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April 24, 2013, 09:23:09 AM
Last edit: April 24, 2013, 09:40:43 AM by DrG |
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I've been debating this for the past couple of months and decided to throw out a feeler listing since BFL is finally shipping some ASIC devices. My order is #1799 which was ordered about 1 hour into the day 1 release. More important than order number is my payment - I sent BTC from my own wallet within 1 minute of completing checkout on Bitpay so I'm probably queued ahead of some other people (since BFL orders queue by payment receive time rather than order time - and I don't have the 1-2 day delay of wire transfer). I think the lowest order number for ASIC was #1650.
Asking price is currently 190BTC - 20BTC cheaper than the price I paid. I can either ship it Express to you by next morning (assuming US delivery), you can do local pickup, or I set it up to mine for you and ship it at a later time when minutes of mining are not so critical. If you want me to host it I can do so at no charge as I have "free" power at my wife's office. I could just leave a spare machine on which you could remote into to control the miner whatever way you wish. If I host it there is no security issue - my wife's office has equipment worth over 5x the value of the ASIC at current valuation. That's not to say somebody won't try to steal it, but it will be insured.
Obviously it will not make 190BTC in the first month, 3 months, or probably even first 4 months. It will probably pay off between 6-9 months. I can host it for free as long as my wife has her office and her current lease is good until 2016.
The biggest risks are:
-BFL goes belly up before they ship - in which case escrow will return coins to you and you're out opportunity cost.
-BFL ships late and it takes a long time (2-3 years) to make ROI.
-BFL goes belly up after they ship, the unit breaks and you lose your income source.
Benefits - it depends on you and what your plans are for BTC
If you have a reasonable offer then please post it here or PM me. I won't even bother quoting or answering troll posts, so if you find it entertaining... well go eat some cat liter.
Trust? - well I've only had about 20 transactions on BCT but all without problem. I tried to help noobies/small players last month by setting up a Group Buy for Avalon Batch 3 which failed at the last minute due to OOS, returned all 73 coins to users. And of course you can easily find me and my wife's pics and info on the internet since we're both incorporated and have professional degrees. And JohnK has my info. We can use him or another reliable person if escrow is requested.
I've stared at OOCs graphs and done lots of calculations. The biggest if seems to be what happens to those Avalon group buy chips. If those custom solutions actually get mining within days then ROI will take a lot longer. If there are problems and logistical/customs issue then ROI should come earlier.
I do have other BFL orders later on in queue (as well as Avalon orders), but for now this order seems as close to the front of the starting gates as I see available other than order 1776 which went on eBay.
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