i don't think it'll ever happen. bitcoin's too much in the hands of a small number of miners. i also don't believe we'll ever get bigger blocks. the people pushing them so far are too incompetent and childish.
question is what will the market do with a bitcoin that won't change? i don't think it's gonna put up with it forever.
Indeed. It can find its niche. And it has the first mover advantage, but after many years, that will erode away. Between the "first coin" and 8 years around, or a "newcomer, only 3 years old", there's a mountain of a difference. Between "the first coin, now 40 years old", and "50 other coins from about the same decade, 35 years old, and more features", there won't be much of a difference.