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社评:吴敦义面临重振国民党的真实机会
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Topic: 社评:吴敦义面临重振国民党的真实机会 (Read 176 times)
nanay777
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社评:吴敦义面临重振国民党的真实机会
May 22, 2017, 02:08:00 AM
#1
台湾地区前“副总统”吴敦义击败被很多大陆人所熟知的洪秀柱,当选新任中国国民党主席。吴敦义在胜选感言中说,自己一定会团结(国民党)党内,推动革新,争取在2020年“赢回执政”。他还说,尊重“九二共识”,是其四大政策目标之一。在蔡英文公然开历史倒车的时候,吴敦义要带领国民党重新守住两岸关系的底线,将面临一场硬仗。
过去一年多时间,堪称国民党在台湾处境最恶劣最艰难的时期,国民党主席这个位子一度成了没人敢要的烫手山芋,最后还是洪秀柱挺身而出,在民进党的穷追猛打之下勉力维持。洪秀柱在两岸统一问题上的坚定明确态度,赢得大陆民众的一致赞赏。相信整个中华民族的历史都将记住这位颇具勇气的女政治家。
然而历史的进程常常是曲折的。如今台湾政治的小齿轮实际上已经挂在中国大陆崛起的大齿轮上,但前者仍有吊诡的内在经络,以及颇具迷惑力的表象。洪秀柱的“统一”呼声一时还难以成为岛内选举的大旗,而重新执政是国民党在岛内政治体制下的首要目标。吴敦义从政经验丰富,人脉根基深厚,他获得党内一半以上投票者的支持,这是岛内政治现实的一种反映。
实事求是说,国民党反对“台独”的立场以及如何对待“统一”的命题,过去来自于该党的历史传承,而如今以及往后,更多取决于这在多大程度上有利于该党在岛内选举。
大陆强势崛起并且颁布了《反分裂国家法》,使得大陆的力量已经开始深刻影响岛内选举。大陆越强大,反“台独”的意志越坚定,就越会增加岛内支持“台独”政党的选举风险,也会使得坚持“九二共识”的风险有更多可能转化成为政治红利。
陈水扁时期,“台独”路线很猖獗。马英九率国民党举着“九二共识”的旗帜战胜民进党,已经在“台独”和“九二共识”之间划出了胜负。之后蔡英文再率民进党夺回政权时,已经不敢公开唱“台独”了,她一边不承认“九二共识”,一边宣称要维持现状,因此民进党的胜利另有岛内治理的它因,而非“九二共识”重新输给了“台独”。
虽然民进党现在仍处于一个政治得意期,但由于它形成不了对“九二共识”的正确态度,从而将自己置于与大的历史潮流对立面上。它的重新执政从一开始就十分艰难,大陆的强大对台压力机制被一步步激活。民进党原本是“革命党”,它革了国民党的命之后,想要进一步革中国大陆崛起所造就的亚太新格局的命,它终究要把自己逼入绝境的。
国民党坚持“九二共识”的政治理念在岛内政坛有着长远前途。无论蓝营还是绿营内部,都有不同的策略派。然而支持还是反对“九二共识”,是台湾政治最根本的分水岭。洪秀柱在败选之后迅速表示要支持吴敦义,表现了她以大局为重的政治品德。
在国民党与民进党争夺台湾执政权的过程中,国民党从来都没有输在政治路线上,它的弱项一直是内部掣肘以及基层联系等等。当前的国民党是从老执政党演化来的,而民进党则是从草根拼杀出来的。不过经历了几次政权轮替后,民进党的官僚主义也越来越重,双方的参政和执政能力出现了新的交叉态势。
蔡英文执政刚一年,民调支持度就早早跌到反对比例之下,高举“九二共识”大旗的国民党面临新的机遇。虽然上一次选举惨败了,但国民党无需气馁。吴敦义有整合、团结党内各种力量的基础,如果国民党在严重溃败之后能够重新站起来,形成强大战斗力,那么这个党就有了在时代洪流中击水弄潮的全新活力。
Koax
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Re: 社评:吴敦义面临重振国民党的真实机会
May 22, 2017, 04:41:04 AM
#2
现在蔡英文真的不行了,领导不了台湾
Lusiye
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Re: 社评:吴敦义面临重振国民党的真实机会
May 22, 2017, 04:42:17 AM
#3
吴敦义的总体表现还行吧
kashfffq000
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Re: 社评:吴敦义面临重振国民党的真实机会
May 22, 2017, 04:44:47 AM
#4
吴敦义的表现比蔡英文强多了,蔡英文个白痴老巫婆
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