Bitcoin Forum
May 05, 2024, 01:05:44 PM
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
News
: Latest Bitcoin Core release:
27.0
[
Torrent
]
Home
Help
Search
Login
Register
More
Bitcoin Forum
>
Local
>
中文 (Chinese)
>
媒体
>
人民日报:日本经济脆弱 结构转型困难重重
Pages: [
1
]
« previous topic
next topic »
Print
Author
Topic: 人民日报:日本经济脆弱 结构转型困难重重 (Read 223 times)
Deniselly
(OP)
Member
Offline
Activity: 154
Merit: 10
人民日报:日本经济脆弱 结构转型困难重重
February 28, 2017, 02:10:19 PM
#1
近日,日本政府公布的2016年经济数字确实有些靓丽抢眼:日本名义GDP(国内生产总值)总量突破537万亿日元(约合6.1万亿美元),首次刷新1997年以来的历史纪录。不仅如此,其实际经济增长率实现1.0%、名义经济增长率达到1.3%,远高于此前市场预期。
日本经济已经悄然复苏?其实,日本经济大幅“提振”的奥秘在于联合国的新规。去年12月,日本政府宣布正式引入联合国新版标准编制国民账户,统计结果因此大为改观:2015年日本经济总量从500万亿日元变成532万亿日元,陡增6.4%。不仅如此,新规还成为“安倍经济学”的有力支撑:2013至2015年度,日本名义GDP增长率平均被推高约0.7个百分点,分别从原来1.7%、1.5%和2.3%调整为2.6%、2.1%和2.8%,距离3%的增长目标仅咫尺之遥。
“研发资本化”是联合国新规统计的突出特征。此前,研发、专利、版权等相关支出均被纳入投资范畴,并未被计入GDP统计中。日本研发规模一直位居世界前列,在GDP中占比始终在3%左右,特别是日本民间企业,高度重视研发投入,2000年后投入的研发资金总量累计突破10万亿日元。在2015年32万亿日元的GDP“增量”中,研发资本化规模占19.2万亿,贡献率超过六成。
统计标准的变化,并不代表日本经济真的迎来转机。尽管失业率下降、大企业盈利等利好在一定程度上改善了日本经济环境,但摆脱通缩仍遥遥无期,相反,改革成效与动力开始消退,阻力和风险不断上升。
首先,自律性经济增长渐远,金融风险增加。以宽松终结长期通缩、让日本经济步入自律性增长之路,是“安倍经济学”的设计初衷。如今,日本基础货币投放量已从2013年的132万亿日元攀升至432万亿,对GDP之比突破了80%,但其核心通胀率仍不足1%,远低于2%的目标。无奈之下,日本央行又导入负利率政策,开启所谓“收益率曲线控制”的金融冒险。日本政府随后又被迫推出大规模财政刺激,使政府债务余额再度冲高至1066万亿,金融风险一触即发。
其次,外部风险加大,经济运行脆弱性凸显。内需长期疲弱,令日本经济对外部市场产生严重依赖。日本制造业海外生产比率早已突破24%,日本企业海外销售占比也接近60%,形成1/4生产在国外、六成销售靠海外的格局,英国脱欧等一系列“黑天鹅事件”事件,或对日本经济的全球化进程造成巨大冲击。
第三,改革举步维艰,经济结构转型困难重重。改革无禁区,安倍曾誓言从农业、医疗、能源和就业等四大领域着手,推行结构改革、实现经济转型。然四年来并无实质进展,财政重建计划也因两度推迟消费增税而几近破产。
总之,就统计数据看,日本经济虽现局部改观,但整体形势依然严峻,甚至有爆发金融风险之虞。
Pages: [
1
]
Print
Bitcoin Forum
>
Local
>
中文 (Chinese)
>
媒体
>
人民日报:日本经济脆弱 结构转型困难重重
« previous topic
next topic »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Bitcoin
-----------------------------
=> Bitcoin Discussion
===> Legal
===> Press
===> Meetups
===> Important Announcements
=> Development & Technical Discussion
===> Wallet software
=====> Electrum
=====> Bitcoin Wallet for Android
=====> BitcoinJ
=====> Armory
=====> Mycelium
=====> Hardware wallets
=> Mining
===> Mining support
===> Pools
===> Mining software (miners)
===> Hardware
=====> Group buys
===> Mining speculation
=> Bitcoin Technical Support
=> Project Development
-----------------------------
Economy
-----------------------------
=> Economics
===> Speculation
=> Marketplace
===> Goods
=====> Computer hardware
=====> Digital goods
=======> Invites & Accounts
=====> Collectibles
===> Services
===> Currency exchange
===> Gambling
=====> Games and rounds
=====> Investor-based games
=====> Gambling discussion
===> Lending
=====> Long-term offers
===> Securities
===> Auctions
===> Service Announcements
=====> Micro Earnings
===> Service Discussion
=====> Web Wallets
=====> Exchanges
=> Trading Discussion
===> Scam Accusations
===> Reputation
-----------------------------
Other
-----------------------------
=> Meta
===> New forum software
===> Bitcoin Wiki
=> Politics & Society
=> Beginners & Help
=> Off-topic
=> Serious discussion
===> Ivory Tower
=> Archival
===> Корзина
===> CPU/GPU Bitcoin mining hardware
===> Chinese students
===> Obsolete (buying)
===> Obsolete (selling)
===> MultiBit
-----------------------------
Alternate cryptocurrencies
-----------------------------
=> Altcoin Discussion
=> Announcements (Altcoins)
===> Tokens (Altcoins)
=> Mining (Altcoins)
===> Pools (Altcoins)
=> Marketplace (Altcoins)
===> Service Announcements (Altcoins)
===> Service Discussion (Altcoins)
===> Bounties (Altcoins)
=> Speculation (Altcoins)
-----------------------------
Local
-----------------------------
=> العربية (Arabic)
===> العملات البديلة (Altcoins)
=====> النقاشات
===> إستفسارات و أسئلة المبتدئين
===> التعدين
===> النقاشات الأخرى
===> منصات التبادل
=> Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian)
===> Marketplace (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Mining (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Trading dan Spekulasi
===> Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya
===> Topik Lainnya
=> Español (Spanish)
===> Mercado y Economía
=====> Servicios
=====> Trading y especulación
===> Hardware y Minería
===> Esquina Libre
===> Mercadillo
=====> Mexico
=====> Argentina
=====> España
=====> Centroamerica y Caribe
===> Primeros pasos y ayuda
===> Altcoins (criptomonedas alternativas)
=====> Minería de altcoins
=====> Servicios
=====> Tokens (Español)
=> 中文 (Chinese)
===> 跳蚤市场
===> 山寨币
===> 媒体
===> 挖矿
===> 离题万里
=> Hrvatski (Croatian)
===> Trgovina
===> Altcoins (Hrvatski)
=====> Announcements (Hrvatski)
===> Off-topic (Hrvatski)
=> Deutsch (German)
===> Anfänger und Hilfe
===> Mining (Deutsch)
===> Trading und Spekulation
===> Projektentwicklung
===> Off-Topic (Deutsch)
===> Treffen
===> Presse
===> Altcoins (Deutsch)
=====> Announcements (Deutsch)
===> Marktplatz
=====> Auktionen
=====> Suche
=====> Biete
=> Ελληνικά (Greek)
===> Αγορά
===> Mining Discussion (Ελληνικά)
===> Altcoins (Ελληνικά)
=====> Altcoin Announcements (Ελληνικά)
=====> Altcoin Mining (Ελληνικά)
=> עברית (Hebrew)
=> Français
===> Actualité et News
===> Débutants
===> Discussions générales et utilisation du Bitcoin
===> Mining et Hardware
===> Économie et spéculation
===> Place de marché
=====> Échanges
=====> Produits et services
=====> Petites annonces
===> Le Bitcoin et la loi
===> Wiki, documentation et traduction
===> Développement et technique
===> Vos sites et projets
===> Hors-sujet
===> Altcoins (Français)
=====> Annonces
=> India
===> Mining (India)
===> Marketplace (India)
===> Regional Languages (India)
===> Press & News from India
===> Alt Coins (India)
===> Buyer/ Seller Reputations (India)
===> Off-Topic (India)
=> Italiano (Italian)
===> Guide (Italiano)
===> Progetti
===> Discussioni avanzate e sviluppo
===> Trading, analisi e speculazione
===> Mercato
=====> Mercato valute
=====> Beni
=====> Servizi
=====> Esercizi commerciali
=====> Hardware/Mining (Italiano)
=====> Gambling (Italiano)
===> Accuse scam/truffe
===> Mining (Italiano)
===> Alt-Currencies (Italiano)
=====> Annunci
===> Raduni/Meeting (Italiano)
===> Crittografia e decentralizzazione
===> Off-Topic (Italiano)
=> 日本語 (Japanese)
===> アルトコイン
=> Nederlands (Dutch)
===> Markt
===> Gokken/lotterijen
===> Mining (Nederlands)
===> Beurzen
===> Alt Coins (Nederlands)
===> Off-topic (Nederlands)
===> Meetings (Nederlands)
=> Nigeria (Naija)
===> Politics and society (Naija)
===> Off-topic (Naija)
=> 한국어 (Korean)
===> 대체코인 Alt Coins (한국어)
=> Pilipinas
===> Altcoins (Pilipinas)
=====> Altcoin Announcements (Pilipinas)
===> Pamilihan
===> Others (Pilipinas)
=> Polski
===> Tablica ogłoszeń
===> Alternatywne kryptowaluty
=====> Nowe kryptowaluty i tokeny
=====> Tablica ogłoszeń (altcoiny)
=> Português (Portuguese)
===> Primeiros Passos (Iniciantes)
===> Economia & Mercado
===> Mineração em Geral
===> Desenvolvimento & Discussões Técnicas
===> Criptomoedas Alternativas
===> Brasil
===> Portugal
=> Русский (Russian)
===> Новички
===> Бизнес
=====> Барахолка
=====> Обменники
===> Идеи
===> Кодеры
===> Майнеры
===> Политика
===> Трейдеры
===> Альтернативные криптовалюты
=====> Токены
=====> Бayнти и aиpдpoпы
===> Хайпы
===> Работа
===> Разное
===> Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin
=====> Новости
=====> Юристы
=> Română (Romanian)
===> Anunturi importante
===> Offtopic
===> Market
=====> Discutii Servicii
===> Minerit
===> Tutoriale
===> Bine ai venit!
===> Presa
===> Altcoins (Monede Alternative)
=====> Anunturi Monede Alternative
=> Skandinavisk
=> Türkçe (Turkish)
===> Bitcoin Haberleri
===> Pazar Alanı
===> Madencilik
===> Ekonomi
===> Servisler
=====> Fonlar
===> Proje Geliştirme
===> Alternatif Kripto-Paralar
=====> Madencilik (Alternatif Kripto-Paralar)
=====> Duyurular (Alternatif Kripto-Paralar)
===> Konu Dışı
===> Yeni Başlayanlar & Yardım
===> Buluşmalar
=> Other languages/locations
Loading...