.
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