Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

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[ChartBuddy]

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[Paashaas]

Good morning.

About time to hit the gym.

[ChartBuddy]

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[ChartBuddy]

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[xhomerx10]

There is a lot of speculation about BTC, some rely on what Robert Kiyosaki says, who predicted that BTC will go down and fall to $90k, which I do not agree with.

On the other hand, this analysis seems very accurate to me:


x:https://x.com/DaanCrypto/status/1951961493915963776

and a nice chart:




x:https://x.com/ChartsBtc/status/1952368945819955507

   I have seen Robert Kiyosaki's name bandied about in this thread lately and I cannot understand why.  He's a bullshit artist imo and I would not recommend taking his advice  - especially not on Bitcoin.

 Nice post by the way.

[LoyceV]

Maybe I'm just very tired, but this felt like the right thing to post after the broken A/C really got to me. I just drove for 12 hours, passed an upside down car, a camper van on it's side, and lots of road work. Time to hit the couch with alcohol

This smells so Italy!

I went the opposite direction (but you already know that). Which part smells like Italy exactly: the broken A/C, the 12 hours driving, the upside down cars, the road work or the alcohol? I can already tell you the alcohol smells more like Greece

Every time I see a plate from your part of the world (PLENTY of them, literally LOADS) i m wondering if it is you driving it.

The last time I drove in Italy was the summer before Covid (that's how my brain remembers it), when we drove from Austria to Italy just to buy wine and ice cream.

I do feel you.
I am driving a 14-year-old car, and I am terrified of changing it, because, apart from obvious aesthetic damages after such a long tenure, it runs so smoothly.

I miss my older car with "asesthetic damages", it just means it's one less thing to worry about. MehMeh had the outside of her door covered with stickers.
I wouldn't want a car with touch screen instead of physical switches: electronic gimmicks are great when new, but a pain once it starts failing, and those cars will probably be completely non-existent after 2 decades. Unlike current 40 years old cars that likely will still drive around 20 years from now.

Best rant in a while.

Thanks, I guess I just read back what my tired brain produced last night. I'm not disappointed

[ChartBuddy]

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[Paashaas]

I believe Bitcoin's bullrun will not end next month because there is 90% chance FED will lower rates in September, stocks and Bitcoin will pump.

October, November ore even December.

[WatChe]

So we’re tanking, thanks to Orange Man and his tariffs fetish once again. Oh man, just when I thought we might start going up again.

Hopefully we don’t go much lower but seasonally, Bitcoin is usually not great in the summer months. Sit tight and HODL I guess.

Last time when their was tariff stand off between US and China, bitcoin went down to 75k.

This time the countries that failed to have tariff agreements with US doesn't have big powers like China, so price may not go down much lower.

But in the end it's Bitcoin and anything can happen.  

I compared the previous tariffs between the US and China in April to Bitcoin's surge to $75,000. In less than four months, Bitcoin nearly doubled from $75,000 to an all-time high of $123,000 last July.
If Bitcoin drops to the $113,000 I wrote about, and if it repeats itself like yesterday in less than four months or in the next few months before the end of the year, the price of Bitcoin could double from $113,000 to over $220,000. Hopefully. lol

last time the standoff was between US and China that's why Bitcoin went down to 75k$.

Now the standoff is between US and countries that include Brasil, India, Canada, Switzerland and Taiwna. I don't think this standoff will take down Bitcoin to some extraordinary low value.

Moreover Bitcoin also know that tariff standoff is temporary and will be resolved eventually 
 

[ChartBuddy]

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[vapourminer]

...
So, to claim, I have to sign a message using the wallet.
Any security concerns about this?

As long as you move your coins and use TOR when showing them your signature it should be fine. You can use a VPN but then the VPN provider will know who you are

seems like a GREAT way to link btc addys and track them out the wazoo. even after moving them they are now linked forever to the airdrops garbage.

fine if you dont care about privacy

[ChartBuddy]

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[Gachapin]

...
So, to claim, I have to sign a message using the wallet.
Any security concerns about this?

As long as you move your coins and use TOR when showing them your signature it should be fine. You can use a VPN but then the VPN provider will know who you are

seems like a GREAT way to link btc addys and track them out the wazoo. even after moving them they are now linked forever to the airdrops garbage.

fine if you dont care about privacy

Maybe you can route your shitcoin wallet activity through TOR and send the shitcoins to an anonymus exchange and change them in some other coin. But surely some trace will be left somewhere, like anything you do online.

I think that your BTC themselves are traceable, at least as soon as you cash some of them out. Too much chain analysis going on for too long. You won't have 100% privacy.

If you have a way to cash out bigger chunks of BTC with 100% privacy, please let me know

[philipma1957]

...
So, to claim, I have to sign a message using the wallet.
Any security concerns about this?

As long as you move your coins and use TOR when showing them your signature it should be fine. You can use a VPN but then the VPN provider will know who you are

seems like a GREAT way to link btc addys and track them out the wazoo. even after moving them they are now linked forever to the airdrops garbage.

fine if you dont care about privacy

but 300 usd a btc have can we resist it.

also if you are usa based like I am

and if you have corn in the same address for a year it easily will qualify as a long term cap gain

once you move it and shift it there will be more paperwork to show that it is a long term gain which on a coin could mean a large tax loss.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[lightfoot]

Meantime I'm off to my annual pilgrimage to Vegas this week for Defcon and stuff. Anyone want to grab lunch or dinner?

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[bangjoe]

I believe Bitcoin's bullrun will not end next month because there is 90% chance FED will lower rates in September, stocks and Bitcoin will pump.

October, November ore even December.

The probability of 25bps reduction according to them, from 4.25% -4.50% to 4.00% - 4.25%


Even when The Fed does not cut interest rates Bitcoin will score a new ATH on Q4.

Fuck with The Fed

[psycodad]

Meantime I'm off to my annual pilgrimage to Vegas this week for Defcon and stuff. Anyone want to grab lunch or dinner?

Have fun there!

I've been attending HIP97 and HAL2001 and it was really great fun.
Listened to Phil Zimmermann, Theo de Raadt , Lucky Green, John Gilmore among a ton of other cool hackers.
Saw my first live Van Eck phreaking demonstration over ~10m - was fucking impressed.
Oh the memories.. largest non-military openair network then, though wiring was a bit improvised :-)



PegDHCP was invented as joke, but was used on both occasions (RFC2322)

Nowadays this kind of cons is just getting too luxurious and expensive for my taste, the same time I get too old to sit in a tent with a desktop computer so the additional comfort is surely welcome.

Was always wanting to attend a defcon in the 90s-early 2000s actually until I got rounded up on behalf of some US TLA. Not travelling to any 5eyes country since then..