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Author Topic: BTC feeling the realtive market Cap decline  (Read 3809 times)
kiklo
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May 09, 2017, 07:37:51 AM
 #61

UASF is to trick morons into thinking they can control the destiny of BTC.

The Chinese Miners control it , no one else , not GMaxwell or his piss ant Core Troll army.

All the Chinese have to do is rent a few hundred VPS, and setup their own full nodes,
they control the new blocks and their full nodes keep their network running.

Running UASF is the Same as turning your PC off, because it won't do shit.

Tell the wussies to quit talking about UASF and do it so I can laugh at them for the fools they are.
Want to change PoW, do it , it will be even funnier when the chinese kick your asses up and down the blockchains.
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pooya87
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May 09, 2017, 07:52:10 AM
 #62

yes yes,
- altcoins are not in a bubble,
- their marketcap is real
- they are good and will grow

i just don't know why in the past 2 days the total marketcap of altcoins has declined -3,860,900,000 USD and that is a big ass 14% decline.

i also don't know why this "pattern" repeats itself each year.

everything is very real in altcoin market. yes yes.

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dinofelis
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May 09, 2017, 08:39:01 AM
 #63

What the fuck is this garbage? A true currency? Much like every single fiat that has failed in the past? Why are there no old fiats you ask? Because they are all the same. Infinite supply controlled by a government.

There do not need to be "old fiats", because very long time frames are not what a currency is for.  A currency serves to fluidize economic interaction, and those interactions are never century-long ; even decade-long economic interactions are rather rare.  As such, a currency needs to be as speculation-free as can be, because it needs to be a unit of account.  It is true that very often, state issued money has been corrupted by political interference.  But currencies have rarely be highly speculative assets, simply because you cannot use them reliably for commercial interaction.

Quote
How would that ever work for bitcoins? There's no central king pooba to tell us that rates should be this or that and that and no one that joined bitcoins will agree with it.

There could have been more or less automatic systems.  For instance, a slow, steady increase in difficulty would provide an upper boundary for its value, guaranteeing the one writing out a contract in BTC that he will not have to pay a fortune when he intended to pay a normal sum ; simply because if you have a given difficulty, people will never accept coins that would cost more than the economic cost of computing to make new ones.  

You are, however, perfectly right that "no-one joined bitcoin for that", because no-one joined bitcoin to have a currency.  Everybody joined it to play a greater-fool game and to "earn money with it".  This is why I say that bitcoin is designed to be a highly speculative asset, and not a currency.  As a speculative asset, it functions very well.  Its price is highly unstable.  If you can earn (a lot of) money with it and if that is the main drive to acquire it and to sell it, it is not a currency.

dinofelis
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May 09, 2017, 08:47:33 AM
Last edit: May 09, 2017, 08:59:13 AM by dinofelis
 #64

yes yes,
- altcoins are not in a bubble,
- their marketcap is real
- they are good and will grow

i just don't know why in the past 2 days the total marketcap of altcoins has declined -3,860,900,000 USD and that is a big ass 14% decline.

i also don't know why this "pattern" repeats itself each year.

everything is very real in altcoin market. yes yes.

There is no fundamental difference between bitcoin and "alt coins".  All these are highly speculative assets, and in as much as the market becomes efficient, their evolution will be entirely unpredictable and not understandable.   Don't make a mistake, bitcoin is in the same boat.  From the moment that big smart money enters the scene, it is not bound to emotional attachment, and optimizes the greater-fool game.  In the same way as in the complex derivatives market, towards which the crypto scene is evolving, ideally nothing is predictable.  When you are sure it will go up, it will come down, and vice versa.  Because otherwise, there was an opportunity that smart money would have missed, which is against the hypothesis of it being smart.

This is nothing else but the "efficient market hypothesis": all there is to know is already in the price (except for inside knowledge).

I think the market is not there yet.  There is still too much asymmetry between, for instance, bitcoin, and all the rest, which makes things still somewhat previsible.  When you are sure that bitcoin will "go to the moon", for sure, it will crash.  When you are sure that altcoins will take over, for sure they will retract.  Until all of this becomes perfectly chaotic (except maybe for some insiders).

It is very simple: if smart money were 100% convinced that bitcoin is going to, say, $500 000 in a few years, then it wouldn't miss the opportunity in flowing massively in bitcoin.   To the claim that "no, they are misleading you with going to alt coins", the answer is: this is impossible because of the tragedy of the commons.  The smart money that would pump alt coins "to mislead you" would be losing out to the smart money that would go early into bitcoin.  There is no "single boss" in smart money.  So if smart money is convinced that bitcoin goes to $500 000 in a few years, its current price would already tend quickly to $500 000 because they would out-race one another to get in early and rip off one another.
This doesn't mean that bitcoin won't go to $500 000.-, but if smart money cannot know, you can't, either.

BTW, on the 5th of mai, bitcoin's market cap lost about $2 billion too.  That's not a problem for highly speculative gamblers' tokens.

Xester
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May 09, 2017, 09:07:18 AM
 #65

UASF is to trick morons into thinking they can control the destiny of BTC.

The Chinese Miners control it , no one else , not GMaxwell or his piss ant Core Troll army.

All the Chinese have to do is rent a few hundred VPS, and setup their own full nodes,
they control the new blocks and their full nodes keep their network running.

Running UASF is the Same as turning your PC off, because it won't do shit.

Tell the wussies to quit talking about UASF and do it so I can laugh at them for the fools they are.
Want to change PoW, do it , it will be even funnier when the chinese kick your asses up and down the blockchains.


With the price of bitcoin going up at this point of time the topic UASF was no longer been a talk in this forum. Probably with adoption and support coming from countries such as Japan, Russia, Indonesia, Switzerland and other countries bitcoins value is at its highest. With the trend today we do not need segwit, BU and UASF but the current blocksize and code is ok.
pooya87
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May 09, 2017, 09:33:11 AM
 #66

There is no fundamental difference between bitcoin and "alt coins".  All these are highly speculative assets,

yes yes, there is no difference.

Now more than 3-million things you can buy with BTC, from 100's of merchants

Over 100,000 Merchants Accept Bitcoin listed in this directory!

Microsoft is accepting bitcoin as a currency

Dell is also accepting bitcoin payment.

as of 2016 BitPay is processing 200 million dollar worth of transaction monthly.

some small number of examples:
Overstock is a major retailer to accept bitcoin since January 2014. The firm offers everything from furniture to jewellery to electronics. Prices are in dollars but there is an option to pay in BTC on the checkout page. Initially a US-only offering, the firm opened up bitcoin purchases to over 100 countries in September.

Newegg, also a retail giant, with $2.8bn in annual revenue is accepting bitcoin.

AirBaltic, the Latvian airline, has been accepting bitcoin payment with no additional fee.

CheapAir  the California-based online travel booking website, started taking bitcoin in November 2013 and announced in July that it has completed more than $1.5m in bitcoin sales on flights, around 200,000 hotels and Amtrak railway bookings via its platform.

Purse.io and Gyft.com don't even need introduction, they are the biggest places for getting huge discounts using bitcoin for payment.

REEDS Jewelers a large jewelery chain in the US, is one of the most notable merchants to accept bitcoin as a form of payment.

at least 100 more of these on coindesk


List of all places to spend bitcoin on coinbase

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dinofelis
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May 09, 2017, 09:53:32 AM
 #67

as of 2016 BitPay is processing 200 million dollar worth of transaction monthly.

Yes, that's on the level of the daily bitcoin (speculative) volume.  (well, WAS because now this volume is 5 times higher)

In other words, that's not why people use bitcoin mainly, and it is not what drives its price.
paul gatt
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May 11, 2017, 08:38:52 AM
 #68

as of 2016 BitPay is processing 200 million dollar worth of transaction monthly.

Yes, that's on the level of the daily bitcoin (speculative) volume.  (well, WAS because now this volume is 5 times higher)

In other words, that's not why people use bitcoin mainly, and it is not what drives its price.


The popularity of bitcoin may be a factor in its value, however, which is not the reason for the rapid increase in bitcoin in recent times. In addition, some information shows that bitcoin no longer dominates the market, it is slowly being pushed back by the altcoins even though it still heads. If I talk about the reason that makes bitcoin rise, I think that's the bitcoin acceptance of the Japanese government. This also marks a new step for bitcoin.
dinofelis
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May 11, 2017, 08:42:49 AM
 #69

If I talk about the reason that makes bitcoin rise, I think that's the bitcoin acceptance of the Japanese government. This also marks a new step for bitcoin.

It is funny that people say that, because I read that the Japanese government said something about *crypto currencies* and didn't single out bitcoin.

In fact, most jurisdictions will have to decide what asset class crypto currencies are in:
- illegal ones
- commodities
- currencies

or simply not say anything about it.

I would think that the statute of "currency" is not all rosy, because usually, handling a currency publicly requires stricter (banking-style) regulation than being a salesman of commodities.  On the other hand, usually currency acquisition is less taxed than commodity acquisition.

soul-impact
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May 11, 2017, 08:45:12 AM
 #70

UASF is to trick morons into thinking they can control the destiny of BTC.

The Chinese Miners control it , no one else , not GMaxwell or his piss ant Core Troll army.

All the Chinese have to do is rent a few hundred VPS, and setup their own full nodes,
they control the new blocks and their full nodes keep their network running.

Running UASF is the Same as turning your PC off, because it won't do shit.

Tell the wussies to quit talking about UASF and do it so I can laugh at them for the fools they are.
Want to change PoW, do it , it will be even funnier when the chinese kick your asses up and down the blockchains.


With the price of bitcoin going up at this point of time the topic UASF was no longer been a talk in this forum. Probably with adoption and support coming from countries such as Japan, Russia, Indonesia, Switzerland and other countries bitcoins value is at its highest. With the trend today we do not need segwit, BU and UASF but the current blocksize and code is ok.

That topic has been ignored by many, but I'm sure it still happens, according to some of the information I've read recently, hardfork will surely happen with bitcoin, however, there are 3 directions to choose from. , And I still have not seen any information about their choice. I think that despite the high value of bitcoin, it still needs segwit, which is a necessity for the development of bitcoin.





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