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蔡英文上任将满一年 准备靠美国与大陆"撕破脸"?
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蔡英文上任将满一年 准备靠美国与大陆"撕破脸"?
May 02, 2017, 05:42:52 AM
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5月20日,民进党的蔡英文上台执政即将届满周年。面对着近一年来两岸关系的重大变化,关心两岸命运与前途的人们再一次将目光投向了蔡英文的两岸政策,关注其“独葫芦”里究竟能倒出什么样的新玩意,玩出什么样的新把戏。不出所料,蔡英文近来先后以接受英国路透社专访、社交媒体主动发文等形式,开始就两岸关系与相关议题发表看法。
从其最新表述看,蔡英文已经不在乎对大陆是不是“善意”,也不准备回答“两岸关系的答卷”,甚至开始摆出与大陆撕破脸皮、开启对抗,并“倚靠美国抗衡大陆”的姿态。由此可见,蔡英文的两岸政策表述很难再往前走,看不出有任何实质调整的可能。受此影响,未来几年的两岸关系更加不容乐观,很有可能出现媒体所说的“螺旋式沉沦”状况,朝更加凶险、更加艰难的阶段发展。
“答卷”
首先,蔡英文露出拒绝完成两岸关系“答卷”的马脚。去年5月20日民进党的蔡英文上台执政,然而其就职演说中两岸关系的表述并未被大陆点头认可,被认定为“一份没有完成的答卷”。此后,大陆方面一直等待蔡英文能够顺应两岸关系和平发展潮流、顺应岛内要求其接受“九二共识”的主流民意,回答两岸关系根本性质问题这道“必答题”,交出令两岸民众满意的合格答卷。但是蔡英文自认为通过对“立法院”的完全掌控,运用“不当党产条例”打垮了岛内主要竞争对手国民党,未来可在岛内长期执政,而未对两岸关系作出实质调整。
因此,尽管去年5月20日以来,两岸要求蔡英文承认“九二共识”、改善两岸关系发展的民意不断累积,甚至上万民众走上街头,喊出“九二共识,蔡英文不要,我要”的口号,给蔡的两岸政策施加压力。但蔡英文对于这股民意压力似乎毫不在意,其两岸政策表述一直停留在520就职演说内容,表面声称对大陆“善意不变”,但实质没有任何的进步,甚至大有撕下善意面具、摆出与大陆抗衡的新姿态。4月27日,蔡英文接受英国路透社专访,在回答“未完成答卷”的问题时,更是再次揭下善意的伪装面具,露出拒绝完成两岸关系“答卷”、拒绝承认“九二共识”的真实面目。蔡英文称,“与其说我没有完成一个问卷,倒不如说我们双方都面临一个新的问卷,我们也期待中国大陆方面可以用不同的角度,来面对这张新的问卷”。在蔡的表述中,“答卷”成了双方应面临的“新问卷”,这就意味着她已明确表态“不认可大陆出的这道问卷”,也不打算回答这份答卷,更不认两岸关系恶化的责任在她一方。所以,未来外界也就不太可能再期待蔡英文回答“两岸关系根本性质”这道答卷,更加不可能期待她能够认同“九二共识”与“两岸同属一中”的两岸政治定位。
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