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美国商务部长:今年肯定达不到3%的经济增长目标
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Topic: 美国商务部长:今年肯定达不到3%的经济增长目标 (Read 120 times)
Martharo
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美国商务部长:今年肯定达不到3%的经济增长目标
May 10, 2017, 04:37:38 PM
#1
美国商务部长罗斯(Wilbur Ross)改口称,今年政府设定的3%经济增长目标“肯定”无法实现。他上个月底还对此抱有信心。
罗斯改变想法的理由是:绝大多数经济政策迟迟未能实施。他表示,要达到3%的经济增长,需要税收、监管、贸易和能源政策全部到位。
然而,“国会在每件事上都行动迟缓。我们甚至有一半的人还没到位。”罗斯如此表示。
不过,罗斯还说,在特朗普总统的所有亲商主义政策推行之后,3%的经济增长目标最终能够实现。而如果国会在通过减税措施上步伐延迟,达成目标的时间就有可能向后推迟。
特朗普在就职当天的公开讲话上,曾经承诺令美国经济增长重回4%。而上一次美国经济出现4%的经济增速还是在将近20年前,也就是克里顿在任的时候。
但到了次月下旬,财政部长Steve Mnuchin表示,白宫设定的经济增长目标是3%。
根据美国政府官方数据,美国经济在去年第四季度增长了2.1%,今年一季度大幅收窄至只有0.7%。
第二季度的GDP增长数据将于5月26日公布。
亚特兰大联储在5月1日将美国第二季度经济季增年率预估由4.3%微幅下调至4.2%。到了5月10日,该联储大砍GDP增速预估,从4.2%下调至3.6%,调整幅度高达17%。
实际上,亚特兰大联储大幅调整GDP增速预期的行为不久前就出现过。该联储最初预期一季度经济增速将为2.5%,之后又大幅上调至3.5%。在官方数据公布前夕,该联储更是频繁调整预期值,先后调整为1.2%、0.6%、0.5%、0.2%。
美国劳工统计局上周五公布的预测数据显示,第二季度实际消费支出增长率和实际私人固定投资增长率分别从3%和6.9%降至2.7%和5.3%。从美国人口普查局的批发业报告来看,库存投资对第二季度增长的贡献从1.11%下降到了0.99%。
这使得市场对美国二季度经济增长抱有不乐观态度。高盛近日宣布宣布下调美国第二季度GDP预期0.1个百分点,至增长2.9%。
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