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今年商品房均价增幅不超1% 北京新房进豪宅化时代
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Topic: 今年商品房均价增幅不超1% 北京新房进豪宅化时代 (Read 133 times)
Nicoleer
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今年商品房均价增幅不超1% 北京新房进豪宅化时代
May 10, 2017, 06:43:31 PM
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5月9日,中国社会科学院城市发展与环境研究所等机构发布《房地产蓝皮书:中国房地产发展报告(2017)》(以下简称“蓝皮书”)。对于商品房市场,蓝皮书预测,商品房均价增速由2016年的10%会下降到2017年增长不超过1%。
蓝皮书执行主编王业强表示,在中央经济工作会议坚持“房子是用来住,不是用来炒的”定位的背景下,2017年房地产政策的基调我们认为是抑制房地产投资,防止金融风险,同时也要保持房地产平稳发展。
同时,蓝皮书指出,2016年北京二手房成交量超27万套,创历史新高。北京地价上涨促使房价上涨,未来北京南五环外新盘房价将达6万元/平方米的水平,北京新房进入豪宅化时代。
《每日经济新闻》记者注意到,目前,热点城市调控仍在不断收紧,限购限贷力度还在不断加码。刚进入5月,郑州、无锡、上海等地又出台了有关房地产方面的调控政策。
预测1:房地产投资将进入下行通道
整体来看,2016年房地产市场经历了新一轮快速上涨。
蓝皮书中一组数据数据显示,2016年全国房地产开发总投资规模首次超过10万亿元的门槛。商品房增速也自2010年以来重新回到两位数增长,其中全国住宅均价7203元每平米,同比增长达到11.3%。
这也使得我国房地产市场区域性分化日益显著,“双高”特征明显,即一、二线城市高房价和三、四线城市高库存并存。
蓝皮书强调,防风险是2017年房地产政策的主基调。一是经济下滑的风险,需要正确认识房地产的积极作用;二是国际国内资本市场的“资产荒”风险,资金脱实入虚,推高房价;三是国内地方政府债务不断累积,如果房地产市场下行,很有可能激发地方政府债务危机。
蓝皮书预测,2017年城市分化将进一步加大,因城施策将更加显著,一二线重点城市仍以调控为主,其中二线城市降杠杆已成为主要任务,三四线城市“去库存”的优惠政策仍将继续,整体成交量将逐渐回落。
同时,根据2016年底中央经济工作会议“房子是用来住的、不是用来炒的”的定位,以及“既抑制房地产泡沫,又防止出现大起大落”的定调,房地产市场将回归居住属性,投机性需求将受到压制。预计2017年房地产投资将进入下行通道,整体呈现温和下滑态势。
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