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【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
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Topic: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因 (Read 763 times)
royal_chen
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【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 22, 2017, 02:41:23 AM
#1
能发现拥堵问题的,一般都对比特币有一定了解,比如知道看个内存池、推荐手续费什么的,这些人多少是懂点比特币使用方面的技术,这些因拥堵下车的乘客,不太可能持有法币,大部分是换乘山寨币,而新入场的小白,根本不知道比特币现在堵爆翔,而且这些小白也不在乎拥堵,毕竟块把美刀的提币手续费对投资而言小得可以忽略。于是,拥堵基本不增加来自btcusd的卖盘,也不减少btcusd的买盘,结果就是越赌越涨。在虚拟币总市值图表上(
http://coinmarketcap.com/charts/)比特币市值占比不断降低,这反映出比特币的拥堵卖盘,变成了ethbtc、xrpbtc、ltcbtc的买盘,而不是btcusd的卖盘。
另外,如果以法币计算,目前山寨币已完全脱离基本面,进入前所未有的泡沫阶段,比如eth去年曾长期维持13刀附近,当时日均网络交易数也长期维持在5万附近(
https://etherscan.io/chart/tx),现在涨到130,交易数却只涨到10万出头(目前接近15万,但按规律,行情平稳后交易数会降一部分)。如按交易数指标,eth的合理价格应为26刀,但山寨币是以btc计价,去年eth曾长期稳定在0.022附近,现在交易数翻倍,是不是应该稳定在0.044呢?再加上比特币未来继续拥堵,市值继续转移到eth的市场预期,预期加成后,0.06是不是也很符合基本面情况呢?
现在山寨币和比特币变成了内循环,卖比特的变成了买山寨,卖山寨的又变成了买另一个山寨,整个生态系统很少与法币世界发生关联,所以不管什么币,xxxusd货币对永远不跌。内循环造成整个市场完全脱离基本面,也有了无限想象空间。170亿市值到700亿居然只用3个月时间,而且看起来再过几个月,上1700亿也不是问题。170亿美刀,那么大的盘子,半年翻10倍,股票市场历史上不知有没有。
以btc计价的山寨市值是虚的,eth、xrp有强烈的btc计价属性,ltc这种属性相对较弱,所以ltc这波涨得比较弱,靠着sw、上coinbase两个强力消息推动,依然还是输给eth、xrp。如果山寨能与法币世界发生直接关联,山寨就能回到它应有的市值,山寨市值回归后,btc也会受市场占比影响而拉低其usd价格。
btc_sunny
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 22, 2017, 06:33:51 AM
#2
涨到越高 用户越多 堵的越厉害 比特币扩容在即
FAzuming Xidu
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 22, 2017, 08:59:15 AM
#3
真不知道什么时候是个头啊
nanayueky
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 24, 2017, 02:07:29 AM
#4
除了莱特币之外其他的山寨币前两个月确实是投机的好机会,因为比特币被越来越多国家承认,很多也认为山寨币会被承认,导致山寨币暴涨,目前看来这些人过于乐观,能被承认的山寨币少之又少
paddzzzz
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 24, 2017, 02:44:28 AM
#5
比特币交易之所以拥堵的原因就是比特币的用户越来越多了。
margincc
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 24, 2017, 07:06:08 AM
#6
比特币被更多的人承认,比特币的价值也相应提高了,同时带动了山寨币的价格。
paddzzzz
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 24, 2017, 07:26:43 AM
#7
比特币堵是证明交易比特币的用户变多了。
eddiies
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 24, 2017, 07:29:49 AM
#8
这么涨下去 什么时候是个头啊
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sutian
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 24, 2017, 09:13:49 AM
#9
狗日的尿翔,你他妈看见不回我,你是我儿子。
501026666
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 24, 2017, 11:31:04 AM
#10
不要想得那么复杂 ,现在整 个虚拟币市场的市值就一支股票的市值 ,全世界的人一起来炒,想炒多高炒多高~~
热钱多得你不敢想~
kaixinfaa
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 26, 2017, 01:02:58 PM
#11
这说明整个加密数字货币市场在扩大,整个蛋糕做大了。比特币在整个蛋糕中的比例下降了,这是好事,说明整个市场再成长。只要比特币的价值绝对值一直在增长就是好事。
一花独放不是春
hamilton_mn
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Re: 【转载】比特币越堵越涨的原因,山寨币变态暴涨的原因
May 27, 2017, 02:56:54 AM
#12
Quote from: eddiies on May 24, 2017, 07:29:49 AM
这么涨下去 什么时候是个头啊
到头了,全线下跌,进场的小散基本被洗掉了
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