Where to find safety in a hard fork?

[HabBear]

Where is your bitcoin balance safe in the event of a hard fork?

SolarSilver summarizes the event of a hard fork so well that I lifted a post of his from another thread I started.

So if after a fork, chain A (old) and chain B (new) exist, you can spend it on the A chain and then also spend it on chain B. The value you will get from each spend will be different, depending on how many people decide to honour the A or B chain. The sum of value of spend(A) and spend(B) will probably be lower than the original value before the fork because a fork will affect confidence in both

The confidence he speaks of only comes back for one chain...and it may not be the original.

[pterodactyl]

The worst thing is, in the event of a hard fork, during all the turmoil it will cause, many will exchange their BTC for fiat. The market cap could drop substantially.

[HabBear]

Seriously, no one wishes to offer their comment or advice on this? This is a serious question. I'm looking for real options from those of you that are more educated int the consequence of a hard fork than I am.

What's the move here? What are our options? How much time do we have?

Thanks in advance.

[pooya87]

i don't mean to be a dick but nobody answers because this topic has been discussed to death already

and there are a lot of things to consider first before even trying to move a coin in my opinion and because of that the best course of action would be moving all the coins you have into cold storage before anything happens and don't touch it until things become clear.

[Iranus]

Where is your bitcoin balance safe in the event of a hard fork?

SolarSilver summarizes the event of a hard fork so well that I lifted a post of his from another thread I started.

So if after a fork, chain A (old) and chain B (new) exist, you can spend it on the A chain and then also spend it on chain B. The value you will get from each spend will be different, depending on how many people decide to honour the A or B chain. The sum of value of spend(A) and spend(B) will probably be lower than the original value before the fork because a fork will affect confidence in both

The confidence he speaks of only comes back for one chain...and it may not be the original.

Very soon my Bitcoin will be lovely and safe in my TREZOR, which I'm getting delivered now.  Currently I'm having to trust Blockchain with the small amount of Bitcoin that I have, which isn't ideal for me as I like to be more secure.

In the event that a fork happened, it might be a high consensus fork, in which case the BU coin will be doing better and we'd feel more secure because you know that most spending would be on the new chain.  But it seems unlikely that it would happen and a real hard fork would be really messy, so it's important to keep the Bitcoin offline and know when to sell or buy one of the chains depending on which looks like it's dominating the network.

[Kyraishi]

I think that being cautious and careful in nowadays, would be just to take care on your investments, and put them up on a different assets.

The hard-fork will make all bitcoin users have also the same number of BU, so in my opinion the best thing to do is to have bitcoins, but to also buy at least 3 top altcoins, to be secured if the people on BTC will flee into Alt direction.

[amacar2]

What's the move here? What are our options? How much time do we have?

1. Blocksize debate is just a endless discussion.
2. Both BU and segwit have already failed to get majority of support because of some morons.
3. If BU tries to hard fork and run as independent chain without getting majority support, it will die sooner than expected.


How much time do we have?
Ans. We have more than enough time because this blocksize drama will never end and we may not see any HF soon. There were many attempts in past to split the network but all of them fails and this time also BU may not get enough support to initiate hard fork.

[Red-Apple]

The hard-fork will make all bitcoin users have also the same number of BU, so in my opinion the best thing to do is to have bitcoins, but to also buy at least 3 top altcoins, to be secured if the people on BTC will flee into Alt direction.

forking like this means suicide.
in other words miners (who have invested a lot of money in mining business) will never risk splitting bitcoin and ending up with two chains or causing any major dip in the price.
besides they can not possibly know what the price of the chain they are mining can be and that is risk enough for them not to do it without the overwhelming majority and that means only one chain remains. either this current one or a new one.

and don't think for a second that if your bitcoin amount doubles the total price also doubles. i assure you it will be less than what it is worth in total.
meaning it won't be 1000+200 or 600+600 or other things it will be 300+300 or 500+100 or something like that.

[Qartada]

The hard-fork will make all bitcoin users have also the same number of BU, so in my opinion the best thing to do is to have bitcoins, but to also buy at least 3 top altcoins, to be secured if the people on BTC will flee into Alt direction.

forking like this means suicide.
in other words miners (who have invested a lot of money in mining business) will never risk splitting bitcoin and ending up with two chains or causing any major dip in the price.
besides they can not possibly know what the price of the chain they are mining can be and that is risk enough for them not to do it without the overwhelming majority and that means only one chain remains. either this current one or a new one.

and don't think for a second that if your bitcoin amount doubles the total price also doubles. i assure you it will be less than what it is worth in total.
meaning it won't be 1000+200 or 600+600 or other things it will be 300+300 or 500+100 or something like that.

That's the main thing that scares me about a hard fork.

If it happens, you'll end up getting both chains and not knowing what to do with them.  Loads of people will panic sell one or the other and drop a lot of money into altcoins which could propel them a bit too far for Bitcoin to recover quickly and it could move into a bear market.

That in turn might even lead me to end up selling as well.  It wouldn't look so good if it was a really messy 51% split.

[davis196]

Where is your bitcoin balance safe in the event of a hard fork?

SolarSilver summarizes the event of a hard fork so well that I lifted a post of his from another thread I started.

So if after a fork, chain A (old) and chain B (new) exist, you can spend it on the A chain and then also spend it on chain B. The value you will get from each spend will be different, depending on how many people decide to honour the A or B chain. The sum of value of spend(A) and spend(B) will probably be lower than the original value before the fork because a fork will affect confidence in both

The confidence he speaks of only comes back for one chain...and it may not be the original.

The answer of your question in the title.
Just sell all your bitcoins for fiat or altcoins before the hardfork,wait for a while and buy bitcoins A and bitcoins B.They both will be very cheap and one of them will increase in value very fast.
The problem is when the hardfork will happend.

[franky1]

hard fork does not mean automatic split.

even going soft fork can end up as a split.

the truth is there are a few different end results of hard and soft.
but those script readers only spread gossip of softs best case scenario and hard's worse case scenario to try falsely making people think soft is the only way.

first of all, all the independent implementations do NOT want a split.
that was offered ages ago and rejected.

what is wanted is a consensus upgrade of one unified network. this is why the independent devs set no deadlines or made any threats.

lets say those wanting a single merkle over 1mb base block upgrade.

if none of the nodes accept it its rejected in 2 seconds.

if a few nodes accpt it. then those nodes accept it and then its orphaned when the next block comes along. because the other nodes rejected it in a couple seconds.

if there was near 50-50 then there is much more orphan drama. taking a couple blocks of fighting to then settle down.

if there was high majority acceptance then the orphan drama cools down but in favour of the over1mb  where by the minority are then finding they are rejecting/orphaning and then being left unsynced.

the only time that there is actually a altcoin is if the nodes of opposing sides actually disconnect and ban communications with their opposing rule node.

if communication continues between nodes. then its just orphan drama

[digaran]

Stay synced with the longest chain, set bots to automatically double spend every ongoing transactions and deposit them all in some unused addresses lol.
Right now if we could ask all the miners to stop mining for 30 minutes so everyone could upgrade to the new version we wouldn't be here arguing, it's all about not losing the competition.

Now I have another question: when a miner includes transactions in a block and then broadcast it and nodes seeing it as valid, what happens if a TX gets double spent with much higher fee? the other miner if include that double spend what happens to the first block? if it's already mined then the original miner is already busy with his next block found and doesn't have the time to redo his last block with much higher hash power, am I getting this right or I'm some where else entirely?

[HabBear]

That's a very fair comment. If you share the links where those discussions have happened I'll read those and lock this one down.

i don't mean to be a dick but nobody answers because this topic has been discussed to death already

and there are a lot of things to consider first before even trying to move a coin in my opinion and because of that the best course of action would be moving all the coins you have into cold storage before anything happens and don't touch it until things become clear.

The answer of your question in the title.
Just sell all your bitcoins for fiat or altcoins before the hardfork,wait for a while and buy bitcoins A and bitcoins B.They both will be very cheap and one of them will increase in value very fast.

This is ridiculous. If you aren't willing to stick with bitcoin during the tough times, you shouldn't be involved in bitcoin at all. I don't think you're ready for bitcoin.

[BitcoinNewsMagazine]

Where is your bitcoin balance safe in the event of a hard fork?

SolarSilver summarizes the event of a hard fork so well that I lifted a post of his from another thread I started.

So if after a fork, chain A (old) and chain B (new) exist, you can spend it on the A chain and then also spend it on chain B. The value you will get from each spend will be different, depending on how many people decide to honour the A or B chain. The sum of value of spend(A) and spend(B) will probably be lower than the original value before the fork because a fork will affect confidence in both

The confidence he speaks of only comes back for one chain...and it may not be the original.

If you don't want to run both Core and BU full nodes get a Trezor. The Trezor devs have already said in case of a hard fork they will start up a BU backend at wallet.trezor.io so Trezor users can access their bitcoin on either chain, they just need to build in replay protection first. Expect Ledger to do the same.

[Rudsild]

The worst thing is, in the event of a hard fork, during all the turmoil it will cause, many will exchange their BTC for fiat. The market cap could drop substantially.

I will not change into fiat. I will change into other good altcoins such as Ethereum or ZCash.

[The_Dark_Knight]

Seriously, no one wishes to offer their comment or advice on this? This is a serious question. I'm looking for real options from those of you that are more educated int the consequence of a hard fork than I am.

What's the move here? What are our options? How much time do we have?

Thanks in advance.

To be honest, the only thing to do is to move to another coin for some time or to turn your bitcoin for fiat, there is not much to do, if a hard fork happens the value of both coins will drop like a rock and there will not be a lot to do at that time, you could keep your coins if you want but who in his right mind wants to lose money?

[European Central Bank]

in the event of a contentious hard fork i would switch to dollars. and it's quite probable i wouldn't be coming back.

if it can happen on bitcoin then it can happen with any crypto, and of course it already has with ethereum. anyone who thinks an alt is a safe haven is nuts.

[blackhawkeye1912]

Seriously, no one wishes to offer their comment or advice on this? This is a serious question. I'm looking for real options from those of you that are more educated int the consequence of a hard fork than I a
What's the move here? What are our options? How much time do we have?

Thanks in advance.

What are you trying to intend? your question actually has been discussed and done already, which means this is already been threw in a waste garbage, and as far as I remembered segwit and bitcoin unlimited was also failed to achieve their intentions about it to get the vote of others in bitcoin community but the result in the end was nothing and stupid things only.

[AngryDwarf]

I'll just leave my coins untouched if the shit hits the fan. It's going one of two ways:

1. The split would eventually result in everyone uniting behind one chain.
2. The split would become bilateral with the implementation of relay protection.

In the latter case, I would hold on to both coins to hedge by bets.

I certainly wouldn't attempt to make a transaction during a chain split without relay protection.

[cpfreeplz]

Lol you could always transfer everything into USDT hahaha. Then you don't have to worry about anything other than USD fluctuation which is a loss of a few percent of buying power each year.